ASX:BGD
www.bgdcorporation.com.au
April 2016
BGD
BGD STRATEGY
PRESENTATION
DISCLAIMER
This presentation has been prepared by BGD Corporation Ltd ABN 78 009 074 588 (BGD). Each Recipient of this presentation is deemed to have agreed to accept
it subject to the qualifications, limitations and disclaimers set out below.
None of BGD and/or its subsidiaries or their respective directors, officers, employees, advisers or representatives (Beneficiaries) make any representation or
warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the information contained in this presentation, including any forecast or
prospective information. The forward looking statements included in this presentation involve subjective judgment and analysis and are subject to significant
uncertainties, risks and contingencies, many of which are outside the control of, and are unknown to, the Beneficiaries. Actual future events may vary materially
from the forward looking statements and the assumptions on which those statements are based. Given these uncertainties, you are cautioned to not place undue
reliance on such forward looking statements.
This presentation is a general overview only and does not purport to contain all the information that may be required to evaluate an investment in BGD.
The information in this presentation is provided personally to the Recipient as a matter of interest only. It does not amount to an express or implied
recommendation with respect to any investment in BGD nor does it constitute financial product advice.
The Recipient, intending investors and respective advisers, should:
Conduct their own independent review, investigations and analysis of BGD and of the information contained or referred to in this presentation; and/or
Nothing in this presentation is or is to be taken to be an offer, invitation or other proposal to subscribe for shares in BGD.
The Recipient specifically agrees, understands and acknowledges that some of the information contained herein has been provided by third parties, and the
Beneficiaries accept no responsibility for any inaccuracy, misstatement, misrepresentation or omission in relation to that information.
-1STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
THE BOARD AND MANAGEMENT OF BGD
The BGD Board and Management have a proven track record in building and growing healthcare assets
Shane Tanner
Non Executive Chairman
Shane brings 20 years leadership experience in healthcare and strategy culminating as CEO of Symbion Healthcare, one of Australia's largest diagnostic
business and Chairman of ASX listed healthcare business Vision Eye Institute
In addition to BGD, Shane is currently the Chairman of ASX listed companies including Funtastic Limited and healthcare business Paragon Care Limited
and a Non-Executive Director of Jayex Healthcare Limited
Jonathan Lim
Board
Executive Director
Jonathan background is in mergers and acquisitions, private equity and corporate finance. He is currently the Managing Director at Liverpool Partners, a
boutique investment and advisory company located in Sydney. Jonathan was also previously Investment Director at Arowana
At Liverpool Partners, Jonathan led the recapitalisation of BGD and has established a strong track record in the healthcare sector (as both investor and
advisor) including acting as a trusted advisor to a range of listed healthcare companies
Dr Todd Cameron
Executive Director
Dr Todd Cameron is the co-founder of Modern Medical Group and a fellow of the Australia College of General Practitioners . He has extensive
experience in allied health and medical services as a practising GP for over 18 years and developing the Modern Medical group into six medical clinics
Management
Todd is a VMA accredited GP Registrar supervisor and served as a Board member for five years for PivotWest the Local Division of General Practice and
is now sitting as a director on the Board of the regional Medicare Local
Justin Walter
CEO
Justin was previously the General Manager of the Health & Aged Care sector for Spotless Group. In addition, he has held a number of senior roles with
Healthscope including State Manager for Western Australia and Northern Territory as well as working with Ernst & Young in setting up their health
advisory practice in Western Australia
Justin has extensive experience in private healthcare and a strong clinical and public healthcare background
-2STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
THE ALLIED HEALTH AND MEDICAL SERVICES MARKET OPPORTUNITY
Market Growth
Macro Healthcare Drivers
AUSTRALIAN ALLIED HEALTH AND MEDICAL SERVICES MARKET
GROWING POPULATION
Australian population over 65 years old
25%
60.0
20%
55.0
15%
50.0
10%
An ageing population
22.4%
coupled with longer life
expectancies lead to
increased chronic illness
and a significant need for
increase in healthcare
services
15.1%
5%
45.0
40.0
47.4
50.6
54.7
52.9
0%
1975
2015
2055
INCREASING CHRONIC DISEASE
43.8
35.0
Australian population with 5+ chronic diseases
60%
50%
30.0
$bn
8.6%
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
Allied health and medical services accounted for 38% of total FY14 healthcare
expenditure or $54.7bn
Attractive industry fundamentals driving CAGR of 5.7% from FY10
to FY14
Industry Momentum
54%
Australians have a chronic
disease, and around 1 in 5
have at least two
40%
30%
20%
10%
Ageing has a strong
24%
1%
0%
0-14
association with chronic
disease
7%
15-34
35-64
65+
UPTAKE IN PRIVATE HEALTH INSURANCE
180
160
140
120
ACCUTE AND
HOSPITAL
BASED CARE
PREVENTATIVE AND
CONSUMER DIRECTED/
COMMUNITY CARE
About half of all
100
Index 2004-06 = 100
-3STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
Change in no. insured persons
Government funding
policies and private health
insurers are focused on
increasing efficiencies in
the health care system by
increasing focus on
preventative healthcare
and reducing treatments
within hospitals
BROAD SPECTRUM OF ALLIED AND MEDICAL HEALTH SERVICES
Allied health and medical services industry spans a range of business models. The Federal Government is a major funding source across the
platform of services
Mobile service (B2B)
Home Care (B2C)
Clinic based healthcare services
Trend of larger multi-disciplinary
clinics that offer a greater number
of practitioners and a range of
ancillary services on site
Provide a mobile workforce of
allied health practitioners to
retirement and residential aged
care facilities and workplaces
Range of services for home care /
community care
Consumer Directed Care will allow
individuals who select home care
greater freedom of choice, which
will transform the allied medical
sector
Including a range of other allied
health care services including
telehealth, ambulance services,
drug and alcohol abuse
General practitioners
Physiotherapy
Occupational therapy
Podiatry
Optometry
Speech pathology
Dietetics
Pathology (sub-let)
Other allied services
Pain Management
Physiotherapy
Occupational therapy
Podiatry
Optometry
Speech pathology
Dietetics
Other allied services
Nurses / carers
Respite care
Physiotherapy
Occupational therapy
Podiatry
Optometry
Speech pathology
Dietetics
After-hour services
Tele-health
Drug and Alcohol rehabilitation
centres
Pain management clinics
Respite clinics
Other
Australian Government (Medicare)
Private Health Insurers
Patient
Australian Government via
Consumer Directed Care (CDC)
Patient
Australian Government via Aged
Care Funding Instrument (ACFI) and
Medicare
Facility operator
Patient
Australian Government
Private Health Insurers
Patients
c.7,000 integrated medical clinics
c.36,000 allied health clinics
c.193,000 residential aged places
c. 112,000 independent living units
c.67,000 places
c.38,000 patients (respite care)
Business
Model
Funding
Market size
Other Allied
Health Services
Allied medical
health and
other services
General Practice and
Allied Health Clinics
Sources: AIHW, Australian Department of Social Services. 2013-14 Concise Facts & Figures in Aged Care, ACFA, IBIS World
-4STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
SHIFT OF GOVERNMENT FUNDING AND SUPPORT
Government funding policies are focused on increasing efficiency in the healthcare system. Reduction in hospital funding and increasing
support of allied health and medical services
Shift in Hospital Funding1
Medicare and Government Health Programs2
Historical Medicare funding for the medical clinic sector
9
Public Hospital Budget
40
($billion)
35
($billion)
45
Old spending
arrangement
30
Medicare funding has increased to $8.0 billion at a CAGR
of 7.0% from FY10 FY15
Government has implemented a range of key programs
5
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
including GP Super Clinics Programme ($650m), Health
Networks ($842m) and After Hours Care
FY15
New spending
arrangement
15
funded by the Federal Government via Medicare
25
20
Allied health and medical services healthcare is principally
Home Care3
10
Funding of $2.4bn with a growth CAGR of 10% from
5
0
2012-13
2016-17
2020-21
2024-25
The Federal Government is shifting the burden of
CDC Packages
2015:
CDC Packages
2022:
66,000
140,000
healthcare services from acute care to preventative care
include allied health and medical services, with over $80
billion savings estimated by 2024-25
Government healthcare grants
25
Home Care services via Consumer Directed Care (CDC)
15
2Source:
Australian Federal Government (Budget 2014-15)
Department of Human Services (Medicare Australia Statistics)
elderly and their families have the opportunity to
procure the specific services they need including allied
health services
NDIS will provide support for Australian individuals with a
Projected NDIS expenditure on disability support
services health via:
1Source:
With the introduction of Consumer Directed Care(CDC)
Disability Care4
Shift of funding and role to allied health and medical
significant and permanent disability
20
($billion)
Respite care via NDIS which takes over all industry
funding as it rolls out across the nation (expected to
complete by 2020)
FY14 FY17
10
Overall expenditure of aged and disability care is
A$22.1bn
expected to reach $22.1bn in 2019-20 and demand for
service is likely to increase as a result of the trend
A$7.2bn
The scheme will be rolled out nationally from 2016.
0
FY12
Existing trial sites have been operating since 2013
FY15
-5STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
3Source:
4Source:
Aged Care Financing Authority (Third Report on the Funding and Financing)
National Commission of Audit
OUR VISION
BGD will seek to be the pre-eminent allied and medical healthcare service provider in Australia
KEY COMMENTS
BGDs strategy includes establishing an
integrated healthcare business with a focus
on:
General Practice
Allied Health
Low Acute Procedural Facilities
Target a range of operational modalities: (i)
multi-disciplinary clinics that offer multiple
doctors and allied health practitioners ; and
(ii) through mobile or embedded
practitioners (predominantly aged care,
home care and disabled)
Target a diversified funding mix including
Government (Medicare, ACFI, NDIS and CDC)
and private billings
Target a nationwide presence for all service
offerings
General Practice
General Practitioners
Chronic Disease
Management
Pathology (sub-let)
Mental Plans
Care Plans
Allied Health
Physiotherapy
Occupational therapy
Podiatry
Optometry
Dietetics
Respite Services
Home care services
-6STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
Low Acuity Procedures
Endoscopy
Orthotics
Bariatrics
Other low acuity day
procedures
BGD COMPARABLES
BGD will be well priced in the healthcare services market
Ticker
Name
Country
Market Cap
(AUD$'mils)
EV
(AUD$'mil)
LTM
Revenue
LTM
EBITDA
EV/Revenue
FY15
FY16e
EV/EBITDA
FY17e
FY15
FY16e
EV/EBIT
FY17e
FY15
FY16e
P/E
FY17e
FY15
FY16e
FY17e
AUSTRALIAN COMPARABLES (HEALTHCARE PROVIDERS AND SERVICES)
Healthcare Facilities
ASX:PHG Pulse Health Limited
AU
ASX:ONT 1300SMILES Limited
AU
ASX:IDX Integral Diagnostics Limited
AU
ASX:PSQ Pacific Smiles Group Limited
AU
ASX:VET Virtus Health Limited
AU
ASX:PRY Primary Health Care Limited
AU
ASX:HSO Healthscope Limited
AU
ASX:SHL Sonic Healthcare Limited
AU
ASX:RHC Ramsay Health Care Limited
AU
110.5
108.0
64.0
5.3
1.7x
1.4x
0.8x
20.3x
10.6x
5.9x
26.8x
12.0x
6.9x
35.4x
14.8x
10.8x
162.9
155.5
37.0
12.2
4.2x
4.0x
3.6x
12.7x
11.5x
10.5x
15.6x
14.4x
13.1x
26.3x
21.8x
19.6x
193.9
244.8
162.0
34.7
1.5x
1.5x
1.4x
7.0x
7.0x
6.8x
9.5x
9.3x
9.2x
12.1x
11.9x
11.7x
275.1
266.0
79.0
16.7
3.4x
3.1x
2.6x
15.9x
13.2x
10.9x
21.9x
17.7x
14.6x
31.7x
26.2x
21.4x
533.2
687.1
253.0
64.0
2.7x
2.6x
2.5x
10.6x
10.0x
9.5x
12.7x
12.0x
11.3x
20.1x
15.7x
14.5x
1,929.3
3,041.6 1,655.0
358.1
1.8x
1.8x
1.8x
8.5x
7.9x
8.2x
12.7x
13.5x
14.6x
17.3x
16.8x
17.8x
4,632.7
5,765.6 2,217.0
391.1
2.6x
2.5x
2.3x
14.7x
14.1x
12.7x
19.0x
18.3x
16.5x
28.3x
24.1x
21.8x
7,650.0
10,188.6 4,639.0
727.1
2.2x
2.0x
2.0x
14.0x
11.7x
11.1x
18.3x
15.6x
14.7x
25.2x
17.5x
16.8x
15,915.5 8,190.0 1,140.3
1.9x
1.9x
1.8x
13.9x
12.6x
11.7x
19.8x
17.8x
16.3x
33.0x
26.7x
23.9x
High
4.2x
4.0x
3.6x
20.3x
14.1x
12.7x
26.8x
18.3x
16.5x
35.4x
26.7x
23.9x
Low
1.5x
1.4x
0.8x
7.0x
7.0x
5.9x
9.5x
9.3x
6.9x
12.1x
11.9x
10.8x
Median
2.2x
2.0x
2.0x
13.9x
11.5x
10.5x
18.3x
14.4x
14.6x
26.3x
17.5x
17.8x
Mean
2.4x
2.3x
2.1x
13.1x
10.9x
9.7x
17.4x
14.5x
13.0x
25.5x
19.5x
17.6x
12,472.0
TOTAL GROUP
Source: Capital IQ 13 April 2016
-7STRICTLY PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL