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EXCEL Probability Distribution Functions

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100 views8 pages

EXCEL Probability Distribution Functions

Principles of management assignPrinciples of management assignPrinciples of management assignPrinciples of management assignPrinciples of management assignPrinciples of management assignPrinciples of management assignPrinciples of management assignPrinciples of management assignPrinciples of management assignPrinciples of management assignPrinciples of management assignPrinciples of management assignPrinciples of management assignPrinciples of management assignPrinciples of management assignPrinciples of management assignPrinciples of management assignPrinciples of management assignPrinciples of management assign

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EXCEL Probability Distribution Functions

Note: The = before each function name causes EXCEL to use the function as opposed to
simply typing it in as text.

I. Common Discrete Distributions


Binomial Distribution
=BINOM.DIST(x, n, p, 0) Probability of x successes in n trials with P(Success)=p

n x n!
P ( X x) p (1 p ) n x p x (1 p) n x x 0,1,..., n
x x!( n x)!

=BINOM.DIST(x, n, p, 1) Probability of at most x successes in n trials with P(Success)=p

x
n k
P( X x) p(0) p( x) p (1 p) n k x 0,1, , n
k 0 k
Geometric/Negative Binomial Distribution
=NEGBINOM.DIST(x, r, p, 0)
Probability of having x failures prior to the rth success in independent Bernoulli trials with P(Success)=p.
This is equivalent to observing the rth success on the (x+r)th trial. Geometric distribution arises when r = 1.

x r 1 r
p (1 p ) x x 0,1,2,... r 1,2,...
r 1

=NEGBINOM.DIST(x, r, p, 1)
Probability of having at most x failures prior to the rth success in independent Bernoulli trials with
P(Success)=p. Geometric distribution arises when r = 1.

x
k r 1
P ( X x) p (0) L p ( x ) p r
(1 p ) k
x 0,1,K , n
k 0 k

Poisson Distribution

=POISSON.DIST(x, , 0) Probability of x outcomes when X~Poisson()

e x
P( X x) x 0,1,...
x!
=POISSON.DIST(x, , 1) Probability of at most x outcomes when X~Poisson()

x
e k
P( X x) x 0,1,...
k 0 k!

Hypergeometric Distribution
=HYPGEOM.DIST(x, n, k, N, 0)
Probability of x successes in n Trials in population with k Successes in N elements

k N k

P ( X x) x nx 0 xk N 0 xn N
N

n

=HYPGEOM.DIST(x, n, k, N, 1)
Probability of at most x successes in n Trials in population with k Successes in N elements
k N k
x
j n j
P ( X x) 0xk N 0 xn N
j 0 N

n

II. Common Continuous Distributions

Exponential Distribution
(Hardly worth the effort. Note: must use reciprocal of mean)

=EXPON.DIST(x, 1/ , 0) Exponential Density Function

1 x /
f ( x; ) e x0 0

=EXPON.DIST(x, 1/ , 1) Exponential Cumulative Distribution Function

x
1 t /
F ( x; ) P ( X x) e dt 1 e x /
0

Gamma Distribution
(Exponential ( ) and Chi-square ( are special cases)

=GAMMA.DIST(x, , 0) Probability Density Function of Gamma( )


1
x 1e x / y
1
f ( x) x0 0 0 ( ) e y dy
( ) 0

=GAMMA.DIST(x, , 1) Cumulative Distribution Function of Gamma( )

x 1
F ( x ) P ( X x) t 0 ( )
t 1e t / dt x0

=GAMMA.INV(p, ) 100pth percentile P( X X p ) p

p P X X p
Xp 1

x 1e x / dx 0 p 1
0 ( )

Normal Distribution

=NORM.DIST(x, , 0) Normal density function f(x; )

1 x 2
f ( x; , ) exp x 0
2 2 2 2

=NORM.DIST(x, , 1) Normal cumulative distribution function P ( X X 0 )

P X x
x 1

t
2
x
exp dt P Z

2 2
2 2

To obtain P( X x) enter: =1 norm.dist(x, , 1)

=NORM.INV(p, ) 100pth percentile P( X X p ) p


x 2
p P X X p
Xp 1
exp dx X p Z p P( Z Z p ) p

2 2 2 2

Function NORM.S.INV(p) returns the 100pth percentile of standard normal (Z) distribution, that is:
NORM.S.INV(p) = NORM.INV(p, 01)

Chi-Square Distribution
=CHISQ.DIST(x, v, 0) Chi-square Density function

1
f x; t ( /2)1e t /2 x 0; 0
/ 2
2
2

=CHISQ.DIST(x, v, 1) P(X x) when X~ 2v (Non integer is truncated)


x
1
P( X x) t ( /2)1e t /2 dt x0 0

0 2 /2
2
=CHISQ.DIST.RT(x, v, 1) P(X x) when X~ 2v Useful in Hypothesis Testing

1
P( X x) t ( /2)1e t /2 dt x0 0

x 2 /2
2

=CHISQ.INV(p , v) 100p percentile (Non integer is truncated)

XP
1
p P( X X p )
x ( /2) 1e x /2 dx
0 2 / 2
2

=CHISQ.INV.RT(p , v) 100(1-p) percentile Useful in Hypothesis Testing


1
p P( X X p ) /2
x ( / 2 ) 1e x / 2 dx
XP 2
2

Beta Distribution
=BETA.DIST(x, , ) Beta density function (0 x 1)

( ) 1
f ( x) x (1 x) 1 0 x 1 0 0
( )( )
For Beta distributions transformed to the range [A,B], use BETA.DIST(x, , , 0, A, B)

=BETA.DIST(x, , ) Beta cumulative distribution function (0 x 1)

( ) 1
x
P( X x) t (1 t ) 1 dt 0 x 1 0 0
0
( ) ( )
For Beta distributions transformed to the range [A,B], use BETA.DIST(x, , , 1, A, B)

=BETA.INV(p, , ) 100pth-percentile P(X Xp) = p


Xp
( )
( )( ) x
1
p P( X X p ) (1 x ) 1 dx
0

For Beta distributions transformed to the range [A,B], use BETA.INV(x, , ,A,B)

Lognormal Distribution

If Y = ln(X) ~ Normal( 2) then X~Lognormal( 2) with:

1 2
/ 2 2
f ( x) e (ln( x ) ) x 0, , 0
2 x
E ( X ) e
2
/2
V ( X ) e 2 e 1
2
2

=LOGNORM.DIST(x, , 0) density function of lognormal distribution: P(Xx)

1 2 2
f ( x) e (ln( t ) ) /2
2 t

=LOGNORM.DIST(ln(x), ,1) cdf of lognormal distribution: P(Xx)

x ln( x ) (t ) 2
1 1
P ( X x)
2 2
e (ln(t ) ) / 2 dt e 2 2
dt
0 2 t 2

=LOGNORM.INV(p, ) 100pth percentile: P(X Xp) = p

Xp
1

2
/ 2 2
p P( X X p ) e (ln(t ) ) dt
0 2 t

Weibull Distribution
=WEIBULL(x, , 0) Weibull probability density function

1 ( x / )
f ( x; , ) x e x 0 , 0

1 x /
A second commonly used parameterization is: x e

Then use: =WEIBULL(x, 0)
=WEIBULL(x, , 1) Weibull cdf

x
1 ( t / )
F ( x; , ) t e dt x 0 , 0
0

Students t-Distribution

=T.DIST(x, , 0) density function ( truncated to integer value) for t distribution P(Xx)

( 1) / 2
( 1)/ 2
t 2
f ( x) 1 x 1
( / 2)

=T.DIST(x, , 1) cdf ( truncated to integer value) for t distribution P(Xx)

( 1) / 2
( 1)/2
t 2
x
P ( X x)
( / 2)
1

dt x 1

=T.DIST.RT(x, ) upper tail area ( truncated to integer value) for t distribution

( 1) / 2
( 1) / 2
t2
P( X x) 1 dt x 0 1
x ( / 2)

=T.INV(p, ) 100pth Percentile of t-distribution


( 1)/2
( 1) / 2
Xp
t 2
p P( X X p )
( / 2)
1

dt

=T.INV.RT(p, ) 100(1-p/2)th Percentile of t-distribution (Only meaningful for p<0.5)


( 1)/ 2
( 1) / 2
X p /2
t 2
p P ( X p /2 X X p / 2 )
X p /2 ( / 2)
1

dt

F-Distribution

=F.DIST (x, 1, 2, 0) Density for F1,2 Distribution ( 1, 2 truncated to integers)

( 1 2 ) / 2 ( 1 / 2 )1 /2
(1 2 )/2
( 1 /2) 1 1 f
f ( x) (f) 1 x 0 1 , 2 1
( 1 / 2)( 2 / 2) 2

=F.DIST(x, 1, 2, 1) cdf for F1,2 Distribution ( 1, 2 truncated to integers)

( 1 2 ) / 2 ( 1 / 2 )1 /2
(1 2 )/2
( 1 /2) 1 1 f
x
P( X x) (f) 1 df x 0 1 , 2 1
0
( 1 / 2)( 2 / 2) 2

=F.DIST.RT(x, 1, 2) Upper tail area for F1,2 Distribution ( 1, 2 truncated to integers)

( 1 2 ) / 2 ( 1 / 2 ) 1 / 2
( 1 2 ) / 2
f
P( X x) ( f ) ( 1 / 2)1 1 1 df x 0 1 , 2 1
x
( 1 / 2)( 2 / 2) 2

=F.INV(p, 1, 2) 100pth percentile of F1,2 Distribution ( 1, 2 truncated to integers)

( 1 2 ) / 2 ( 1 / 2 )1 /2
Xp (1 2 )/2
f
p P( X X p )
0
( 1 / 2)( 2 / 2)
( f ) (1 /2) 1 1 1
2
df X p 0 1 , 2 1

=F.INV.RT(p, 1, 2) 100(1-p)th percentile of F1,2 Distribution ( 1, 2 truncated to integers)

( 1 2 ) / 2 ( 1 / 2 )1 / 2
( 1 2 ) / 2
f
p P( X X p ) ( f ) (1 / 2 )1 1 1 df X p 0 1 , 2 1
Xp
( 1 / 2)( 2 / 2) 2

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