Algeco Modular & Pallet Market Leader
Algeco Modular & Pallet Market Leader
MARCH 3, 2004
Algeco’s principal line of business is the design, manufacture, 140 Algeco SBF rebased to Algeco
rent, and sale of Modular Buildings in Europe
120
#1 position in Europe and #2 globally with a #1 position in
France, Germany, Spain, Portugal and #2 in Italy 100
105%
The second line of business is pallet rental (La Palette Rouge) 80
#2 position in France, Iberia and Benelux 60 32%
The rental of tanker rail cars and special containers business has 40
been sold for €1.2mm to VTG Lehnkering in January 2003, but 20
will still generate revenues for Algeco until 2008
0
Algeco has a total of 4,778,000 shares (fully diluted)
19/09/97 30/04/99 08/12/00 19/07/02 27/02/04
Sales 250 329 404 395 376 400 433 Michael BEHRENDT (Vice Chairman) Jean-Pierre LABRUYERE
growth % 10.0% 31.4% 22.9% (2.1%) (4.8%) 6.4% 8.3% Günther CASJENS Jacques LOPPION
Joachim EILERT Patrick MERMILLIOD
% EBITDA margin¹ 35% 32% 32% 32% 31% 32% 32%
AL G E C O
Algeco is the European market leader for modular constructions with a fleet 2001A 2002A 2003A H1-02 H1-03
comprising 104,000 units in 2002 at a utilisation rate of 79% Sales 1 343 321 3104 149 154
Algeco is the #1 player in the French and German markets - France, Germany growth % 2 21% (7)% (3%) (12)% 3%
and the UK accounting for three-fourths of the European market
EBITA 67 56 27 21
Algeco’s manufacturing facilities are based on designing and assembling modular margin % 19% 18% 18% 14%
buildings and are highly flexible
CAPEX 70 51 26 8
Buildings or modules are either sold (30%) or leased (70%)
% of sales 20% 16% 18% 5%
Between end of 1998 and end 2002, number of units grew from 63,000 to Source: Company information
104,000 (13.4% CAGR)
¹ H1-03 includes €8.8 mm from sale and leaseback to investor, on a like for like basis sales were down 9.7%
AL G E C O
4 Adjusted for sale and lease back revenues for Modular Constructions (€19.2mm in 2003)
Founded in 1992 and acquired in 1997 by Preussag, La Palette Rouge 2001A 2002A 2003A H1-02 H1-03
(LPR) provides pallet rental and pallet fleet management services with Sales 47 61 66 29 35
a focus on FMCG (fast-moving consumer goods) growth %1 30% (9%) 28% 22%
Products comprise wooden standard pallets, FRAICH pallets and
EBITA 4 6 3 1
boxes (fruit), plastic pallet (hygiene), paperboard pallets and
special pallets margin % 8% 10% 9% 2%
LPR can assume the full range of services that come with the rental CAPEX 36 44 33 27
of pallets % of sales 78% 72% 115% 76%
Over the last 5 years the company has pursued an aggressive growth
strategy resulting in negative historical cash flows
at 20%
18.5%
Algeco is the challenger on the
2.5 mm 5.9%
European pallet rental market with Chep 75%
an estimated 11 % market share
Pallet turnover: 215mm p.a 1998 H2-2003
1998 2002
B U S I N E S S
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 European market growth of 5% p.a.
construction
Revenues 129 158 175 200 213 284 343 321 310 Algeco 2014E market share of 27% (stable)
Modular
Revenues - - 4 14 24 31 47 61 66
Capex
La Palette
% growth - - - 241% 73% 30% 53% 30% 90% Maintenance capex: 7-8% of Rentals revenues
Rouge
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Analysis of 2 main markets: France and Spain
1
Revenues 142 171 192 227 250 328 403 395 376 Market growth of 1% p.a.
P R O F I L E
% growth 11% 20% 12% 19% 10% 31% 23% (2%) (5%)
2014F externalisation rate of 55%
Group Algeco
Revenues – total2 395 376 400 433 470 509 548 588 626 665 704 746 788
% growth (4.8%) 6.4% 8.3% 8.3% 8.4% 7.6% 7.4% 6.5% 6.2% 5.9% 5.9% 5.7%
EBITDA – total3 125 118 127 139 151 166 184 202 220 233 247 262 277
% margin 32% 31% 32% 32% 32% 33% 34% 34% 35% 35% 35% 35% 35%
Capex – total 95 64 68 86 94 104 109 119 116 117 123 129 130
Total² % of sales 24% 17% 17% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 19% 18% 17% 17% 16%
Change
in NWI (9) 3 0 (1) (0) (0) (5) (5) (5) (5) (5) (5) (5)
Current trading
Sale — 2003E reported on February 9th, 2004 Although those sales figures were higher than expected, Algeco still announces a
B U S I N E S S
Above expectations — Adjusted sales decreasing only by 1.4% decrease in margins and consolidated profit for the full year 2003
Negative drivers : soft investment market and pressure on prices
Anticipated full recovery only by 2005
Euronova Asset Management Limited United Kingdom 0.1% Hapag Lloyd Holding France seems to hold only Algeco shares
Cpr Asset Management France 0.1%
Credit Lyonnais Asset Management France 0.1% Institutional shareholders are likely to behave rationally and
Banque Syz & Co. S.A. Switzerland 0.1% dispose
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc United States 0.0%
Credit Du Nord S.A. (France) France 0.0% 95% risk lies particularly with private individuals that might
Credit Mutuel Finance France 0.0% have invested above offer price, might not be aware of the
P R E LI M I N AR Y
Source: Shareworld, Company information, AMF and Euronext Paris as of January 2004
¹ As of March 2003
25.8% 26.6%
24.9%
23.4%
19.8% 20.3%
18.1% 18.0% 18.8%
AN AL Y SI S
VAL U AT I O N
120
100
Price at February 27, 2004 (€87.3,
23% premium to Jan 20 price)
80
AN AL Y SI S
60
Price at January
20, 2004 (€71.1)
40
VAL U AT I O N
21/01/04:
TUI announces its intention to dispose of its 67%
stake in Algeco
20
19/09/97 10/07/98 30/04/99 18/02/00 08/12/00 28/09/01 19/07/02 09/05/03 27/02/04
7
12
6
LTM rolling average
LTM rolling average 10
5
Average:
Average: 8.6x
4.6x 8
AN AL Y S I S
6
3
MU L T I P L E S
2 4
22/09/97 27/10/98 02/12/99 06/01/01 11/02/02 19/03/03 23/04/04 22/09/97 27/10/98 02/12/99 06/01/01 11/02/02 19/03/03 23/04/04