Conditional Simulation
Kriging Vs. CS
Kriging Conditional simulation
Input -> Input ->
•Variogram •Variogram and normal gaussian
distribution
•Values @ certain points
•Values @ certain points
Results ->
Results ->
•Smooth property map
•Smooth property map
•Honors data points
•Honors data points
•Honors data mean
•Honors data mean, variance and
•Generated map has a different
variogram
variogram and variance but minimizes
the error variance. •Several realization can be obtained
•As the number of realizations
becomes very large heir mean
become closer to kriging
Conditional Simulation
CS based on MCS
% % % Funciones de probabilidad
φ1 k1 VR
P90
Probabilidad de
P50
que el VHCIP
sea menor que
el indicado P10
VHCP
I
Valores aleatorios dependiendo de la
función de probabilidad de cada parámetro
Frecuencia acumulada Tipo de valor Nomenclatura
90% Valor probado P90
50% Valor probado + probable P50
10% Valor probado + probable + P10
posible
Conditional Simulation
CS base on MCS
Sampling each parameter according to its input pdf
•Continuous parameter
•Discrete random variables
Field A OOIP prob function Field B OOIP prob function
f(x) f(x)
Field A+B OOIP prob function
f(x) Full independence assumption
Full dependence assumption
Conditional Simulation
Generating samples of parameters that are correlated with each other
MCS classical approach assume full independence between parameters
Sampling correlated parameters through Regression function+ Random
interval
Property A Prob. Function y
f(x)
Property A
Property B
Sampling 1 parameter
st
Regresion + Random interval
(regression reliability)
Conditional Simulation
SGS (Sequential Gaussian Simulation)
CS base algorithm
Generalization of MCS for 3D modelling
Draw random locations between wells Estimate kriged value and SD
17 % 17 % 17 % 18 % 17 %
19 % 21 % 19 % 21 %
Mean &
Sample from varianc Merged sample
Gaussian e value and draw
histogram. MCS 17 % new location
19 % 17 %
x 19 % 21 %
19 %
Conditional Simulation
Conditional simulation for Geological Facies Modeling
1. Lithologies coded by integers
Pixel-based approach
2. Indicator variables (presence or
absence of facies of interest along the
Well A wells)
0 0 3. Indicator variogram
1 1
1 1 4. SIS.- Similar to SGS
1 1 Channel
Coded 1 1
Lithology 1 1 Indicator
1 1 Variable
1 1
0 0
2 2 γ(h)
2 2
0 0
Range
0 Shale 0 No Channel
1 Sandstone 1 Channel
2 Anhidrite Well B
0 0
1 1
1 1 h
1 1 Channel
Coded 1 1
Lithology 1 1 Indicator
1 1 Variable
1 1
0 0
2 2
2 2
0 0
0 Shale 0 No Channel
1 Sandstone 1 Channel
2 Anhidrite
Conditional Simulation
Object based approach
1. Facies associated with well-defined geometries. Size is random and quantified
2. Constrain
3. Well spacing