Process Planning and Cost Estimation Notes
Process Planning and Cost Estimation Notes
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(c) Operations having a great amount of manual work.
(d) Operations where materials are moved for a long distance.
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The chart records the activities of the steno. Here, the manager calls the steno and
dictates a letter. The steno takes notes of the letter, types it, gets the signature of the manager and
sends it for dispatching. These activities are shown in the chart. This is operator type flow
process chart. Considering the message in the letter as material, we can prepare the material type
flow process chart.
Operation: Represents the activities grasp, position, use, release etc. of a tool,
component or
material.
Transport: Represents the movement of the hand or limb to or from the work or a tool
or material.
Delay: Refers to the time when the hand or limb is idle.
Storage (Hold): The term ‗hold‘ is used here instead of storage. This refers to the time
when the
work is held by hand.
The activity ‗inspection‘ by hand is considered as an operation. Hence, the symbol for
inspection
is not used in this chart.
Two-handed process chart can be used for assembly, machining and clerical jobs.
General guidelines for preparing the chart
1. Provide all information about the job in the chart.
2. Study the operation cycle a few times before starting to record.
3. Record one hand at a time.
4. First record the activities of the hand which starts the work first.
5. Do not combine the different activities like operations, transport etc.
Example 1.8
Example of a two-handed process chart is shown in figure 1.4. Here the assembly of a nut
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The horizontal lines represent the time scale. Activities of left hand and right hand shown
in
the same line occur at the same moment.
Summary of the number of each activity can be tabulated at the bottom of the chart. The
chart is first drawn for the existing method. This chart is analysed and if it is found that one hand
is over loaded than the other, modification are done in the layout of the workplace or in the
sequence of activities. Then a new chart is made for the proposed cycle.
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find out the correct number of machines that a worker can operate at a time. We can also find out
the exact number of workers needed to do a job jointly.
To record the time, ordinary wrist watch or stop watch is used. High accuracy is not needed.
Man-machine chart is a type of multiple activity chart. Here, the activities of a number of
machines are recorded.
An example of man-machine chart is shown in figure 1.5. Here one operator two semi-
automatic
machines simultaneously. The activities of the operator is recorded in a separate vertical column.
The activities of the two machines are recorded in two separate vertical columns. The different
activities like loading, machining and unloading are represented by different symbols. Blank
space shows the idle time.
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of savings can be achieved in cost and effort. If the path of movement of material is not frequent
and simple, a flow diagram is used for recording the movement.
A flow diagram is a diagram which is drawn to scale. The relative position of
machineries, gang ways, material handling equipment etc. are drawn first. Then the path
followed by men or material is marked on the diagram. Different movements can be marked in
different colours. Process symbols are added to the diagram to identify the different activities at
different work centres.
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2. Other informations like location, name of the shop, name of the person drawing the
diagram
are also given.
3. The path followed by the material is shown by a flow line.
4. Direction of movement is shown by small arrows along the flow lines.
5. The different activities are represented by the symbols on the flow lines. (Same symbols
used in flow process chart are used here).
6. If more than one product is to be shown in the diagram different colours are used for
each
path.
1.3.7 String Diagram
We make use of flow diagram for recording the movement of men or material when the
movement is simple and the path is almost fixed. But when the paths are many and are repetitive,
it may not be possible to record them in a flow diagram. Here a string diagram is used.
String diagram is a scaled plan of the shop. Location of machines and various facilities are
drawn to scale in a drawing sheet. Pins are fixed at the various work centres in the drawing sheet.
A continuous coloured thread or string is taken round the pins where the material or worker
moves during the process.
Constructions
1. Draw the layout of the shop to scale in a drawing sheet.
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2. Mark the various work centres like machines, stores, work bench etc. in the diagram.
3. Hold the drawing sheet on a soft board and fix pins at the work centres.
4. Tie one end of a coloured string to the work centre from which the movement starts.
5. Follow the path of the worker to different work centre and accordingly take the thread to
different points on the drawing board.
6. At the end of the session note down the number of movements from one work centre to
another.
7. Remove the string and measure the total length of the string. Multiply by the scale and
get the actual distance of movement.
Applications
1. It is used for recording the complex movements of material or men.
2. Back tracking, congestion, bottlenecks, under utilized paths are easily found out.
3. It is used to check whether the work station is correctly located.
4. Used to record irregular movements.
5. Used to find out the most economical route.
1.4 WORK MEASUREMENT
Work measurement is a technique to establish the time required for a qualified worker to
carry out
a specified job at a defined level of performance.
Objectives of work measurement
1. To reduce or eliminate non-productive time.
2. To fix the standard time for doing a job.
3. To develop standard data for future reference.
4. To improve methods.
Uses of work measurements
1. To compare the efficiency of alternate methods. When two or more methods are available
for doing the same job, the time for each method is found out by work measurement. The
method which takes minimum time is selected.
2. Standard time is used as a basis for wage incentive schemes.
3. It helps for the estimation of cost. Knowing the time standards, it is possible to work out
the cost of the product. This helps to quote rates for tenders.
4. It helps to plan the workload of man and machine.
5. It helps to determine the requirement of men and machine. When we know the time to
produce one piece and also the quantity to be produced, it is easy to calculate the total
requirement of men and machines.
6. It helps in better production control. Time standards help accurate scheduling. So the
production control can be done efficiently.
7. It helps to control the cost of production. With the help of time standards, the cost of
production can be worked out. This cost is used as a basis for control.
8. It helps to fix the delivery date to the customer. By knowing the standard time we will be
able to calculate the time required for manufacturing the required quantity of products.
1.5 TECHNIQUES OF WORK MEASUREMENT
The different techniques used in work measurement are
1. Stop watch time study.
2. Production study.
3. Work sampling or Ratio delay study.
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1. Selection of job
Time study is always done after method study. Under the following situations, a job is
selected for
time study:
1. A new job, new component or a new operation.
2. When new time standard is required.
3. To check the correctness of the existing time standard.
4. When the cost of operation is found to be high.
5. Before introducing an incentive scheme.
6. When two methods are to be compared.
2. Record
The following informations are recorded
1. About the product-name, product-number, specification.
2. About the machine, equipment and tools.
3. About the working condition-temperature-humidity-lighting etc. These informations are
used
when deciding about the allowances.
4. About the operator name-experience-age etc. This is needed for rating the operator.
3. Break down operation into elements
Each operation is divided into a number of elements. This is done for easy observation and
accurate
measurement. The elements are grouped as constant element, variable element, occasional
element, man element, machine element etc.
4. Examine each element
The elements are examined to find out whether they are effective or wasteful. Elements are
also examined whether they are done in the correct method.
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Classification of elements
1. Repetitive elements
It is an element which occurs in every work cycle of the job.
Example 1.9
Loading the machine, locating a job in a fixture.
2. Constant element
It is an element for which the basic time remains constant whenever it is performed.
Example 1.10
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throughout the study. At the end of each element the watch readings are recorded on the study
sheet. The time for each element is calculated by successive subtraction. The final reading of the
stop watch gives the total time. This is the observed time (O.T.).
1.6 CALCULATION OF BASIC TIME
Basic time is the time taken by an operator of standard performance (rating of 100). A
man whose work is observed, may be a slow worker or a fast worker. His rating may be less than
100 or above 100. The observed time cannot be taken as the basic time. Here the rating factor is
applied and basic time is calculated as follows.
For example, assume that observed time for an operation is 0.7 mts. The rating of the
operator
is found to be 120.
1.7 ALLOWANCES
Various types of allowance are
1. Rest and personal allowance.
2. Process allowance.
3. Contingency allowance.
4. Special allowance.
5. Policy allowance.
1.8 CALCULATION OF STANDARD TIME
Standard time or allowed time is the total time in which a job should be completed at
standard
performance. It is the sum of normal time (basic time) and allowances. Policy allowance is not
included.
Standard time is worked out in a stop watch time study in the following manner.
Observed time
This is the actual time observed by using a stop watch. The observed time of an operation is
the
total of the elemental times.
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The time study for the same job is conducted for a number of times. The average of the
observed times is calculated.
Basic or normal time
Basic time is the time taken by a worker with standard performance. Basic time is calculated
from
the observed time by applying the rating factor.
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made. These are stored in a file. This is called time standard data bank. Data bank contains data
in the form of
1. Tabulated standard time for constant elements.
2. Charts and graphs.
3. Formulae etc.
1.12 ANALYTICAL ESTIMATING
Setting the time standards for long and non-repetitive operations by stop watch method
are uneconomical. Analytical estimating technique determines the time values for such jobs
either by using the synthetic data or on the basic of the past experience of the estimator when no
synthetic or standard data is available. In order to produce accurate results the estimator must
have sufficient experience of estimating, motion study, time study and the use of synthesized
time standards.
1.13 PREDETERMINED MOTION TIME SYSTEM (PMTS)
Definition: PMTS is a work measurement technique where by times, established for basic
human motions (classified according to the nature of the motion and the conditions under which
it is made) are used to build up the time for a job at a defined level of performance. Few well-
known systems using this concept are
1.14.2 Applications
In practice, ergonomics has been applied to a number of areas as discussed below
1. Working environments 2. The work place, and 3. Other areas.
1. Working environments
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(a) The environment aspect includes considerations regarding light, climatic conditions
(i.e.,
temperature, humidity and fresh air circulation), noise, bad odour, smokes, fumes, etc., which
affect the health and efficiency of a worker.
(b) Day light should be reinforced with artificial lights, depending upon the nature of work.
(c) The environment should be well-ventilated and comfortable.
(d) Dust and fume collectors should preferably be attached with the equipments giving rise
to
them.
(e) Glares and reflections coming from glazed and polished surfaces should be avoided.
(f) For better perception, different parts or sub-systems of equipment should be coloured
suitably. Colours also add to the sense of pleasure.
(g) Excessive contrast, owing of colour or badly located windows, etc., should be eluded.
(h) Noise, no doubt distracts the attention (thoughts, mind) but if it is slow and continuous,
workers become habituated to it. When the noise is high pitched, intermittent or sudden, it
is more dangerous and needs to be dampened by isolating the place of noise and through
the use of sound absorbing materials.
2. Work place layout
Design considerations
(a) Materials and tools should be available at their predetermined places and close to the
worker.
(b) Tools and materials should preferably be located in the order in which they will be
used.
(c) The supply of materials or parts, if similar work is to be done by each hand, should be
duplicated. That is materials or parts to be assembled by right hand should be kept on right
hand side and those to be assembled by the left hand should be kept on left hand side.
(d) Gravity should be employed, wherever possible, to make raw materials reach the
operator
and to deliver material at its destination (e.g., dropping material through a chute).
(e) Height of the chair and work bench should be arranged in a way that permits
comfortable
work posture. To ensure this
• Height of the chair should be such that top of the work table is about 50 mm below
the
elbow level of the operator.
• Height of the table should be such that worker can work in both standing and
sitting
positions.
• Flat foot rests should be provided for sitting workers.
• Figure 1.12 shows the situation with respect to bench heights and seat heights.
• The height and back of the chair should be adjustable.
• Display panel should be at right angles to the line or sight of the operator.
(f) An instrument with a pointer should be employed for check readings where as for
quantitative readings, digital type of instrument should be preferred.
(g) Hand tools should be possible to be picked up with least disturbance or rhythm and
symmetry
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of movements.
(h) Foot pedals should be used, wherever possible, for clamping declamping and for
disposal
of finished work.
(i) Handles, levers and foot pedals should be possible to be operated without changing
body
position.
(j) Work place must be properly illuminated and should be free from glare to avoid eye
strain.
(k) Work place should be free from the presence of disagreeable elements like heat,
smoke,
dust, noise, excess humidity, vibrations etc.
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Occasionally required Tools (ORT) (hammers etc.) lie in the maximum working area A-
3. After
the assembly has been made at POA, it is dropped into the cut portion in the work table – PDA
(Place for dropping assemblies) from where the assembly is delivered at its destination with the
help of a conveyer. This work place arrangement satisfies most of the principles of motion
economy.
3. Other areas
Other areas include studies related to fatigue, losses caused due to fatigue, rest pauses,
amount of
energy consumed, shift work and age considerations.
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FMCET
UNIT 2
PROCESS PLANNING
PROCESS PLANNING
Process planning is a detailed specification which lists the operation, tools, and facilities
Usually accomplished in manufacturing department
Also known as operations planning
Systematic determination of the engineering processes and systems to manufacture a product
competitively and economically
DEFINITION
Process planning can be defined as an act of preparing a detailed processing documentation for
the manufacture of a piece part or assembly
Manually prepared
Task involves examining and interrupting engineering drawings, making decisions on machining
process selection, equipment selection, operation sequence, and shop practices
Dependent on judgment and experience of process planner
Advantages
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Disadvantages
Very complex
Time consuming
Requires large amount of data
Requires skilled process planner
More possibilities for human error
Increases paper work
Inconsistent process plans results in reduced productivity
To overcome drawbacks of manual process planning Computer Aided Process planning (CAPP) is
used
Provides interface between CAD and CAM
Benefits
Retrieval CAPP system is based on principles of group technology (GT) and part classification and
coding
For each part family, standard process plan is prepared and stored in computer files
Through classification and coding, code number is generated
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Advantages
Once a standard plan has been written, variety of parts can be planned
Requires simple programming and installation
Understandable, and planner has control of final plan
Easy to learn and easy to use
Disadvantages
Preparatory storage
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Process plan
(Route sheet)
In this approach computer is used to synthesize or generate each individual process plan
automatically without reference to any prior plan
Generates the process plan based on decision logics and pre-coded algorithms. Computer stores
the rules of manufacturing and equipment capabilities
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Specific process plan for specific part can be generated without any involvement of process
planner
Part descriptor
Subsystem to identify machine parameters
Subsystem to select and sequence individual operations
Database
Report generator
Advantages
Drawbacks
Component drawing should be analyzed to identify its features, dimensions, and tolerance
specifications
Part’s requirement defined by its features, dimensions, and tolerance specifications will
determine corresponding processing requirements
Basic aim is to determine the type of processing operation that has the capability to generate
various types of features, given the tolerance requirements
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3. Select machines
Machine selection requires determining how the part would be processed on each of the
alternative machines so that best machine can be selected
At this phase, firm has to decide whether to make or buy the component part
Break even analysis is most convenient method for selecting optimum method of manufacture
or machine amongst the competing ones
Function
Appearance
Reliability
Service life
Environment
Compatibility
Productivity
Cost
Determination of set-up times requires knowledge of available tooling and sequence of steps
necessary to prepare the machine for processing given work piece
For establishing accurate set-up times, detailed knowledge of equipment capacity, tooling, and
shop practice required
Calculation of part processing time requires determination of sequence of processing steps on
each machine. This is called as OUTPLANNING
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After calculation of processing time, appropriate times for loading, part unloading, machine
indexing, and other factors involved in one complete cycle for processing a part must be
included to compute the expected machine cycle time
Allowances are added with machine cycle time to calculate standard cycle time for processing
one piece
Appropriate machine rates are added with calculated cycle time to calculate expected standard
cost for given operation
To have a record on hoe a part is processed in order to plan future parts with similar design
requirements in a consistent manner
To provide a record for future job quoting, cost estimating, and standard costing systems
To act as a vehicle for communication
Communication is essential to ensure that part will be processed according to most economical
way
Process documentation and communication provide basis for improved part consistency and
quality in manufacturing
Analyze
Part requirement
Determine
Operation sequence
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1. FLOW CHARTS
Most commonly used tool for collection and display of manufacturing knowledge
No
Condition
1 Action 1
Yes
Yes
Condition
Condition
3
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Yes
No
Condition
No
4
Action 2
No
Yes
No
Condition
Yes
Action 3
Action 4
2. DECISION TABLE
It is a system / logic tool to bring together, analyze, and display complex decision logic in such a
way that its meaning can be easily grasped
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Rules
Condition Condition
IF Stub Entries
Action Action
Stub Entries
THEN
Benefits
It assists the production engineers in thinking through a problem thoroughly and presenting its
resolution in a systematic and rationally structured format
Ensure accuracy, eliminate redundancy, and avoid contradiction
It assists in stating problem, agreeing on criteria, stating alternatives, and accepting actions
between criteria and alternatives
Provide knowledge structure and readable documentation as by-product
Using this tool, knowledge engineers can collect information to develop knowledge base within
predefined decision structure of shell
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Knowledge engineer
Expert
Knowledge base
If/then rules
Interference Engine
Report generator
Conclusions
Inference explanation
Answers
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User
2 MARKS
Process planning can be defined as an act of preparing a detailed processing documentation for
the manufacture of a piece part or assembly.
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Process sheet
Operation sheet
Route sheet
Volume of production
The skill and experience of manpower
Delivery dates for parts or products
Material specifications
Accuracy and process capability of machines
Accuracy requirements of parts or products
To have a record on hoe a part is processed in order to plan future parts with similar design
requirements in a consistent manner
To provide a record for future job quoting, cost estimating, and standard costing systems
To act as a vehicle for communication
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1. Flow charts
It assists the production engineers in thinking through a problem thoroughly and presenting its
resolution in a systematic and rationally structured format
Ensure accuracy, eliminate redundancy, and avoid contradiction
It assists in stating problem, agreeing on criteria, stating alternatives, and accepting actions
between criteria and alternatives
Provide knowledge structure and readable documentation as by-product
Function
Appearance
Reliability
Service life
Environment
Compatibility
Productivity
Cost
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UNIT 3
3.0 INTRODUCTION
Cost estimation may be defined as the process of forecasting the expenses that must be
incurred to manufacture a product.
These expenses take into consideration all expenditures involved in design and
manufacturing with all the related service facilities such as pattern making, tool making as well
as portion of the general administrative and selling costs. Cost estimates are the joint product of
the engineer and the cost accountant.
Estimating is the calculation of the costs which are expected to be incurred in
manufacturing a component in advance before the component is actually manufactured.
Costing may be defined as a system of accounts which systematically and accurately
records every expenditure in order to determine the cost of a product after knowing the different
expenses incurred in various department.
3.1 REASONS FOR DOING ESTIMATES
Cost estimates are developed for a variety of different reasons. The most important reasons
are shown below.
Should the product be produced? When a company designs a new product, a detailed
estimate of cost is developed to assist management in making an intelligent decision about
producing the product.
This detailed estimate of cost includes an estimate of material cost, labour cost, purchased
components and assembly cost. In addition to product cost, many other elements must be
estimated. These include all tooling costs.
A cost estimate must be developed for jigs, fixtures, tools, dies and gauges. Also, the cost
of any capital equipment must be entered into the estimate. These figures are usually supplied
through quotation by vendors.
An estimate of this nature will include a vast amount of details, because if management
approves the project, the estimate now becomes the budget.
Estimates as temporary work standards. Many companies that produce product in high
volume, such as automotive companies, will use estimates on the shop floor as temporary work
standards.
Temporary work standards are replaced with time studied work standards as rapidly as
possible.
3.1.1 Importance of Estimating
Estimating is of great importance to a concern because it enables the factory owner to
decide about the manufacturing and selling policies.
It is obvious that too high estimates will not get jobs to the firm by quoting higher rates
according to over estimate whereas under estimating will put the owner to a loss and will lead
the concern to utter failure.
So, estimation should be carried out accurately. The persons preparing estimates should be
highly qualified and experienced. They should be chosen from shops or should be first trained in
all the shop methods and their estimates preparation.
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The work of cost accountings begins with the pre-planning stage of the product. It ends
only after the whole lot of the product has been fully manufactured. Costing progresses with the
progress of the product through the plant.
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• This method is employed when a standard product is being made which involves a number
of distinct processes performed in a definite sequence.
Introduction to Cost Estimation 83
• In oil refining, chemical manufacture, paper making, flour milling, and cement manufacturing
etc., this method is used.
• The object i.e., record and trace cots for each distinct stage.
• While costing, the by-products of each process should be considered.
• This method indicates the cost of a product at different stages as it passes through various
processes.
• The total time spent and materials used on each process, as well as services such as power,
light and heating are all charged. For this purpose cost sheet may be employed.
The process cost sheet is a summary of all operations for the month. The current operating
charges are entered on the sheet showing
1. The transfer cost from the previous operation.
2. The costs incurred by each operation showing materials, labour and overhead in separate
columns.
This separation of transfer cost and conversion cost is extremely important for the charges
incurred by a department are its measures of efficiency.
The sheet can be used as a basis for:
1. Closing entries at the end of each month.
2. Operating statements, without need to lookup the ledger accounts.
Within the cost ledger an account is kept for each process. The direct material, direct labour and
factory overhead costs are transferred from the process cost sheet. There are debited to the process
account, and then any completed units are credited to cover the transfer to the next process. The balance
on the account represents the work-in-progress at the end of the period, which, of
course, becomes the opening balance for the next period.
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The indirect labour costs cannot be identified with a particular job or product but are
charged on the total number of products made during a particular period in a plant.
3.13 EXPENSES
Apart from material and labour cost in each factory there are several other expenditures
such as cost of special layouts, designs, etc. hire of special tools and equipments; depreciation
charges of plants and factory building; building rent; cost of transportation, salaries and
commissions to salesman etc.
All these expenditures are known as overheads or expenses. So, from above it is clear that
3.13.1 Direct Expenses
Direct expenses also known as chargeable expenses include any expenditure other than
direct material or direct labour incurred on a specific cost unit. These are the expenses which can
be charged directly to a particular job and are done for that specific job only. For example, hire
of special tools and equipment, cost of special jigs and fixtures or some special patterns and its
maintenance cost,
costs of layouts, designs and drawings or experimental work on a particular job etc.
3.13.2 Indirect Expenses (Overheads)
These are known as overhead charges, burden or on cost. All the expenses over and above
prime cost are indirect expenses. Overhead is the sum of indirect labour cost, indirect material
cost and other expenses including service which cannot be conveniently charged to specific cost
unit. These can be further classified as
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UNIT 4
COST ESTIMATION
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Material cost, for example, is usually priced out in some detail, and this brings greater
accuracy to the estimator by reducing error. If the material part of the estimate has an estimating
error of plus or minus 5 per cent and the reminder of the estimate has an estimating error of plus
or minus 10 per cent, the overall error is reduced.
4.1.2 Budgetary
The budgetary estimate can also be a guesstimate but is used for a different purpose. The
budgetary estimate is used for planning the cost of a piece part, assembly, or project.
This type of estimate is typically on the high side because the estimator understands that
a low estimate could create real problems.
4.1.3 Using Past History
Using past history is a very popular way of developing estimates for new work. Some
companies go to great lengths to ensure that estimates are developed in the same way actual cost
is conducted.
This provides a way past history in developing new estimates. New advancements in
group
technology now provide a way for the microcomputer to assist in this effort.
4.1.4 Estimating in Some Detail
Some estimators vary the amount of detail in an estimate depending on the risk and dollar
amount
of the estimate. This is true in most contract shops. This level of detail might be at the operation
level where operation 10 might be a turning operation and the estimator would estimate the setup
time at 0.5 hours and the run time at 5.00 minutes. The material part of the estimate is usually
calculated out in detail to reduce estimating error.
4.1.5 Estimating in Complete Detail
When the risk of being wrong is high or the dollar amount of the estimate is high, the
estimator will develop the estimate in as much detail as possible.
Detailed estimates for machinery operations, for example, would include calculations for
speeds, feeds, cutting times, load and unload times and even machine manipulations factors.
These time values are calculated as standard time and adjusted with an efficiency factor
to predict actual performance.
4.1.6 Parametric Estimating
Parametric estimating is an estimating method developed and used by trade associations.
New housing constructions can be estimated on the basis of cost per square.
There would be different figures for wood construction as compared with brick and for
single strong construction as compared with multilevel construction.
Some heat-beating companies price work on a cost per pound basis and have different
cost curves for different heat-treating methods.
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Major projects of this nature will have a PERT network to keep track of the many
complexities of the project. A team of people with a project leader is usually required to develop
a project estimate.
4.2 STANDARD DATA
Standard data are defined as standard time values for all the manual work in an estimate
standard
data provide the opportunity for the estimator to be consistent in developing an estimate.
4.2.1 How Standard Data are Developed?
Standard data are developed in a variety of ways depending on the industry that uses
them. Experience shows that it is easier to develop standard data for machinery operation as
compared with fabrication operation.
This is because machinery operations can be calculated by using speeds, feeds and
lengths of cut to determine time values.
Most of the work content of a fabrication operation is manual effort rather than machine
time, and for this reason reliable standard data for the fabrication industry are difficult to find.
Listed below are the basic methods used to develop standard data.
4.2.2 Past History
Many companies use past history or actual performance on joules produced to develop
standard data.
Developing standard data this way rarely considers the best method of organizing work.
This method is popular in smaller companies that do not have industrial engineers or time study
engineers.
4.2.3 Time Study
Larger, well-organised companies will develop standard data from stop-watch time
studies. Time studies are used to establish rates of production.
However, when time studies are also used to establish standard data, care must be taken
in defining element content so work content can be isolated.
Time study engineers must be taught how to establish the element content of their studies
in a way that will permit the development of standard data.
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Levels of details
Some computer estimating systems provide different levels of estimating cost. The level
of detail selected by the user depends on the dollar risk.
Many estimators produce an estimate in more detail because the computer can calculate
speeds and feeds, for example, much faster than an estimator can a hand-held calculators.
Refinements
Some computer estimating systems provide many refinements that would be impossible
for the estimator to do in any timely manner. One example is to adjust speeds and feeds for
material hardness.
Typically, the harder the material the more slowly a part will be turned or bored. Another
refinement is the ability to calculate a feed state and adjust it based on the width of a form tool.
Source code
Some companies offer the source code uncompiled to their users. This is important
because it affords the user the opportunity to customize the software.
In addition, many companies have written their
own software to do something that is not available on the market. If the source code is not
compiled, the users can build upon a computer estimating system.
Disadvantages
The chief disadvantage of computer estimating is that no one estimating system can suit
everyone‘s need. This is especially true if the source code is compiled and not customizable.
Another problem with computer estimating is that the estimator will, in all probability,
have to change some estimating methods. Computer software for estimating cost is seldom
written around one method of estimating.
4.4.2 Group Technology
Group technology is not new. It was invented by a Russian engineer over 30 years ago.
Unfortunately the subject is not taught in many of our colleges and universities.
Group technology (GT) is a coding system to describe something. Several proprietary
systems are on the market.
One such system, the MICAPP system, uses four code lengths, a 10-,15-,20-,25- digit
code. The code length selected is based on the complexity of the piece part or tool being
described.
Use for group technology
Shown below are several uses for group technology along with several examples of use both
internally
and externally.
Cost estimating
GT can be used very efficiently in estimating cost. Assume a company manufactures
shaft-type parts. Also arsum there is a computer data base named SHAFT that contains 10-digit
code followed by a part number, that is, code part number, and so on.
When an estimator must estimate the cost of a new shaft, the process starts by developing
a code that describes the characteristics of the part. The first digit in the code might be assigned
the part length, while the second digit is assigned the largest diameter and so on.
Next, the code is keyed in and the computer finds all the parts that meet the numeric
descriptions and points out the part numbers. The best fit is selected to be modified into a new
part.
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All the details of each description are retrieved. These include diameter, length of cut,
number of surfaces, and the like. The estimator can alter these features and make the old part into
a new one.
Actual performance
As the part is being produced, the estimated information is updated with actual
performance and refined. This gives the estimator the ability to improve estimating accuracy,
because the next time, the computer finds that part as one to be modified into a new one, the
estimator is working with actual performance.
Other use for GT
There are many other uses for group technology one that is similar to estimating is
variant process planning, in which a standard process plan is on file for each operation and can
be modified into a new plan. One carbide tool manufacturer produced a line of carbide drills and
reamers and in their series 10 line and they had 758 different designs.
After a matrix to describe these tools was developed, a code for each tool was developed
and the database was established. The company conducted a redundancy search and found that
9% of the existing designs were either look-alikes or very similar. Now the company conducts a
database search first when confronted with a new design.
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This method is known as the ―unit value‖ method over a period of time, the estimator
collects actual time values about dies being produced. Once the estimator is satisfied that the data
are correct, they are over aged into usable hours.
As an example, this might include 4 hours for every inch of forming or 3 hours for every
hole under 2 inches in diameter. The unit value can stand for several meanings. For flowing it is
a number of inches being formed.
For holes under 2 inches, in diameter, it represents the number of holes. The estimator
might establish a factor of 40 hours for a degree of difficulty. If the scrap cutter is ‗Standard‖ the
unit value is 1.
If the scrap cutter is more difficult, the unit value might have a value of 1.5 where the
hours allotted would be 60.
Helicopter transmission
A helicopter transmission is a large complicated assembly comprised of a planetary gear
system, bevel gears, shafting, and housings. Budgetary estimates for a transmission are usually
developed using a variety of parametric methods.
The housing costs are based on weight. The bevel gear cost is based on number of teeth,
and the planetary gear cost is based on gear face width and number of teeth. If methods like these
were not employed, it would take hundred man-hour to produce an estimate.
Collecting and testing data
The single most important activity in parametric estimating is data collection and testing.
Once the estimator develops the estimating methods, enough sample data should be collected for
a natural bell curve. Statistical testing of the curve is also very important.
Once the parametric data are used for estimating it is important to continually test them
against actual performance and refine them as necessary.
(a) Other factors that affect cost estimating
There are other factors that affect the accuracy of a cost estimate. Several of these are
cited below.
Project estimating
Inflation analysis and risk analysis come into play in project estimating. A multi-year
estimate, such as many government contracts, is especially sensitive to both these factors.
Inflation
When the estimate is being developed for future time periods, inflation rates are very
important
considerations.
The three most popular measurements of inflation are the wholesale price index, the
implicit price index, and the consumer index, the last being the most quoted.
Because inflation rates are difficult to estimate accurately most multi-year contracts have
some provisions reopeners to renegotiate. An after-tax evaluation of a multi-year project
provides a more accurate assessment because it take into consideration costs that are not
sensitive to inflation.
These costs might be loans repayment, leases, and depreciation costs.
Risk analysis
Risk analysis is a series of methods used to quantify uncertainty. Most of these methods
are math
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models. Three broad classifications of risk associated with a project are cost, schedule, and
performance. Some of the most popular methods of risk analysis are:
1. Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT).
2. Probabilistic Analysis of Network (PAN).
3. Risk Information System and Network Evaluation Technique (RISNET).
4.4.4 Statistical Estimating
The analysis of data through the use of statistical methods has been used for centuries.
These
data can be cost versus other information that leads to cost development.
The practitioner must have a well-founded background in the use and application of
statistical methods because an endless array of methods is available, several of which are
described below.
Parametric estimating
Statistical estimating is another form of parametric estimating. The parametric methods
made industry oriented whereas the methods discussed below are universal.
Regression analysis
They form most popular of regression analysis are simple regression, multiple regression,
log-linear regression and curvilinear regression.
Each math model is different and is designed for a specific use. Information can be
regressed along a straight line or along a curve.
Statistical estimating methods are very useful in parametric estimating. To use any of
these methods also requires the user to have a sound knowledge of ―goodness of data fit‖.
Math models are available to determine how well data fit a straight line, curve or log-
linear relationship.
Computers
Because of the complex nature of statistical estimating, the use of a computer is required.
Fortunately, many good commercial programs, many of which are not expensive, are available
on the market.
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This emphasizes the importance of making realistic estimates. Realistic estimates are
very essential for the survival and growth of a concern.
4.6 ESTIMATING PROCEDURE
The estimating department is generally attached with the planning department and is
controlled by production manager. The total procedure is considered to have three stages.
(i) Fixing of design, accuracy and finish.
(ii) Proper working of estimating department.
(iii) Obtaining a delivery promise from the progress department in view of existing load
on the
shop.
The planning department sets down the requirements and specifications, type and
quantities of materials, make out the drawing, lays down the methods and sequence of
operations, machines to be used, allowed times and rates of labour etc. Main items to be
estimated in order of sequence are as follows:
1. Price list: To prepare the list of all the components of the product.
2. Buy or Manufacture: To decide which components should be made in the factory itself
and which component should be procured from the market.
3. Weight of material: Determination of the weight of the materials with various
allowances.
4. Material cost: Determination of the material cost either at market price or at a forecast
price.
5. Outside purchases: Determination of prices of outside purchases.
6. Machinery or processing data: Determination of cutting speeds and feeds for the
materials selected and machining times for all operations.
7. Labour cost: Determination of labour cost of each operation from performance times
and wage rates, including manufacturing and assembly and testing.
8. Cost of tools and equipment: Determination of cost of necessary special tools or
equipment etc.
9. Prime cost: Determination of prime cost by adding labour cost into material cost.
10. Factory overheads: Determination of factory on cost and general overhead charges.
11. Package and delivery charges: Determination of package and delivery charges and
also insurance charges if necessary.
12. Total cost: To calculate the total cost.
13. Standard profit and sales price: To decide standard profit and adding this into total
cost so as to fix the sale price.
14. Discount to be allowed: To decide discount allowed to the distributors and adding
this into sale price to get market price or catalogue price.
15. Time of delivery: Determination of time of delivery in collaboration with the progress
department.
16. Approval of management: When the estimate is complete, it is entered into the
‗Estimate form‘ and submitted to the directors and sales department for dispatch of the quotation
or tender.
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It includes any expenditure other than direct material and direct labour incurred on a
specific cost
unit such as
(i) Hire charges of special tools or equipments for a particular production order or
product.
(ii) Cost of special layout, design or drawing.
(iii) Cost of jigs and fixtures/pattern specially meant for the particular job only.
4. Various overhead expenses
All expenses other than direct material, direct labour and other direct expenses are called
overhead expenses. These include the expenses such as
(i) Indirect material cost: These expenses include the cost of oil greases, coolants, cotton
waste,etc.
(ii) Industrial labour cost: These expenses include the salaries of supervisors, foreman,
draftsman, designers, chowkidars, storekeepers, etc.
4.8 CONSTITUENTS OF A JOB ESTIMATE
The various constituents of estimating the cost of a product may be sub-divided as under:
(a) Design time.
(b) Drafting time.
(c) Method studies, time studies, planning and production time.
(d) Design, procurement and manufacture of special patterns, cores, core boxes,
flasks, tools, dies, jigs and fixtures etc.
(e) Experimental work.
Cost Estimation 103
(f) Materials.
(g) Labour.
(h) Overheads.
Design time
The time required for designing a product is estimated either on the basis of similar
product previously manufactured or on the judgement of the designer. This time is generally
considerable in quantity. It should be taken as the important.
(i) Repairs and maintenances expenses of machines and tools.
(ii) Insurance premium on building and plants.
(iii) Expenses of power such as steam, gas, electricity, etc.
(iv) Depreciation on building, furniture and equipment.
(v) Administrative overhead or expenses: These expenses include the salaries of high
officials,persons working in general office, telephone telegraph, stationary etc.
(vi) Selling expenses: These expenses include the salaries of salesman, commission to
salesman,advertising, publicity expenditure.
(vii) Light and power expenses.
(viii) Packing expenses.
(ix) Supervisory staff expenses.
Planned as regard the various processes and time to be taken by each. In case of routine
or repetitive jobs, the planning would be available in the records. This may be checked up and
the necessary modifications required may be made. In case of new jobs its method studies and
time studies must be carried out.
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The jobs should be broken down into its elements. For each part, sub-assembly and
complete assembly, the type and sequence of operation should be studied and planned. Times for
various operation and the schedules for doing the work should be seen.
This time setting effect both the delivery date as well as the cost. In case of a special
order requiring considerable time, a special calculation should be made by making some
allowance factor in estimating the cost of the product. The standard man hour rate should be used
for calculating the cost of the designing time.
Drafting time
The next step after the design of the component is the preparation of its drawing to be
used by the worker during production. An experienced draughtsman is required to prepare them.
He also estimates the time and cost of drafting a new product. The probable time for drafting and
the cost of drafting are estimated on the basis of drawing of similar previous components, and
the standard man hour rate.
Method studies, time studies, planning and production time
Before the product is actually put into production, the material situation and purchase
requisition
are investigated for different materials required for the product.
Now, the job must be produced. The main points to be considered for this purpose are
cost of the equipment, labour, material, depreciation, overheads, repair and maintenance, special
buildings if required, supervision and the time required to conduct the experimental work.
Materials
It is the most important factor in cost estimation of any component. While computing the
cost of
material both the direct and indirect material should be taken into account. For this purpose the
calculations of the quantities of raw materials allowances for scrap, spoilage and wastage during
cutting, punching, turning etc. should be made.
Now the cost of the material is estimated from the rate of the material design,
procurement and manufacture of special patterns, core boxes etc. The cost of special patterns,
core boxes, tools, jigs, fixtures, gauges, consumable cutting fads etc. required for manufacturing
a product should be considered for estimation. This cost should be added to the estimated cost.
This cost is generally estimated in close coordination with Tool Department.
Experimental work
Certain types of experimental work has to be carried out in case of new type of products
or inventions. The main purpose of experimental work is to find the quickest, easiest, and
cheapest way of manufacture product. When estimating the cost of the new or undeveloped type
of products the estimator should be very careful to make proper allowances to the experimental
work.
Labour
For estimating the labour cost, the estimator is to go into greater details. He must be in
knowledge of the various operations to be performed, tool to be used, machines employed and
the departments in which the product is to be manufactured.
He must also be conversant with the wage rate for different operations. For time
calculations we must consider. ―The set up time; the operation time including the handling and
machine time; the tear down time and various allowances like personal fatigue, tool sharpening
or changing, checking etc.
4.9 COLLECTION OF COST
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The various components of cost of any product manufacturing in any production concern
are
1. Prime cost = Direct material cost + Direct labour
cost + Direct expenses (if any)
2. Factory cost = Prime cost + Factory overheads
3. Cost of production = Factory cost + Administrative overheads
+ Miscellaneous overheads (if any)
4. Total cost = Cost of production + Selling and distribution overheads
The selling price of any product manufactured can be arrived at by adding a certain
percentage of profit to total cost.
The given stepped diagram explains the step-by-step procedure of arriving at selling price
of any product manufactured.
4.10 ALLOWANCES IN ESTIMATION
A worker cannot work continuously without rest. His efficiency decreases as time passes
due to fatigue etc. He also requires time for tool sharpening checking measurements and for
personal calls. All these allowance are called miscellaneous allowances.
The allowances amount to 15% of total time. Miscellaneous allowances are classified as
personal fatigue, tool changing of grinding, checking, oiling and cleaning allowances, filling
coolant reservoir and disposing off scraps and surplus, stock, etc.
UNIT 5
PRODUCTION COST ESTIMATION
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Hence, he must be thoroughly acquainted with the rules and formulae of mensuration. The
general formulae for calculating the volume of a simple solid having a uniform crosssectional area
throughout in the direction normal to the section considered, is to find the product of the cross-sectional
area and the length of the solid in the direction normal to the section considered.
To calculate the volume of a complex solid, it should be divided into a number of sample
geometric solids. The volume of all these parts are calculated separately and then added together to get
the total volume.
The volume of a solid of revolution, as generated by the rotation of a plane area about a given
axis in its plane, is equal to the product of the area of the revolving section and the length of the path
covered by its centroid in describing a circle about the axis.
This theorem was given by Guldinus. Volume of a circular ring, a half-round rib surrounding the
boss of a fly wheel, and Vgroove of a V-belt pulley may be calculated by Guildinus theorem.
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