Chap1 Introduction
Chap1 Introduction
Outline
1. Introduction
100 1.1 Introduction
1.2 Definition
Percent Cost Committed
75
50
1.3 Decision-making Process
DESIGN
LIFE CYCLE
0
Conceptual Design
Detailed Design &
Development
Production and/or
Construction
Product/System use
Phaseout/Disposal
1.5 Economic Equivalence
Dr. Sami W. Tabsh, P.E. 1.6 Minimum Attractive Rate of Return
Civil Engineering, AUS 1.7 Cash Flow Diagrams
Reference: Engineering Economy, Blank & Tarquin, McGraw-Hill 1 2
methe
present worth
intract lost
1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return 1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return
The return is the interest earned on invested Example 1.2
funds: The ABC corporation borrowed ~ $50,000 from
Return = (total future amount) - (original amount) * a bank and must repay it -- $56,000 after 1
From the perspective of an investor, the year. Determine the interest amount and the
~
“Rate of Return” (ROR%) is the interest interest rate. Famount F- P
=
=% (EP) x00 =
(0x00 % = = 12
a)
=
37 38
7 %
(18600p) x100
= - -
P =
1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return 1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return
Example 1.4 Solution:
The world bank loans money to governments 1. Total accrued = original + interest
for environmental projects at 8% interest = original + (original)(interest rate)
rate per year. Determine the followings: = $2.0 M + ($2.0 M)(0.08) = $2.16 M
1. What is the worth of a $2.0 million loan, 1 2. Total accrued = original + (original)(interest rate)
year from now? Original amount = (Total accrued)/(1+ interest rate)
2. What was the original worth of a $5.5 million $5.5 M
= = $5.09 M
loan that was initiated 1 year ago? (1+0.08)
3. What is the charge accumulated in 1 year on 3. Interest = (original) (interest rate)
$3.5 million loan? 39 = ($3.5 M)(0.08) = $0.28 M or $280,00040
1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return 1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return
P(1 + i) o
-
.
f =
Ii
A) 0 . 97
proposals. A) 0 S = 0 .
1 (1 + i) =
0 .
1" + o .
1 :
+
.
i = 4 = 4
decial
B) 1 S .
= 1 .
0 (1 + i) = 1 + 10i
41 0 5
.
= i 42
i =
0. S
x
1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return 1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return
Solution: Solution (Cont’d):
Return = (future amount) - (original amount) Although the rate of return on proposal A
Proposal A: (400,000/100,000 x 100 = 400%) is much
Return = (900,000+500,000) – 1,000,000 higher than the rate of return on proposal B
= $400,000 (500,000/1,000,000 x 100 = 50%), you
(after 1 year you will have $1,400,000) should choose proposal B because it yields a
Proposal B: larger return.
Return = 1,500,000 – 1,000,000 Morale: the alternative with highest profitability
= $500,000 is the one to choose if the invested money is
(after 1 year you will have $1,500,000) 43 different in the various proposals. 44
1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return 1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return
There are two different types of interests: (a)
For compound interest, the interest accrued
Simple interest, and (b) Compound interest.
for each interest period is calculated on the
Simple interest is calculated using the principal plus the total amount of interest
principal only, ignoring any interest accrued in accumulated in all previous periods (interest
preceding interest periods. The total simple on top of interest). The interest for one
interest over several periods is computed as period is
Interest = (principal)(No. of periods)(interest rate) Interest = (principal+all accrued interest)(interest rate)
----------- (1.3) ------------- (1.4)
where the interest is expressed in decimals.45 46
1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return 1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return
Interest calculations involve consideration of: P is the amount received or incurred in Year 0.
- interest rate per compounding period = i Typically a large amount, e.g., initial
- number of periods during the term = n construction cost, money collected for loan,...
- present amount of money = P F is the future amount that is equivalent to a
- future amount of money at end of term = F given present amount and/or annual amounts
- amount received or incurred every period = A (received or incurred).
P A is the amount received/incurred every
1 2 3 n-2 n-1 n
period, such as operating and maintenance
0
A costs. It is typically uniform but not always
Interest rate = i F 47 (when O&M costs increase with system age)48
1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of
1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return Return
From Eq. (1.3) for simple interest:
Interest = (principal)(No. of periods)(interest rate) Note that over a one period of time (n = 1
Interest = (P)(n)(i) year), the interest earned on a sum of money
and future payment after n-periods is: is the same, irrespective if the interest rate is
simple or compound:
F = P + Interest = P(1+ni) ------(1.5)
From Eq. (1.4) for compound interest: (a) Simple
Interest = (principal+all accrued interest)(interest rate) F = P(1 + nxi) = P(1 + i) => (F – P) = Pi
Interest = P[(1+i)n – 1] To be derived in chapter 2 (b) Compound
and future payment after n-periods is: F = P(1 + i)n = P(1 + i)1 = P(1 + i) => (F – P) = Pi
F = P + Interest = P(1+i)n ------(1.6) 49 50
1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return 1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return
• Using the formulas for simple and compound Example 1.6
interest, one can determine the future value of
A person financed a new car worth 40,000
$100 at an interest rate of 10%.
800
Dirhams at an interest rate of 9% per year.
Interest is 10% per annum
700 He is required to pay the loan back in a lump
Total $ at Year end
600
500
Compound interest sum after a period of 4 years.
400 (a) How much will the person repay at the end
300
200
of the 4 years if the interest is simple?
Simple interest
100
(b) What would he repay if the interest was
0 01/
compounded? 140
0974) s
, 00
f= 40,000 (1
+ o
.
(1 +
5 10 15 20
0
= 70 , 000 S646AED
.
= =
F SY 40
51 52
=
AED
Years Simple o Hit
,
i 9%
=
1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return 1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return
Solution Calculation Summary for Simple Interest
(a) The interest for each of the 4 years is: (40,000 End of Amount Interest Amount Amount
dirhams)(0.09) = 3,600 dirhams year Borrowed Owed Paid
The total interest for 4 years from Eq. (1.3) is (dirhams) (dirhams) (dirhams) (dirhams)
Total Interest = (40,000 dirhams)(4 years)(0.09) 0 40,000 40,000
1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return 1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return
Solution (Cont’d) Calculation Summary for Compound Interest
(b) The interest and total amount for each of the 4 End of Amount Interest Amount Amount
years are: year Borrowed Owed Paid
Year 1 interest=(40,000 dirhams)(0.09)=3,600 dirhams (dirhams) (dirhams) (dirhams) (dirhams)
Total due after year 1=40,000+3,600=43,600 dirhams 0 40,000 40,000
Year 2 interest=(43,600 dirhams)(0.09)=3,924 dirhams
1 ---- 3,600 43,600 0
Total due after year 2=43,600+3,924=47,524 dirhams
Year 3 interest=(47,524 dirhams)(0.09)=4,277 dirhams 2 ---- 3,924 47,524 0
Total due after year 3=47,524+4,277=51,801 dirhams 3 ---- 4,277 51,801 0
Year 4 interest=(51,801 dirhams)(0.09)=4,662 dirhams 4 ---- 4,662 56,463 56,463
Total due after year 4=51,801+4,662=56,463 dirhams
55
Note: this could have been obtained from Eq. 1.656
1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return 1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return
Example 1.7 Solution:
An Engineer needs a 50,000 AED loan for (i) Duration of loan is n=3 years:
home improvements now and is willing to Bank A (from Eq. 1.5):
return the principal plus the interest after a F = P(1+i*n) = 50,000(1+0.12x3) = 68,000 AED
number of years. He has two alternatives: Bank B (from Eq. 1.6):
-Bank A offers loan at 12% simple interest F = P(1+i)n = 50,000(1+0.10)3 = 66,550 AED
-Bank B offers loan at 10% compound interest Conclusion:
Which option is best economically for him if the Bank B offers a better deal (saving=1,450 AED).
duration of the loan is 3 years? 6 years?
57 58
F = p (1 in)
Simple
+
recall
=
=
"
F P (1 + i)
Compound
=
=
1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return 1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return
(ii) Duration of loan is n=6 years: Example 1.8
Bank A: Determine the time required for money to
F = P(1+i*n) = 50,000(1+0.12x6) = 86,000 AED double if the annual interest rate is:
Bank B: 10% simple
F = P(1+i)n = 50,000(1+0.10)6 = 88,578 AED 10% compounded
I
i) "
Conclusion: o F = p (1+
in 2
=
(1 +o 1)
Bank A offers a better deal (saving=2,578 AED).
.
F = 2p
2 = 1 .
14
T
2p =
p(1 +0 .
1 + n) Log 2= n loght
0 In
losh
1
= .
n = =
7 25 m
59 60
.
--10
h
1.4 Interest Rate & Rate of Return 1.5 Economic Equivalence
Solution: Economic equivalence means that different
sums of money at different times are equal in
Simple Interest (from Eq. 1.5):
economic term.
F = P(1+i*n) in which F = 2P
For example, if the interest rate is 10% per
or 2 = (1+0.1xn) => n = 10 years year, $100 today is equivalent to $110 one
Compounded Interest (from Eq. 1.6): year from today.
F = P(1+i)n in which F = 2P Amount accrued = 100 +100(0.10) = $110
Similarly, $100 today is equivalent to
or 2 = (1+0.1)n = 1.1n
$100/1.1=$90.91 one year ago at an interest
log 2 = n log1.1 => n = 7.27 years rate of 10%.
61 62
Hence, $90.91 last year, $100 today and $110 Economic equivalence considerations can have
one year from today are equivalent at an different forms:
interest rate of 10% per year. Case 1: Finding the future amount (F) to be
yielded by an initial amount (P) at the end of a
Past $90.91 $9.09 $10.0 given period and interest rate.
Example: Jim takes $20,000 now from the bank and
Present $100 $10.0 agrees to pay nothing until five years from now
when he pays everything in a lump sum. How much
Future $110 he needs to pay then if the interest rate is 5%?
1 yr Now 1 yr from
ago now63 64
1.5 Economic Equivalence 1.5 Economic Equivalence
Case 2: Finding the initial amount (P) that would Case 4: Finding the final compounded amount (F)
yield a future amount (F) at the end of a given at the end of a given period and interest rate due
period and interest rate. to uniform annual payments (A).
Example: How much should Jim deposit now in his Example: How much should Jim will have in his bank
bank account in order to collect $50,000 five years account five years from now if he deposits $10,000
from now if the interest rate is 5%? annually for 5 years at an interest rate of 5%?
Case 3: Finding the uniform annual payments (A) Case 5: Finding the initial amount (P) that would
that would yield a certain future amount (F) at the yield specified uniform future amounts (A) over a
end of a given period and interest rate. given period and interest rate.
Example: How much should Jim deposit annually in Example: How much should Jim deposit now in his
his bank account in order to collect $50,000 five bank account in order to collect annually $10,000 for
years from now if the interest rate is 5%? 65
a period of five years if the interest rate is 5%? 66
A capital of a company is developed in one Cash from savings, stock sales, or investment
of three ways: used to finance projects is called “equity
1) Equity financing, E, financing.”
2) Debt financing, D, and Cash borrowed from outside sources (bonds,
3) Combination of debt bank loans, mortgages, credit cards, etc.) to
and equity financing, finance projects is considered “debt financing.”
D-E. Most projects are funded with combination of
debt and equity capital (e.g. 25-75, D-E mix).
71 72
1.6 Minimum Attractive Rate of 1.6 Minimum Attractive Rate of
Return Return
250,000 87
1.7 Cash Flow Diagrams 1.7 Cash Flow Diagrams
Example 1.11 Solution:
A ready-mix concrete company has purchased - The purchase price @ t=0 is: -$250,000
a large equipment for $250,000. The annual - The Net Cash Flow after 1 year (@ t=1) is:
income from using the equipment for the next (NCF)1 = +75,000 – 25,000 = +$50,000
10 years is $75,000. Annual operation and @ t=2: (NCF)2 = +75,000 –27,500 = +$47,500
maintenance costs are expected to be @ t=3: (NCF)3 = +75,000 – 30,000 = +$45,000
$25,000 in the first year, rising by $2,500 in and so on…
each of the subsequent years. The salvage @ t=9: (NCF)9 = +75,000 – 45,000 = +$30,000
value of the equipment after 10 years is @ t=10: (NCF)10 = +75,000 – 47,500 + 50,000
$50,000. Draw the cash flow diagram. 85 = +$77,500 86
250,000 87