SP2 Notes
SP2 Notes
1. If a questions asks about the factors affecting capital requirement in any product.
• Design of the contract
• Frequency of payment of the premium
• Relationship between the pricing and supervisory reserving bases
• Additional solvency capital requirements
• Level of the initial expenses (including any initial commission)
bhartisingla78@gmail.com Page 1
• Investment risk
• Underwriting risk
• Competition
• Regulatory risk
• Premium income
• Investment income
• Surrender profit/losses if any
• Profit from without-profit contracts
Monies out:
bhartisingla78@gmail.com Page 2
7. Risks in offering a new product or new feature/options of an old product:
• Policy data
• Business volume
• Mortality risk
• Competition
• Expenses risk
• Investment risk
• Anti-selection risk
• Distribution channel
• Policy administration system
• Capital requirement
• Underwriting
• Withdrawal risk
• Regulatory/Legal risk
• Counterparty risk
• Reinsurance
bhartisingla78@gmail.com Page 3
Assumptions should be made for initial expenses which may include stamp duty, commission,
underwriting cost etc. However, commission is usually fixed and hence no assumption needed.
Although the company cannot deny the cover based on underwriting, but they want to classify
the lives into different groups to enable them to charge appropriate terms. Hence, assumptions
need to be made.
Some expenses are incurred at termination or at the time of claim. The investment expenses will
be minimal in term assurance but assumptions may be needed.
The expenses assumption may also include contribution to the company’s overheads. The
assumptions may consider the recent experience of company’s existing products and consider
how they translate for the term product. The overhead costs may not change but underwriting,
claim cost and investment expenses may change.
The assumptions should also reflect the expected budget for sales staff and business volume.
As these are long term contracts, assumptions may be required to consider future inflation
rates, inflation may be based on expected future wage rate or other source of information.
Also, appropriate margins are needed to be added to reduce the risk of adverse experience, as
this is a new product for the company.
10. Retrospective and prospective reserve and surrender values and the analysis of both methods.
Retrospective method:
The retrospective value will represent the earned asset share at the date of surrender or an
estimate thereof. Therefore, it would represent the maximum that the company could pay
without making a loss.
At early durations it should not look too unreasonable compared with the premiums paid.
However, the retrospective method is likely to produce negative values (and hence zero
surrender values) for regular premium contracts at very short durations, depending on the
relationship between premium, initial expenses and commission.
Disadvantages:
• It does not say anything about the profit the company would have made if the contract
were not surrendered. Hence it is not easy to ensure equity either with continuing
policyholders or with any shareholders.
• Except by chance, the surrender value will not run into the maturity value
bhartisingla78@gmail.com Page 4
The most complex component of the method is obtaining the necessary historic information to
build up earned asset shares or to determine suitable parameters if a formula is used.
Prospective method:
If a realistic basis is used with this method, it will produce a surrender value that represents
what the contract is worth to the company. In the context of without-profits contracts, it
enables the company to quantify how much profit to retain and hence maintain equity with
continuing policyholders and any shareholders.
There is no guarantee that the surrender values produced will not consistently exceed the
earned asset share. Moreover, depending on the basis used, the method could produce
surrender values at early durations that look distinctly unreasonable from the (surrendering)
policyholder’s point of view.
For without-profits contracts, the surrender values will run into the maturity value. The
prospective method is more likely than the retrospective method to produce comparable
surrender values to those available at auction and for comparable competitors’ contracts, since
it is the method that is normally used. However, the assumptions used with the method – rather
than the method itself – are likely to be the more important factor in any such comparisons
Unless the company decides to use a complicated basis, it is relatively easy to operate since it
does not require any knowledge of what has happened in the past
bhartisingla78@gmail.com Page 5
13. Expropriation price:
Expropriation price is the price at which the company cancels the units. In other words, it is the
amount of money that the company should take out of the fund in respect of each unit it
cancels, to preserve the interests of continuing unit-holders.
This gives the net asset value of the fund on an ‘offer basis’. Dividing by the number of units
existing at the valuation date, i.e. before any new units are created, gives the appropriation
price.
This gives the net asset value of the fund on an ‘bid basis’. Dividing by the number of units
existing at the valuation date, i.e. before any units are cancelled, gives the expropriation
price.
bhartisingla78@gmail.com Page 6
17. Different prices in unit-pricing.
• Offer price on offer basis: Appropriation price + initial charges
• Offer price on bid basis: Expropriation price + initial charges
• Bid price on offer basis: Appropriation price
• Bid price on bid basis: Expropriation price
19. List the assumptions the company would require to set the best estimate liability
• Mortality/Longevity assumption
• Mortality improvement factors
• Persistency
• Maintenance expenses
• Investment expenses
• Expense inflation rate
• Investment return
• Discount rate
• Taxation
bhartisingla78@gmail.com Page 7
Cashflow method: A cashflow method would estimate, possibly for individual policies or
possibly with some grouping, the amounts that need to be held now to meet future claims
(including options), expense and tax outgo against the expected premium and investment
revenue inflow.
Future investment returns are based on a risk-free rate of return, irrespective of the type of
asset actually held, and the discount rates are also based on risk-free rates. Risk-free rates may
be based on government bond yields or on swap rates. It may be appropriate to make a
deduction to allow for credit risk.
Under certain conditions, it may be possible to take credit for the illiquidity premium available
on corporate bonds and thereby discount liabilities at a higher yield than the riskfree rate. It
may be difficult to obtain a ‘market-consistent’ assumption for some elements of the basis, such
as mortality, persistency or expenses, for which there is not a sufficiently deep and liquid market
in which to trade or hedge such risks.
It is then likely that a risk margin would be added to the best estimate of the liabilities. This risk
margin would reflect the compensation required by the ‘market’ in return for taking on those
uncertain aspects of the liability cashflows. This could be done by adding a margin to each such
assumption or by using the ‘cost of capital’ approach.
bhartisingla78@gmail.com Page 8
23. List the factors by which the persistency experience could be analyzed.
• Distribution channel
• Target market
• Premium payment frequency
• Size of premium
• Age
• Gender
• Type of contract
• Duration in force
• Original term of the contract
• Premium payment method
24. State the options/alterations that could be attached to an assurance contract. And the
principles that alteration value must satisfy.
• Altering the premium payable
• Altering sum assured
• Altering the term of the contract
• Making it paid-up
• Option to renew contract without further underwriting
Principles:
• Affordability
• Stability
• Fairness
• Avoidance of lapse and re-entry
• Ease of calculation and explanation to policyholders
• Consistency with boundary conditions i.e. surrender, paid-up, new policy
bhartisingla78@gmail.com Page 9
26. What are the distribution channels used by life insurance companies and how they operate.
Ans. The four main distribution channels are:
Insurance intermediaries
These are independent of any particular life insurance company. They can advise their clients on the
best contracts for their needs from among all the contracts available.
They may be remunerated by commission from the insurance companies whose products they sell or by
fees from their clients.
Tied agents
These are salespeople who offer the products of only one or a limited number of insurance companies.
If the tie is to more than one company then usually the product ranges of the companies are mutually
exclusive.
Typically, tied agents are financial institutions such as banks. Tied agents are remunerated by the
companies to which they are tied. The remuneration could be in the form of commission payments or by
salary plus bonuses.
Own salesforce
These are usually employees of a life insurance company and so only sell the products of that company.
They may be paid by salary or commission or a mixture of the two.
Direct marketing
The main forms of direct marketing are telephone selling, press advertising, mailshots, and the Internet.
Telephone selling might involve ‘cold-calling’ by the company or might be in response to an
advertisement (in which case press advertising and telephone selling are part of the same process).
Press advertising might include an application form or invite requests for further information.
Internet selling may be linked to advertising, and is essentially web-based application processing.
27. What are the types of expenses for a life insurance company?
Ans. Initial, renewal, terminal and overheads.
bhartisingla78@gmail.com Page 10
• The workings of the model should be easy to appreciate and communicate. The results should
be displayed clearly.
• The model should exhibit sensible joint behaviour of model variables
• The outputs from the model should be capable of independent verification for reasonableness
and should be communicable to those to whom advice will be given.
• The model must not be overly complex so that either the results become difficult to interpret
and communicate or the model becomes too long or expensive to run, unless this is required by
the purpose of the model.
• The model should be capable of development and refinement
• A range of methods of implementation should be available to facilitate testing,
parameterisation and focus of results.
• The more frequently the cashflows are calculated the more reliable the output from the model,
although there is a danger of spurious accuracy.
• The less frequently the cashflows are calculated the faster the model can be run and results
obtained.
30. What is stochastic model? What are the advantages and disadvantages of stochastic model as
compared to deterministic model?
Ans. Stochastic modelling is now an alternative, under which the investment returns on asset classes
in any given period are modelled as the outcomes of random variables with specified probability
distributions. Such projections can easily be performed on a computer by allowing random drawings
to be made, from the assumed probability distributions, using the computer’s random number
generator.
Advantages:
• The method allows a probability distribution to be assigned to one or more of the unknown
future parameters.
• A positive liability can be calculated where a deterministic approach might otherwise
produce a zero liability, eg where the cashflow includes a minimum guaranteed benefit.
• The future parameters may be assumed to vary together as a dynamic set, which is
particularly useful for modelling with-profits business.
Disadvantages:
• Time and computing constraints – so stochastic modelling work might be done with a very
simplified version of the model, possibly making it unrealistic
bhartisingla78@gmail.com Page 11
• The sensitivity of the results to the (deterministically chosen) assumed values of the
parameter(s) involved.
31. What is an embedded value and how it is calculated? What is an appraisal value?
Ans. Embedded value is the present value of future shareholder profits in respect of the existing
business of a company, including the release of shareholder-owned net assets.
• The shareholder-owned share of net assets, where net assets are defined as the excess of assets
held over those required to meet liabilities.
These assets may be valued at market value or may be discounted to reflect ‘lockin’, for example if they
are required to be retained within the fund to cover solvency capital requirements.
The calculation of the present value of future shareholder profits may differ for different types of
business.
For example:
Conventional without-profits business: the present value of future premiums plus investment income
less claims and expenses, plus the release of supervisory reserves
Unit-linked business: the present value of future charges (including surrender penalties) less expenses
and benefits in excess of the unit fund, plus investment income earned on and the release of any non-
unit reserves
With-profits business: the present value of future shareholder transfers, for example as generated by
bonus declarations.
Example: Net premium valuation approach for liabilities. Historic cost or ‘book value’ possibly with
amortization over time.
➢ An active valuation approach is a valuation approach which is based on more closely to the
market conditions and assumptions are updated frequently.
bhartisingla78@gmail.com Page 12
Example: Market consistent valuation approach for assets and liabilities, Risk-based capital approach for
the solvency capital requirement.
bhartisingla78@gmail.com Page 13
The reinsurer sets a level premium rate. The insurer can price the contract taking this into
account
• Variable risk premium (recurring single premium) approach
The reinsurer sets the reinsurance premium rates. Risk premiums change from year to year,
and the rates may or may not be guaranteed for the policy duration. Reinsurance benefits
are based on a share of the full sum assured or sum at risk.
All the above types may be quota share or individual surplus. Quota share is a constant fixed
proportion reinsured; individual surplus has a maximum retention per life.
36. What factors the company should consider before taking a reinsurance contracts?
• Cost of reinsurance
• Counterparty risk
• Legal risk
• Type of reinsurance
• Amount of reinsurance
bhartisingla78@gmail.com Page 14
37. Factors to be considered when setting retention limit.
• Average benefit level for the product and the expected distribution of the benefit
• Company’s insurance risk appetite
• Level of the company’s free assets and the importance attached to stability of its free asset
ratio
• Terms on which reinsurance can be obtained and the dependence of such terms on the
retention limit
• Level of familiarity of the company with underwriting the type of business involved
• Effect on the company’s regulatory capital requirements of increasing or reducing the
retention limit
• Existence of a profit-sharing arrangement in the reinsurance treaty
• Company’s retention on its other products
• Nature of any future increases in sums assured
39. Describe the forms of underwriting can be used for a term assurance product.
• The company could use underwriting at the policy application stage.
• It could use medical underwriting to identify policyholders who were a higher than normal risk,
to assess what special terms or conditions should apply in such cases, to make sure a fair
premium is charged for each risk, or to determine whether the life should be declined. It is used
to ensure that the company is not selected against. The underwriting may use questions on the
proposal form completed by the applicant, reports from medical doctors that the applicant has
consulted, a medical examination carried out on the applicant and specialist medical tests on
the applicant. It may also be required to comply with conditions of reinsurance arrangements.
• In addition the company may use financial underwriting to ensure the benefits sought are
reasonable given the applicant’s current earnings. The underwriting may use questions on the
proposal form to identify high risk individuals for example through questions on health,
bhartisingla78@gmail.com Page 15
occupation, hobbies, place of residence, and to identify applicants with current symptoms or
conditions which may influence the insurance risk. These may be supplemented by further
questions or medical reports or tests in order to clarify the extent on any conditions and how
they should be reflected in terms given.
• In addition the company may use underwriting at the claim stage to ensure claims are valid. In
practice this is likely to be straightforward involving receipt of a death certificate but may be
enhanced if the product offers any rider benefits relating to ill health. In addition, at the claim
stage it may investigate non disclosure of preexisting conditions or whether an exclusion clause
has been triggered.
Regular reversionary
A regular reversionary bonus is a reversionary bonus that is declared on a regular basis, usually
each year, throughout the lifetime of a contract. Once declared it becomes attached to the basic
benefits and is guaranteed and cannot be taken away. The amount of bonus declared can be
calculated in one of the below mentioned ways
o Simple – the bonus is expressed as a percentage of the basic benefit under the contract
o Compound – the bonus is expressed as a percentage of the basic benefit plus any
already attaching bonus
o Super compound – the bonus is expressed in terms of two percentages; one applied to
the basic benefit and a second applied to any already attaching bonuses.
Special reversionary
A company may declare part or all of a reversionary bonus as a one of special in addition to any
regular reversionary bonus that it is giving. This may be given on say re-structuring of the with
profits fund or on some special occasions such as a golden jubilee celebration of a life insurance
company. Once given, these bonuses are guaranteed and cannot be taken away.
Terminal
Terminal bonus is generally payable on a claim event. For example, death and surrenders (after
X no of years), maturity etc. In theory this implies a potentially constantly changing bonus. In
practice this does not happen, but even so a company will not guarantee to maintain the bonus
at any particular level.
The terminal bonus to give to a particular contract may be specified in a number of different
ways
bhartisingla78@gmail.com Page 16
o A percentage of total attaching reversionary bonus including any special reversionary
bonus. This percentage may vary depending upon the duration in force and original
terms of the contract
o A percentage of total claim amount before addition of terminal bonus. The percentage
generally varies according to the duration in force and size of the basic sum assured.
• Revalorisation method:
Bonuses under the revalorisation approach are granted by increasing the reserves, benefits and
premiums of with-profits contracts by a percentage, r% say.
In determining this percentage, it is common to divide surplus into a ‘savings’ profit (ie
investment surplus) and an ‘insurance’ profit (ie surplus from other sources).
A (high) proportion of the savings profit is usually given to policyholders, with the rest retained
for shareholders. Depending on the market, all the insurance profit may go to shareholders, or it
may be divided between shareholders and policyholders.
• Contribution method
The contribution principle is that each policy receives a share of distributable surplus in
proportion to its contribution to surplus. However, for this purpose policies are classified into
reasonably homogeneous groups.
Various methods exist for determining each policy’s contribution to surplus. One approach uses
a formula to identify the investment, mortality and expense profit from sample policies.
Dividends may be paid as a cash sum, converted to an addition to the benefits, or used to
reduce future premiums.
42. Discuss the risks to the company from the unit-linked business compared to other products and
indicate how these risks may be mitigated.
Investment risk
bhartisingla78@gmail.com Page 17
• Compared to other products, most of the investment risk from the unit-linked contracts is borne
by the policyholders.
• The life insurance company will have indirect exposure if there are charges based on fund value.
• However, the investment risk for the insurance company would significantly increase if any
guarantees are offered under the product, whether on maturity, surrender of death; but the risk
would still be less than a non-linked contract.
• Guarantees would have to be charged which would reduce the return.
• The return to be generated would have to be significantly higher than the guarantee provided,
to allow the company to deduct administrative charges and death benefit charges (if any) and
still meet the guarantee.
• The insurance company may be able to manage this risk by minimizing the guarantees, although
this will make the product less marketable.
• The guarantee is more likely to bite if the policyholder chooses a high return, high risk fund
because such funds are inherently volatile.
• Thus different levels of guarantee may be offered for investment in different funds. Although
administration will be very difficult in such a case, particularly if fund switching is allowed.
• If there is no investment choice offered the unit linked fund can be invested very cautiously.
• However, the returns from such assets may be lower than that expected by the policyholder
leading to policyholder dissatisfaction, reputational risk, high lapses and low future sales
volumes.
• The company could also consider use of derivatives, if allowed by regulations.
Regulatory changes
• Any specific regulatory restrictions on increases to charges would clearly also increase the risk.
• This type of risk will be difficult for the company to control or manage.
Expenses
• Significant risk relates to the expenses of the company being higher than the charges recovered
under the unit linked contracts.
• If the unit growth is lower than expected any recovery from fund related charges towards
meeting expenses may not be enough.
• Risk that the expense inflation is higher than expected may be managed by having some charges
linked to an index of inflation, provided this is acceptable by the policyholders
• The charges could be structured as reviewable to reduce these expense risks, but the Company
may find it difficult to review charges to fully cover expenses, especially if the unit growth has
been less than expected or compared to competitor products.
Surrenders
bhartisingla78@gmail.com Page 18
• Surrenders occurring during the initial policy years, when the non-unit fund is negative or too
small, is a significant risk under unit-linked contracts, especially when there are large initial
expenses exceeding the initial charges. The same risk applies to non-linked products.
• The selective withdrawal risk is likely to be higher, due to the more open charging structures of
the contracts, than under the comparable non-linked contract.
• A surrender penalty may then be imposed in order to reduce the withdrawal risk, but the
surrender penalty amount may be limited by competitor designs and/or regulations
43. Explain why a company may need to hold both a unit reserve and a non-unit reserve under a unit-
linked policy and how it can determine non-unit reserve?
• Under a unit-linked policy, the liability is denominated partly in terms of units and partly in
monetary terms
• The unit reserve represents its liability in terms of units under the contracts
• The non-unit reserve is the amount required to ensure that company is able to pay claims that
exceed the unit reserve, and meet its continuing expenses without recourse to further finance
Non-unit reserves:
bhartisingla78@gmail.com Page 19