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Weekly Po3 e

The document outlines a weekly analysis framework for trading, focusing on the concepts of PO3, accumulation, manipulation, and distribution phases. It emphasizes the importance of understanding market phases and utilizing Standard Deviation (STDV) to project price movements and anticipate market behavior. The document also provides specific strategies for identifying key trading opportunities throughout the week based on various market conditions.

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itspgervais
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
242 views17 pages

Weekly Po3 e

The document outlines a weekly analysis framework for trading, focusing on the concepts of PO3, accumulation, manipulation, and distribution phases. It emphasizes the importance of understanding market phases and utilizing Standard Deviation (STDV) to project price movements and anticipate market behavior. The document also provides specific strategies for identifying key trading opportunities throughout the week based on various market conditions.

Uploaded by

itspgervais
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Weekly PO3

With the help of MMXM


MMXM,, OL
OLH
HC/
C/OH
OHLC
LC,, IR
IRLL / ER
ERLL an
and
d ST
STDV
DV
concepts we can have a good Roadmap for the week.

What is PO
What PO3?
3?
It says advertised Po
Powe
werr of Thre
Threee and describes its components
in development evevery
ery sing
single
le ca
candl
ndlee

Accumulation

Manipulation = PO3
Distribution
The en
The endd of a ph
phas
ase
e auto
automa
matitica
call
lly
y in
init
itia
iate
tess th
the
e ne
next
xt phase, say
phase
if the accumulation ends the mani
manipulpulatio
ation
n beg
begins
ins whe
when
n this
ends distribution begins, that's important to know know because one
phase prproj
ojec
ects
ts th
the
e ot
other
her with the help ofSTDV(Standard

Deviation).

If you are not yet familiar with the concepts of STDV in


connection with PO3 i recommend you to watch the following
video: Core Standard Deviations + PO3 | ICT Concepts |
DexterLab (youtube.com) from Dexter Lab, bec because
ause these are
esse
es sent
ntia
iall pa
part
rtss of my We
Week
ekly
ly PO
PO33 an
anal
alys
ysis
is..

Weekly
Weekly Prof
Profili
iling:
ng:
The development of PO3 takes place in a variety of ways and is
a good narrative to find out what the next DOL (Monthly, Weekly
or Daily IRL / ERL) is likely to be.

Duri
During
ng we
week
ekly
ly pr
prof
ofil
ilin
ing
g we as
ask
k ours
oursel
elve
vess th
the
e qu
ques
esti
tion
on::

- Where are we manipulating ?


- Where are we expanding to?

Now let's get to the profiles, how we can ant


anticipate
icipate and pro
project
ject
them!
Classic Expansion
Timeframe for identification (applies to each profile):
- 1H
When can I expect it?
- Every day has news except Monday or CP
CPII on Tu
Tues
esda
day
y
Accumulation:
It usually takes place on Monday and lets us project the
manipulation range, we know it ends as soon as we get a MSS
and we begin to see an expansion away from it, now the
Manipulation begins.

Manipulation:
It takes place either on Mo
Monda
nday
y or Tu
Tues
esda
dayy and builds the
High
Hi gh/L
/Low
ow of the
the we
week
ek, we usually manipulate into
into a >4H
Discount/Premi
Discou nt/Premiumum PDA.

With the help of STDV we can see which PDA matches the levels.

The End of manipulation can be anticipated by 3 point


points.
s.

1 - HTF POI (>4H


>4H PDA) rea
eacched
2-SMTwithES/YM
3-MSSindirectionofDOL
Distribution:
It takes place after th
the
e ma
manip
nipula
ulati tion
on ends
ends and usually extends
from Mo
Monda
nday
y or Tu
Tues
esda
day
y (Depending on which day the
manipulation took place) untuntilil Thu
Thursda
rsdayy where then usually the
DOL was reached and the Week
Weekly ly Ra
Rang
nge
e is be
bein
ingg capp
capped
ed (If
(If
DOLL ha
DO hass be
been
en re
reac
ache
hed
d yet)
yet), Friday then puts in the CLOSE of the
Weekly Candle(OHLC /OLHC).

This phase can also be projected with STDV by placing our FIB to
the DEEP
DEEPEST
EST/HI
/HIGHE
GHEST
ST recogniz
recognizabl
able
e Pric
Price
e Leg before theMSS
occurs.

Its is important here to be flexible with the placement and


recognize whether the FIB levels overla
overlap p wit
with
h Liq
Liquidi
uidity
ty and not
just some
somewhwhere
ere in no
nowh
where
ere, if this is no
nott the
the ca
case
se It is also
possible to go in the 4H Tim
Timefr
eframe
ame and see if you can spot
ord
orderer pairing (long wicks in an HTF POI) where we can place
pairing
the FIB from low/high of the candle to the open from the candle.

Exam
Exampl
ple
e wi
with
th Tu
Tues
esda
day
y Lo
Low
w of the
the We
Week
ek::
:

Forr Bear
Fo Bearis
ish
h examp
example
less ju
just
st in
inve
vert
rt it
it..
Midw
Midwee
eek
k Reve
Revers
rsal
al::
How can I expect it?
First news of the week on Wed
Wednes
nesday
day (FO
(FOMC)
MC)

Accumulation:
It usual
usuallyly hap
happen
penss from Mo
Mond
nday ay to TuTuesd
esday
ay and sometimes
also takes place until Wednesday, but it is also possible that it
only
on ly ta
take
kess pl
plac
ace
e on Mond ay.. It's ultimately important to
Monday
recognize the phases and be able to project them with STDV.

Manipulation:
Here too it is very im
impo
port
rtan
antt to id
iden
entif
tify
y ac
accu
cumul
mulat
atio
ionn and it
itss
end to recognize the beginning of the manipulation, in this
Weekly Profile the MaManip
nipul
ulat
atio
ion
n sh
shou
ould
ld en
endd on We
Wedne
dnesdsday
ay with
reaching the>4H Disc
Discoun
ount/P
t/Premi
remiumum PDA,
PDA, after that the
distribution will begin.

The end of Manipulation is being indicated by these 3 po


points:
ints

- HTF PO
POII re
reac
ache
hed
d
- SMT with YM/ES
- MSS towards the DOL
Distribution:
It takes place after the manipulation and usually expands from
Wedn
We dnesd
esday
ay to Th
Thurs
ursda
dayy, where Thursday the weekly
weekly range is
being capped again (in inso
sofa
farr as th
the
e DO
DOLL ha
hass be
been
en re
rea
ach
ched
ed)
and then on Friday the
the We
Week
ekly
ly wi
wick
ck will
will be pr
prin
inte
ted.
d.

Here too we can use the the STDV to project the expansion
again at the la last
st cl
clea
earl
rly
y vi
visi
sibl
ble
e pr
pric
icee le
leg
g and see if it matches
to Liquidity if this is not the case It is also possible to go in the 4H
Timeframe and see if there is or order
der pai
pairing
ring (lo
(long
ng wi
wick
ckss in an
HTFF PO
HT POI)
I) where we can place the FIB from low/high of the
candle to the open from the candle.
Forr Bear
Fo Bearis
ish
h examp
example
less ju
just
st in
inve
vert
rt it
it..
Consol
Consolidat
idation
ion Revers
Reversal:
al:
How ca
How cann yo
you
u ex
expe
pect
ct it?
it?
The
The we
week
ek be
befo
fore
re ha
had
d al
alrea
ready
dy expand
expanded
ed signi
signifi
fica
cantl
ntly
y and this
week we Re-Balanced into a D Discount
iscount/Premiu
/Premiumm Array before it
further expands with the HT
HTFF Tr
Trend
end, nnext
ext we
week
ek is No
Non
n Farm
Farm
Payroll or we are in one H
HTTF SBZ of an MMXM.

Accumulation:
The accumulation here usually takes place fromMo Mond
nday
ay to
Wednesday instead, but can also be 1 day shorter or longer,
during this accumulative phase it usually builds up High
Resistance and Low Res
Resist
istance
ance Liquidity.

Here again it is very important to distinguish the different


phases from each other to project precise STDV levels.

Manipulation:
The Manipulation in this profile should end on Th
Thur
ursd
sday
ay, Form

high/low of the week and run below the High Res Resista
istance
nce
Liquidity into a >>4H
4H Discou
Discount/
nt/Prem
Premium
ium PDA before it
impulsively exp
expand
andss to
towa
ward
rdss Lo
Low
w Re
Resis
sista
tanc
nce
e Liqui
Liquidi
dity
ty and th
the
e
DOL, this principle is also called
called Inducement, you can find more
information about it Inducement and Protraction from Afyz.

The end of Manipulation is being indicated by these 3 po


poin
ints
ts:
- HTF PO
POII re
reac
ache
hed
d
- SMT with YM/ES
- MSS towards the DOL

Distribution:
Again it starts after the Manipulation has ended and goes from
Thurs
Thursda
dayy to Fr
Friday, where in the PM Se
iday Session from Friday then
ssion
usually the Close of the OHLC/OLHC concept emerges.

Normally, at the end of the manipulation you also will be able to


detect a clear MMXM from D
Dai
aily
ly ER
ERLL an
and IRLL, what is additional
d IR
Narrative the picture.

Here too we can use the the STDV to project the expansion
again at the la last
st cl
clea
earl
rly
y vi
visi
sibl
ble
e pr
pric
icee le
leg
g and see if it matches
to Liquidity if this is not the case It is also possible to go in the 4H
Timeframe and see if there is or order
der pai
pairing
ring (lo
(long
ng wi
wick
ckss in an

HT
HTF
F PO I)towhere
POI)
candle we can
the open fromplace the FIB from low/high of the
the candle.
Forr Bear
Fo Bearis
ish
h examp
example
less ju
just
st in
inve
vert
rt it
it..
Search and Destroy:
When can I expect it?
Non Farm Payroll Week, The Week befo
before
re No
Non
n Fa
Farm
rm Pa
Payr
yrol
olll and
the W
Wee
eek
k af
afte
terr No
Non
n Farm
Farm Pa
Payrolll, we are betw
yrol betwee
een
n 2 HT
HTFF PD
PDA'
A'ss
or we are in the summer months

LO
LOWW PR
PROB
OBAB
ABIL
ILIT
ITY
Y I RE
RECO
COMM
MMEN
END
D TO NO
NOTT TR
TRAD
ADEE
IT!

Accumulation:
Since this one is a LLow
ow Pro
Probab
babilit
ility
y Pro
Profil e, it can be very difficult
file
to di
diff
ffere
erenti
ntiat
ate
e be
betw
tween
een the dif
diffe
feren
rentt pha
phasesses..
Usually we
we'r
're
e bu
buil
ildi
ding
ng a Ra
Rang
ngee all
all we
week
ek that always attacks sell
and bubuy
y si
side
de Liquidity and reacts strongly on Equilibrium.

Manipulation:
Basically, in this profile we can ant antic
icip
ipat
ate
e ev
every
ery sw
swee
eepp of the
Li
Liqu
quid
idit
ity
y fr
from
om ththee da
dayy be
befo
fore
re as Manipulation.We can try to
catch a trade on this sweep and hold it until ma maxi
ximu
mum m 50
50%% of
the cur
curren
rentt tra
tradi
ding
ng ran
rangege, but have to consider the
the high Risk
and
an d Lo
Loww Pr
Prob
obab
abil
ilit
ity
y of it pl
play
ayin
ing
g out!
out!

The week forms a Br


Broadeni
oadening
ng Forma
Formation
tion.
Distribution:
It is not nece
necessa
ssarily
rily detecta
detectable
ble wher
where
e the expansion will take
place, that's why I have already mentioned, to a
avo
void
id tr
trad
adin
ing
g fo
forr
the
the we
week
ek.
Summary:
Weekly
Week ly pr
prof
ofil
ilin
ing
g is an
anyt
ythi
hing
ng bu
butt easy
easy an
and
d re
requ
quir
ires
es a good
good feel
feel
forr the
fo the co
corr
rrec
ectt pla
lace
ceme
ment
nt of th
the
e FIB
FIB to
too
ols an
andd an ad
adva
vanc
nced
ed
knowle
know ledg
dgee of SMC
SMC co
conc ncep
epts
ts (M
(MMX
MXM,M, ERL
ERL an
and
d IR
IRL,L, OH
OHLC
LC/O
/OLH
LHC,
C,
PDA
PD A Ma
Matr
trix,
ix, De
Deal
aling
ing an
and d Dis
Displ
plac
acem
ement
ent Ra
Rang
nges,
es,ororde
derr pa
pairi
iring,
ng,
STDV
STDV an
andd in ge
gene
nera
rall th
the
e ti
time
me anand
d price
rice theo
theory
ry))

Nevert
Neve rthe
heleless
ss,, it is on
onee of the
the mo
most st po
powe
werf rful
ul co
conc
ncep
eptsts we cacann
lear
le arnn fr
from
om SMSMC C to fo
form
rm a nanarr
rrat
ativ
ive
e for
for cu
curr rren
entt pr
pric
icee
move
mo vemement ntss and,
and, in cocomb
mbin inat
atio
ionn wi
with
th the
the de deve
velo
lopm
pmenentt of
Daily
Da ily PO3
PO3 (L(Lon
ondodonn Pr
Prot
otra
ract
ctio
ions
ns)) an
andd Se
Sess ssio
ionn PO
PO33 (Int
(Intrad
radayay
Profil
Pro filin
ing)
g) an
and d MM
MMXM XM,, to de
deve
velo
lopp unb
unbea eata tabl
blee pr
prec
ecisi
ision
on in
tr
trad
adining g If yo
youu ma
mana nage
ge to co
comb
mbin ine
e al
alll of ththes
esee co
conc
ncepepts
ts,, yo
you
u
can
ca n tr
trul
ulyy ca
callll yo
your
urse
self
lf a ti
time
me sp
spececia
iali
list
st..

The kn
The know
owle
ledg
dge
e impa
impart
rted
ed here
here wa
wass co
comp
mpil
iled
ed from
from th
the
e
following
follow ing sources
sources..

Af
Afyz
yz (@
(@XY
XYJt
Jtra
rade
des)
s) / X

Dexter
DexterLab
Lab (@T
(@Trade
raderDe
rDext3r
xt3r)) / X

The
The In
Inne
nerr Ci
Circ
rcle
le Tr
Trad
ader
er (@
(@I_
I_Am
Am_T
_The
he_I
_ICT
CT)) / X

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