Seat No: ______________ Enrollment No: _____________

PARUL UNIVERSITY
FACULTY OF ENGINEERING & TECHNOLOGY
B.Tech. Summer 2021 - 22 Examination
Semester: 4 Date: 06/04/2022
Subject Code: 203191251 / 03191251 Time: 2.00 pm to 4.30 pm
Subject Name: Probability, Statistics and Numerical Methods Total Marks: 60
/ Numerical Analysis & Statistical Methods
Instructions:
1. All questions are compulsory.
2. Figures to the right indicate full marks.
3. Make suitable assumptions wherever necessary.
4. Start new question on new page.

Q.1 Do as directed: (All are compulsory) (Each of one mark) (15)

1. If 𝑥 and 𝑦 are positively correlated then which of the following is not true?
(a) Increment in 𝑥 causes increment in 𝑦
(b) Change in 𝑥 causes no change in 𝑦.
(c) The value of the coefficient of correlation 𝑟 is positive.
(d) The coefficient of regression of 𝑥 on 𝑦 cannot be negative.
2. Newton-Raphson method falls under the category of __________ methods.
(a) Bracketing method (b) Graphical (c) Random (d) Open
3. For a binomial variate 𝑋 which of the following is not true?
(a) Standard deviation is 𝑛𝑝𝑞 (b) 𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑥) = 𝑛𝐶𝑥 𝑝 𝑥 𝑞 𝑛−𝑥 (c) Mean is 𝑛𝑝 (d) None
4. Two events A and B are exhaustive then 𝑝(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵) =_________.
(a) 0 (b) 1 (c) -1 (d) None of these
5. If H0 is true and sample is rejected then it is called _________.
(a) Type-1 Error (b) Type-2 Error (c) Random variable (d) None
6. In Euler’s method, Formula for 𝑦𝑛+1 = _________.
7. If we have data in r row and c columns then degree of freedom is ________.
8. If 𝜎𝑥 = 4.8; 𝜎𝑦 = 3.6; 𝑟 = 0.12 then 𝑏𝑥𝑦 =__________.
9. In Simpson’s 1/3rd rule, the number of intervals (n) should be multiple of __________.
10. Gauss-Seidel iterative method can be used for solving a set of __________ equations only.
11. “If 𝑥 = 2.5𝑦 − 3 is the line of regression of 𝑥 on 𝑦, and if 𝑦 = 0.1𝑥 + 5 is the line of
regression of 𝑦 on 𝑥 then the estimate value of 𝑦 for 𝑥 = 7 is _____.”
12. The shift operator E = ________.
13. Write Gauss’s backward interpolation formula.
14. If static Z< critical point than we rejected null hypothesis [True/False]
15. If 𝑝(𝐴) = 0.6, 𝑝(𝐵) = 0.4 and 𝑝(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 0.3 then what is the value of 𝑃(𝐴′ ∩ 𝐵′)?

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Q.2 Do as directed: (Attempt any three) (15)
A) Fit a straight line to the following data. Also, estimate the value of y at x = 2.5.
X 0 1 2 3 4
Y 1 1.8 3.3 4.5 6.3
B) The mean and variance of a binomial variate are 8 and 6. Find P(X ≥ 2).
C) The units produced by plant are classified into four grades. The past performance of the plant
shows that the respective proportions are 8:4:2:1.To check the run of the plant 600 parts
were examined and classified as follows. Is there any evidence of a change in production
standards?
Grade 1 2 2 2 Total
Units 340 130 100 30 600
(Table value of 𝜒 2 on 3 degree of freedom and at 5% level of significance=7.815)
D) Solve the following system of equations by Gauss-Jacobi method [3 iterations]:
6𝑥 + 2𝑦 − 𝑧 = 4, 𝑥 + 5𝑦 + 𝑧 = 3, 2𝑥 + 𝑦 + 4𝑧 = 27
Q.3 (i) Find a root of the equation 𝑥 3 − 4𝑥 − 9 = 0 using the bisection method in three stages. (03)
A)
𝑑𝑦 (04)
(ii) Given that y = 1.3 when x = 1 and = 3𝑥 + 𝑦 Use the second-order Runge–Kutta
𝑑𝑥

method to approximate y when x = 1.1. Use a step size of 0.1.

B) (i) For a bivariate data, the mean value of x is 20 and the mean value of y is 45. The (05)
1
regression coefficient of y on x is 4 and that of x on y is 9

Find: (a) the coefficient of correlation

(b) the standard deviation of x if the standard deviation of y is 12.
(c) Also write down the equations of regression lines.
(ii) Ten participants in a contest are ranked by two judges as follows: (03)
x 1 3 7 5 4 6 2 10 9 8
y 3 1 4 5 6 9 7 8 10 2
Calculate the rank correlation coefficient.
OR
B) (i) A bag contains 2 black, 3 red, and 5 blue balls. Three balls are drawn at random. Find the (04)
probability that the three balls drawn (a) consist of 2 blue and 1 red ball, and (b) consist of
exactly one black ball.
(ii) A person applies for a job in two firms A and B, the probability of his being selected in (04)
the firm A is 0.7 and being rejected in the firm B is 0.5.The probability of at least one of the

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 applications being rejected is 0.6.What is the probability that he will be selected in one of the
two firms?
Q.4 (i) Use Newton’s forward difference method to find the approximate value of f(2.3) from the (05)
A) following data:
x 2 4 6 8
F(x) 4.2 8.2 12.2 16.2
(ii) Construct Newton’s divided difference table for: (02)
x 1 2 4 7
F(x) 10 15 67 430
OR
A) (i) Using Euler’s method, find y (0.2) given 𝑑𝑦 = 𝑦 − 2𝑥 , 𝑦(0) = 1 with h = 0.1. (04)
𝑑𝑥 𝑦

(ii) Find the area bounded by the curve and the x-axis from x = 7.47 to x = 7.52 from the (03)
following table, by using the trapezoidal rule.
x 7.47 7.48 7.49 7.50 7.51 7.52
F(x) 1.93 1.95 1.98 2.01 2.03 2.06
B) (i) A random sample of 400 items gave mean 4.45 and variance 4. Can the sample be (04)
regarded as drawn from a normal population with mean 4?
(Critical value of Z at 5% level of significance is 1.96)
(ii) In a large consignment of apples, 64 fruits out of a sample of 400 fruits are found to be (04)
bad. Test the hypothesis that the population proportion of bad apples in the consignment is
20%. (Critical value of Z at 1% level of significance is 2.58)

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