MSA University Faculty of Engineering
Summer Semester
Probability and Statistics
Final Exam
October University for Modern Sciences & Arts
Sample
Faculty Engineering
Department General Systems Engineering (GSE)
Module Code GSE212/ GSE212 L/MAT361
Module Title Probability and Statistics
Semester Summer 2025
Time Allowed Three hours
Total Marks 60
No. of Pages 11
Material provided None
Equipment permitted Non-programmable Calculator
No books, papers, or electronic devices other than those specified above can be
brought into the examination room.
October University for Modern Sciences and Arts Module Code:
GSE/212/212L/MAT361
Faculty of Engineering “ Probability and
Statistics”
Final Exam Answer - Summer 2025 Time: 3
hours
Answer the Following Questions Total Mark:
60
The following problems must be solved in detail to get the full mark.
Answer all questions
Total Marks 60
Problem1. (10 marks) , (LO1, LO2)
Use the attached Binomial Table Whenever relevant
An agent sells life insurance policies to five equally aged, healthy people.
According to recent data, the probability of a person living in these conditions for
30 years or more is 2/3. Calculate the probability that after 30 years:
1. All five people are still living.
2. At least three people are still living.
3. Exactly two people are still living.
4. What is the mean, variance, and the standard deviation of the random
variable X
Problem 2. Use the attached Poisson Table When needed
Let X be the number of flaws on the surface of a randon selected boiler of a certain
type, have a poisson distribution with mean 5. Answer the following questions
a. P(X≤ 8) b. P(𝑋 = 8) 𝑐. 𝑃( 9 ≥ 𝑋) 𝑑. 𝑃(5 ≤ 𝑋 ≤
8) 𝑒 . 𝑃(5 < 𝑥 < 8) f. What is the mean varaincw, and standard deviation
of X?
Problem 3.( 10 marks) , ( LO1, LO2) Use the attached normal table when
needed
Suppose that the parameter of breast height in inches of a tree of a certain type is
normally distributed with mean 8.8 and standard deviation 2.7 . Answer the
following
a. What is the probability that the diameter of a tree selected at random will be
at least 10 inches?
b. What is the probability that the diameter of a tree selected at random exceeds
20?
c. What is the probability that the diameter of a tree selected at random will be
between 5 and 10 inches?
Problem 4. (10 marks), (LO1, LO2,LO3)
The following are waiting times in seconds of a sample 30 clints waiting times in a
bank in Cairo to finished their transactions
Sorted Data: 33, 34, 44, 45, 47, 48, 48, 49, 49, 50, 52, 52, 53, 55, 57, 48, 58, 59,
60, 61, 61, 62, 62, 64, 64, 65, 67, 68, 68, 69,
1. Use the accompanied histogram to complete the
following frequency table
Classes Frequency Relative Cumulative
frequency frequency
33-39
Histogram of C1
9
6
Frequency
0
33 39 45 51 57 63 69
C1
Boxplot of C1
30 40 50 60 70
C1
The following is the Minitab some statistical summary measures. Answer the
following questions
Descriptive Statistics: Scores
Descriptive Statistics: C1
Variable N N* Mean SE Mean StDev Minimum Q1 Median Q3 Maximum
C1 30 0 55.07 1.74 9.54 33.00 48.00 56.00 62.50 69.00
1. Compute the following measures
IQR, The Variance, The Range of the data set, the coefficient of variation
2. What is the shape of the frequency distribution?
3. From the boxplot and indication of outlier observations?
Problem 5. (10 marks), (LO1, LO2, LO3)
Part I (5 marks)
Consider the following data of number of defects in a sample of 30 days in steel
factory which are believed to be normal distributed with standard deviation 3
defects 8 6 7 7 8 9 9 4 13 14 12 10 6 9 6 9 12 6 2 6 10 8
12 9 4 12 7 7 5 11
With the following Minitab descriptive measures.
Descriptive Statistics:
Variable N N* Mean SE Mean StDev Minimum Q1 Median Q3 Maximum
defects 30 0 8.267 0.532 2.912 2.000 6.000 8.000 10.250 14.000
1. Give a point estimate of the waiting time to finish transaction and its standard
error .
2. Provide 95% Confidence interval for the mean tim to finish transaction
3. Give 99% Confidence interval for the mean waiting time.
4. What would happen to the width of the interval by changing the confidence level
from 95% to 99%.
Part II ( 5 marks)
Consider the type of can opener (manual event A or electric event B) purchase by
the next purchaser. Assume that the probability of purchasing manual can opener
is 0.5, and the probability of purchasing an electric one is s 0.6, and the probability
of purchasing at least one of the two is 0.9. Draw Venn diagram, and answer the
following questions
a. What is the probability that the next purchaser requests a gas dryer only?
b. What is the probability that the next purchaser will request exactly one type?
c. What is the probability that the next purchaser will request at most one type?
d. Are A and B independent?
e. Are A and B mutually exclusive?
Problem 6. ( 10 marks)
The accompanying data below on X=advertising in thousands of dollars method
and Y=sales volume in millions of dollars for a sample 13 operations on a very
demanding products .
X 40 50 80 110 120 160 170 200 220 280 300 310 390
Y 50 70 100 100 140 150 130 250 200 240 310 280 400
Scatterplot of y vs X
400
300
200
y
100
0
0 100 200 300 400
X
1. Assume that X and Y are linearly related, explain the relationship between X
and Y.
2. Calculate the correlation coefficient, and explain what it means?
3. Is the model efficient? Why?
4. Is the model adequate?
5. Test for the significance of 𝛽1 , the slope of the line.
6. What does it mean that 𝛽1 = 0.928 in the regression equation.
Regression Analysis: y versus X
Analysis of Variance
Source DF Adj SS Adj MS F-Value P-Value
Regression 1 122551 122551 169.43 0.000
X 1 122551 122551 169.43 0.000
Error 11 7957 723
Total 12 130508
Model Summary
S R-sq R-sq(adj) R-sq(pred)
26.8948 93.90% 93.35% 91.75%
Coefficients
Term Coef SE Coef T-Value P-Value VIF
Constant 12.7 15.3 0.83 0.424
X 0.9281 0.0713 13.02 0.000 1.00
Regression Equation
y = 12.7 + 0.9281 X
Fits and Diagnostics for Unusual Observations
Std
Obs y Fit Resid Resid
8 250.0 198.3 51.7 2.00
wataap
Binomial Table
Poisson Table
x 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0
0 0.3329 0.3012 0.2725 0.2466 0.2231 0.2019 0.1827 0.1653 0.1496 0.1353
1 0.3662 0.3614 0.3543 0.3452 0.3347 0.323 0.3106 0.2975 0.2842 0.2707
2 0.2014 0.2169 0.2303 0.2417 0.251 0.2584 0.264 0.2678 0.27 0.2707
3 0.0738 0.0867 0.0998 0.1128 0.1255 0.1378 0.1496 0.1607 0.171 0.1804
4 0.0203 0.026 0.0324 0.0395 0.0471 0.0551 0.0636 0.0723 0.0812 0.0902
5 0.0045 0.0062 0.0084 0.0111 0.0141 0.0176 0.0216 0.026 0.0309 0.0361
6 0.0008 0.0012 0.0018 0.0026 0.0035 0.0047 0.0061 0.0078 0.0098 0.012
7 0.0001 0.0002 0.0003 0.0005 0.0008 0.0011 0.0015 0.002 0.0027 0.0034
8 0 0 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 0.0003 0.0005 0.0006 0.0009
9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002
