23MAT131
S2 RAE
Probability
• Understand and describe sample spaces and events for random experiments.
• Interpret probabilities and use probabilities of outcomes to calculate
probabilities of events in discrete sample spaces
• Calculate the probabilities of joint events such as unions and intersections
from the probabilities of individual events
• Interpret and calculate conditional probabilities of events
• Determine the independence of events and use independence to calculate
probabilities
• Use Bayes’ theorem to calculate conditional probabilities
• Understand random variables
• We introduce probability for discrete sample spaces—those with
only a finite (or countably infinite) set of outcomes.
• Probability is used to quantify the likelihood, or chance, that an
outcome of a random experiment will occur. “The chance of rain
today is 30%’’ is a statement that quantifies our feeling about the
possibility of rain.
• The likelihood of an outcome is quantified by assigning a number
from the interval [0, 1] to the outcome (or a percentage from 0 to
100%).
• Higher numbers indicate that the outcome is more likely than lower
numbers.
• A 0 indicates an outcome will not occur. A probability of 1 indicates
an outcome will occur with certainty.