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Harmonic Pattern

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
50 views12 pages

Harmonic Pattern

Uploaded by

govind bhosle
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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How to identify XABCD

Pattern Correctly?

The XABCD pattern is a simple yet powerful way to spot


where the market might head next. It’s made up of five
waves, and the last wave is where we aim to make a
profit. I’ve found this pattern really helpful and profitable
in my trading.

In this article, I’ll take you through the XABCD pattern


step by step. We’ll look at what each part means and
how it can help you make better trading decisions. If
you’re looking for a straightforward way to understand
market trends, you’re in the right place. So, keep
reading to get all the details on how to use the XABCD
pattern to spot good trading opportunities.
What is the XABCD Pattern?
The XABCD pattern in trading is a chart pattern that
consist of five points: X, A, B, C, and D, combining an
initial strong wave (XA) and a follow-up corrective wave
(ABCD), hinting at a trend’s continuation.

These points make two big parts: the XA wave, which is


a strong move showing the trend’s direction, and the
ABCD wave, which is a retracement or a slight step
back.

Pattern Details:

 XA Wave: This is the beginning part where the


price starts moving, showing us the trend’s
direction.
 ABCD Wave: This comes after XA and is a
retracement wave, where the price adjusts a
bit.

The ABCD part on smaller timeframes splits into three


waves: AB, BC, and CD. Watching for the pattern to
complete, we look for the next big XA-like move to enter
a trade.

How to Identify the XABCD Pattern


Identifying the XABCD pattern involves recognizing the
sequence of moves and retracements in the market that
match the pattern’s structure. Here’s what to look for:
1. Start with the XA Wave: Spot the initial strong
move that sets the trend’s direction. This could
be a sharp rise or fall on the chart.
2. Look for the AB Retracement: After the XA
wave, there should be a noticeable pullback.
This is the AB wave, where the price retraces
part of the XA move.
3. Find the BC Move: Next, the price should make
a smaller move in the same direction as the XA
wave, forming the BC segment.
4. Check the CD Retracement: Finally, there’s
another retracement, the CD wave, which
completes the pattern.
Fibonacci Ratios:
The total movement from A to D in the ABCD part of the
pattern should retrace to a Fibonacci ratio between 50%
and 78.6% of the initial XA wave. This means the price
pullback from its highest or lowest point in the AB and
CD waves falls within these ratios, indicating a strong
likelihood that the pattern will follow through with
a trend continuation.

By keeping an eye on these steps and the specific


Fibonacci retracement levels, you can confidently
identify the XABCD pattern.
Characteristics of XA and ABCD
wave
Both waves have separate importance in trading. a
trader should identify the nature of XABCD chart pattern
to trade effectively.
Here are few characteristics of each wave that you
should keep in mind.

XA Wave ABCD Wave

Sets the initial trend Reflects the market’s


direction and indicates corrective action and
the potential for trend
market’s momentum. continuation or reversal.

The depth of the ABCD


retracement provides
The size and force of the insights into the strength of
XA wave suggest the the underlying trend.
pattern’s potential Deeper retracements might
impact and reliability. indicate a weaker trend,
while shallower ones
suggest a stronger trend.

Serves as a baseline for The alignment of


Fibonacci retracement retracement levels with
and extension levels, Fibonacci ratios aids in
guiding future wave pinpointing precise trading
predictions. entries and exits.
How to trade the XABCD pattern?
Aligning trading strategies with the prevailing market
trend significantly increases the winning ratio. The
XABCD pattern is particularly effective because it
naturally forms within ongoing trends, making it a
reliable indicator for trend continuation trades.

Here is the criteria for both buy and sell trades to trade
with XABCD pattern.

For Buy Trades:


1. Identify Bullish Trend: Look for higher
highs and higher lows, indicating upward
momentum.
2. Confirm Pattern: Ensure X is at a higher low, A
at a higher high, and D at a subsequent higher
low, all in trend direction.
3. Entry Point: Initiate a buy trade at D, where
the pattern suggests the upward trend will
persist.
4. Stop Loss: Place stop loss below the swing
low or the 78% Fibonacci level from D to X for
protection.
5. Take Profit: Aim for point A as the first take
profit level, with a secondary target at the
121% Fibonacci extension.
For Sell Trades:

1. Identify Bearish Trend: Spot lower highs and


lower lows, signaling a downward trend.
2. Confirm Pattern: X should be a lower high, A a
lower low, and D another lower high,
consistent with the bearish trend.
3. Entry Point: Enter a sell trade at D,
anticipating the trend’s continuation
downwards.
4. Stop Loss: Set stop loss above the swing
high or the 78% Fibonacci level from D to X for
safety.
5. Take Profit: Point A is the initial take profit
target, extending to the 121% Fibonacci
extension for further gains.
ABCD Wave Variations
The XABCD pattern starts with a strong XA wave,
showing a clear direction. But when we look at the
ABCD retracement wave on smaller timeframes, we see
some variations:

Common Variations:

1. Equal Lengths: Sometimes, the AB and CD


waves are about the same length, making the
retracement look symmetrical.
2. Small CD wave: Other times, the AB wave is
longer, and the CD wave is shorter, leading to
an asymmetrical look in the retracement
phase.
Variations to Avoid:

1. Double Top BC Wave: If the BC wave goes all


the way up to match the high of point A,
forming a double top, it’s usually not a good
sign. This pattern might not follow through as
expected.
2. Impulsive CD Wave: If the AB wave is short but
the CD wave is really long, almost like the
initial XA impulsive wave, it’s a red flag. This
kind of disproportionate movement suggests
the pattern might not be reliable.
Being aware of these variations can help you make
better decisions.

Conclusion
The XABCD pattern is a chart pattern that lines up with
the trend, helping you trade in the same direction as the
big players like institutions and banks. Remember,
“trend is your friend,” and by using the XABCD pattern,
you’re essentially moving with the market’s flow.

When analyzing the ABCD retracement waves, clarity


and symmetry are your allies. Be cautious of patterns
that seem off-balance or show extreme deviations, as
they may not be as reliable.

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