Regression Model
Regression Model
1 Department of Farm Machinery and Power Engineering, College of Agricultural Engineering and Technology,
CCS Haryana Agricultural University, Hisar 125004, Haryana, India
2 Department of Agricultural & Food Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur,
Kharagpur 721302, West Bengal, India; rahemanh@gmail.com
3 School of Engineering, University of Petroleum and Energy Studies, Dehradun 248007, Uttarakhand, India;
rashmirkd2012@gmail.com
* Correspondence: ganesh.upadhyay0@hau.ac.in
Abstract: This study presents an experimental and computational analysis of the specific
draft (SD) and specific torque (ST) requirements of an energy-efficient tillage implement,
the active–passive disk harrow (APDH). Soil bin trials were conducted to develop multiple
regression models predicting SD and ST based on operational parameters such as gang
angle (α), speed ratio (u/v), soil cone index, and working depth. Model’s accuracy was
assessed through statistical indices such as R2 , RMSE, MIE, and MAE. The high R2 and
low RMSE confirmed the reliability of the developed models in capturing the relationships
between input and output variables. A genetic algorithm-based multi-objective optimiza-
tion was implemented in MATLAB R2016a to determine optimal operational settings that
minimize total power consumption while maximizing soil pulverization. The optimized
values of α and u/v were determined to be in the ranges of 35.91◦ to 36.98◦ and 3.27 to 3.87,
respectively. Model validation with laboratory and field data demonstrated acceptable
prediction accuracy despite minor deviations attributed to soil variability and measure-
ment errors. The developed models provide a predictive framework for optimizing tillage
performance, aiding in tractor-implement selection, and enhancing energy efficiency in
Academic Editor: Marcello Biocca
agricultural operations.
Received: 6 March 2025
Revised: 8 April 2025 Keywords: genetic algorithm; active-passive tillage; regression models; soil bin; model validation
Accepted: 8 April 2025
Published: 11 April 2025
In this study, experimental data from soil bin trials were utilized to develop regression
models
improved topenetration
predict specific draftreduced
capability, and specific torque of
draft, reduced APDH
wheel basedand
slippage, onbetter
inpututili-
parameters
such
zationasofgang angle, engine
the tractorʹs speed power
ratio, [2,3,16,24].
soil cone index (CI), and working depth. Subsequently,
In this study,
a GA-based experimental
optimization data fromwas
framework soilimplemented
bin trials were to
utilized to develop
identify regres-combina-
the optimal
sion models to predict specific draft and specific torque of APDH based
tions of parameters that minimize energy expenditure while maximizing performance. on input param-
etersfindings
The such as are
gangintended
angle, speed ratio,
to offer soil cone
practical index (CI),
guidance anddesign
for the workinganddepth. Subse-of active–
operation
quently, a GA-based optimization framework was implemented to identify the optimal
passive tillage machinery, promoting energy efficiency and environmentally sustainable
combinations of parameters that minimize energy expenditure while maximizing perfor-
agricultural practices.
mance. The findings are intended to offer practical guidance for the design and operation
of active–passive tillage machinery, promoting energy efficiency and environmentally
2. Materials and Methods
sustainable agricultural practices.
2.1. Indoor Soil Bin and Test Setup
2. Materials
Research and
was Methods
conducted in an indoor soil bin measuring 15 m in length, 1.80 m in
2.1. Indoor
width, andSoil Bin m
0.60 andinTest Setupwith an integrated active–passive offset-type disk harrow
depth
(APDH). The was
Research bin consisted
conductedof in aan
soil bin track,
indoor soil
soil bin processing
measuring 15 mcarriage, gear
in length, 1.80reduction
m in unit
width, and 0.60 m in depth with an integrated active–passive offset-type
of a power tiller for forward/reverse movement, wire rope unit, an instrument panel, and disk harrow
a(APDH). The binsystem
data logging consisted of The
[16]. a soilsoil
bin processing
track, soil processing
carriage carriage,
(Figure 1) gear reduction
helped unit
in preparing the
of a power tiller for forward/reverse movement, wire rope unit, an instrument
test bed at different soil compaction levels. It comprised a rotavator powered by a 3.75 kW, panel, and
a data logging system [16]. The soil processing carriage (Figure 1) helped in preparing the
three-phase, and 1420 rpm induction motor, a leveling blade, and a roller for tilling, leveling,
test bed at different soil compaction levels. It comprised a rotavator powered by a 3.75
and compacting the soil, respectively. The APDH (Figure 2) featured 03 powered disks in
kW, three-phase, and 1420 rpm induction motor, a leveling blade, and a roller for tilling,
the front and 03 free-rolling disks in the rear set of gangs. The disk diameter is 510 mm
leveling, and compacting the soil, respectively. The APDH (Figure 2) featured 03 powered
with
disksainconcavity of 6003mm
the front and and a spacing
free-rolling disks inof the225
rearmm
set between
of gangs. disks.
The diskA diameter
10 hp, three-phase
is
motor
510 mm was used
with to transmit
a concavity of 60power
mm and to the front gang.
a spacing of 225The
mmdesigned APDH
between disks. A had a working
10 hp,
width of 630motor
three-phase mm, with its operating
was used to transmit depth
power becoming adjustable
to the front gang. Theusing a hydraulic
designed APDH cylinder.
The
had angle of the
a working front-powered
width of 630 mm, with disksits (α) could depth
operating be adjusted
becoming by adjustable
altering the angle
using a of the
hydraulic
shafts cylinder. The
transmitting angle of
motion the front-powered
through U-joints and disksutilizing
(α) couldabeseries
adjusted by altering
of holes in the frame
the angle
while of the shaftsthe
repositioning transmitting
mountedmotionbearings. through
The U-joints
frame ofand theutilizing
APDH awas series of holes
fitted with slotted
in the frame while repositioning the mounted bearings. The frame
channels (C-shaped), allowing it to be attached to the soil processing carriage. of the APDH was fitted
with slotted channels (C-shaped), allowing it to be attached to the soil processing carriage.
Figure 1.
Figure 1. Soil
Soilprocessing
processingcarriage inside
carriage soil soil
inside bin. bin.
Figure 2.
Figure Views of
2. Views of integrated
integrated active–passive
active–passive offset
offset type
type disk
disk harrow
harrow (APDH).
accuracy. To evaluate model efficiency, statistical indices: mean index error (MIE), variance
account for (VarAF), root mean square error (RMSE), R2 , and mean absolute error (MAE)
were calculated.
∑ n ( E − Mi )
MIE = i=1 i (1)
n
Variance (Mi ) − Variance (Ei )
VarAF = 1 − × 100 (2)
Variance (Mi )
v( )
u ∑n (Ei − Mi )2
u
2 i=1
RMSE = t (3)
n
2
∑ni=1 (Mi − Ei )
R2 = 1 − 2
(4)
∑ni=1 (Mi − Ai )
∑ni=1 |(Mi − Ei ) / Mi |
MAE = × 100 (5)
n
MAD = max [(E i − Mi )/ Ei ] × 100 (6)
where Ei , Mi , and Ai are the values of estimated, measured, and average specific draft
or specific torque, and n is the number of observations. MIE quantifies the non-diagonal
estimation and should ideally be close to zero for an accurate model. A VarAF of 100%
signifies that the developed model perfectly estimated the measured output, while a VarAF
of 0% indicates poor estimation accuracy. The RMSE is the standard deviation of the
residuals reflecting the prediction power of the model. If the VarAF is 100% and the RMSE
is zero, the model would be considered perfect, as it would indicate that the predicted
values exactly match the measured data with no deviation. R² is widely used to assess
goodness of fit. The MAE, denoting accuracy in percent, was also used to compare the
model’s estimated performance.
The optimization problem of interest had two objective functions which were mini-
mizing the estimated total power requirement of the tractor (Pe) and minimizing the cone
index of the tilled soil (CItilled ). Two functions were defined, f1 (X) for Pe and f2 (X) for CItilled
given in the results section. With these functions defined, the optimization problem was
formulated (Equation (8)):
min
fi (X), i = 1, 2. (8)
X ϵXn
AgriEngineering 2025, 7, 121 6 of 17
where Xi is the decision variable space limited by upper and lower bounds (lb ≤ X ≤ ub ;
lb for lower bound and ub for upper bound) on the decision variables. The optimization
problem under consideration was constrained by upper and lower bounds for decision
variables and are expressed by Equations (9)–(13).
20 ≤ X1 ≤ 45 (9)
80 ≤ X2 ≤ 140 (10)
3 ≤ X3 ≤ 6 (11)
80 ≤ X4 ≤ 250 (12)
The MOO problem was solved using the ‘gamultiobj’ function in MATLAB, which
efficiently finds a set of Pareto-optimal solutions for conflicting objectives. Since the GA
is inherently a minimization algorithm, the maximum reduction in CItilled objective is
transformed into a minimization problem by negating it. To implement this, an objective
function file is created, defining Pe and CItilled as functions of key variables. The optimiza-
tion problem is then constrained within defined upper and lower bounds to ensure practical
feasibility. The ‘gamultiobj’ function is then executed with these constraints, generating a
set of Pareto-optimal solutions, where no single solution is universally better—trade-offs
exist between reducing energy consumption and improving soil conditions.
To analyze the results, a Pareto front is plotted, visually depicting the trade-offs
between power requirement and soil improvement. The decision-maker can select an
optimal solution based on operational priorities. This approach ensures an efficient and
data-driven selection of tillage parameters, leveraging the GA’s ability to explore complex
solution spaces. MATLAB’s GA-based MOO approach provides a robust framework for
optimizing agricultural processes, balancing competing objectives for sustainable and
energy-efficient tillage operations.
Figure4.4. Variations
Figure Variations in
in specific
specific torque requirement
requirement across
across different
differentoperating
operatingvariables.
variables.
at higher depths. However, the absolute torque requirement increased with depth due to
the greater amount of soil handled and higher penetration resistance. These results align
with previous studies by [25,29], reinforcing the observed trend across different soil types.
The results indicate that the ST requirement of the APDH increased with an increase
in soil CI. This is due to the greater soil resistance associated with greater CI values. The
trend was consistent across different α values, u/v ratios, and working depths. Notably,
the percentage increase in ST was more pronounced at higher α values, with the highest
increase (76.82% to 98.62%) observed at α of 40◦ . These findings suggest that soil com-
paction significantly impacts the torque demand, which is crucial for optimizing APDH
performance in varying soil conditions.
Table 1. Regression coefficients and standard error (SE) for the developed models.
The total power requirement (Pe) may be predicted from the SDAPDH and STAPDH
models as follows (Equation (16)):
SD ×v 2 × π ×N × ST
Pe = + × Asd (16)
3.6 × ηPTO to DB 60 × ηtrans
AgriEngineering 2025, 7, 121 10 of 17
where Pe is the total power requirement of the tractor in kW; SD is the specific draft in kN
m−2 ; v is in km h−1 ; ST is in kN-m m−2 ; Asd is the area of soil disturbance in m2 ; N is the
rpm of powered disks; ηPTO to DB is the transmission efficiency from PTO to drawbar [30];
and ηtrans is the transmission efficiency from PTO to the front gang.
The results of regression analysis for the specific draft and specific torque estimation
models are given in Table 2.
Table 2. Results of regression analysis for the developed SDAPDH and STAPDH models.
3.4. Estimation Model for Cone Index of the Tilled Soil (CItilled )
The average values of the cone index of the tilled soil (CItilled ) obtained during soil
bin tests were analyzed and were used to develop a model for estimating CItilled using the
multiple regression technique. The aim of developing the model for CItilled (Equation (17))
was to use this model for carrying out the multi-objective optimization. In general, the
CItilled obtained after the operation was found to decrease with an increase in α, u/v,
and operating depth at all tested soil cone indices. The ANOVA results indicated that
all variables had a significant effect on the CItilled at a 1% level of significance with the
initial soil CI having the greatest influence on the CItilled followed by u/v, depth, and α
in that order.
Soil CI, working depth, and α were found to have a linear relationship while speed
ratio was found to have a negative exponential relationship with CItilled . The developed
model has high R2 and low RMSE of 0.97 and 0.032, respectively. The results of regression
analysis for the developed CItilled model are given in Table 3. The estimated values of
regression coefficients and their standard error for the developed CItilled model are given
in Table 4.
u
CItilled = C0 + C1 × α + C2 × CIbefore + C3 × d+C4 × e(− v ) (17)
where CItilled is in MPa; α is in degrees; CIbefore is the cone index of the soil before tillage in
MPa; d is in mm; u/v is the speed ratio; and Ci = regression coefficients, i = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4.
Table 4. Regression coefficients and standard error (SE) for the CItilled model.
3.6. Multi-Objective Optimization to Obtain the Optimum Combination of α and Speed Ratio
The multi-objective optimization (MOO) based on the genetic algorithm approach
was performed in MATLAB to obtain the optimized values of α and speed ratio that
satisfied the objective functions (i.e., minimizing Pe (Equation (16)) and minimizing CItilled
(Equation (17)). Pareto fronts or sets of non-dominated solutions obtained for Pe vs. CItilled
at some set operating conditions (CIbefore , operating depth, and forward speed) are shown
in Figure 5. In this figure, moving from one solution to another in the Pareto set involves
trade-offs between multiple objectives. One optimal solution among the possible solutions
can be selected on the Pareto front based on the choice/preference of the decision-maker
for any particular condition.
The numerical solutions of MOO obtained for different operating conditions are listed
in Table 6. In the present study, the aim was to test the implement in the field at the
optimum settings of α and speed ratio obtained from the results of MOO. Based on soil bin
data and following the MOO technique using the genetic algorithm, the optimum values
of α and speed ratio were found to vary in the range of 35.91◦ to 36.98◦ and 3.27 to 3.87,
respectively. Considering the optimum range of these variables, the field prototype of the
APDH was designed and developed by fixing α at 36◦ , whereas the speed ratio was varied
in the field. Further, it was noticed that with an increase in the forward speed from 3 to
6 km h−1 , the corresponding NFGA needed to be increased from 92.9 rpm to 220.1 rpm to
achieve optimized values of objective functions (i.e., minimum Pe with maximum reduction
in CItilled values) for most of the non-dominated solutions.
at some set operating conditions (CIbefore, operating depth, and forward speed) are shown
in Figure 5. In this figure, moving from one solution to another in the Pareto set involves
trade-offs between multiple objectives. One optimal solution among the possible solutions
AgriEngineering 2025, 7, 121 12 of 17
can be selected on the Pareto front based on the choice/preference of the decision-maker
for any particular condition.
Figure 5.
Figure Some Pareto
5. Some Pareto fronts
fronts obtained
obtained through
through MOO
MOO using
using GA
GA in
in Matlab
Matlab for
for estimated
estimated equivalent
equivalent
PTO power (Pe) and CI tilled
PTO power (Pe) and CItilled. .
3.7. Validation of the Regression Models from the Soil Bin Data
The developed models for estimating SD and ST were validated using data collected
during a separate set of soil bin tests, distinct from those used for model development. The
rotational speed of the disk, α, depth, and forward speed was varied randomly between 80
AgriEngineering 2025, 7, 121 13 of 17
and 150 rpm, 25◦ to 40◦ , 60 to 140 mm, and 0.8 to 3.2 km h−1 , respectively, at different cone
indices of soil (0.65 to 1.2 MPa). The observed and estimated values of the SD and ST are
compared in Figures 6a and 6b, respectively. It is evident that the slope of the best-fit line
is close to unity with high R2 for all the models developed. The MAD between observed
and estimated values of parameters was found to be 18.50% and 13.11% for the SD and
ST, respectively. These variations are considered acceptable because of the variations that
existed in preparing the soil bed with the desired CI and also the experimental14errors
AgriEngineering 2025, 7, x FOR PEER REVIEW of 18
incurred while measuring the draft and torque.
(a) Comparison of the measured and estimated specific draft of the APDH (SDAPDH).
(b) Comparison of the measured and estimated specific torque of the APDH (STAPDH).
Figure
Figure6.6.Validation
Validationof
ofthe
thedeveloped
developedregression
regression models
models with
with the
the soil
soil bin
bin data.
data.
3.8.Validation
3.8. Validationofofthe
theDeveloped
DevelopedRegression
RegressionModels
Modelsfrom
fromthe
theField
FieldData
Data
Theestimation
The estimationmodels
modelsdeveloped
developed from
from soilsoil
binbin
datadata were
were alsoalso validated
validated against
against the
the mean values of draft and torque data collected from the field tests. The
mean values of draft and torque data collected from the field tests. The observed and es- observed
and estimated
timated values of values
the SDof and
the SD
ST and ST requirements
requirements are compared
are compared in Figurein7a
Figures
and 7b,7arespec-
and 7b,
respectively. It can be seen in these figures that the slope of the best-fitted line is
tively. It can be seen in these figures that the slope of the best-fitted line is close to unityclose to
unitygood
withRgood 2
R for
with 2 for both theboth the models
models developed.
developed. However, However, the developed
the developed modelsmodels were
were found
found to underestimate the SD and overestimate the ST requirement.
to underestimate the SD and overestimate the ST requirement. The MADs between ob- The MADs between
served and estimated values of the specific draft and specific torque requirement were
found to be 19.79% and 19.47%, respectively. The presence of loose and anchored crop
residues, variations in soil conditions in the field, and the experimental errors incurred
while measuring the draft and torque values could be the reasons behind the variations
between observed and estimated values.
AgriEngineering 2025, 7, 121 14 of 17
observed and estimated values of the specific draft and specific torque requirement were
found to be 19.79% and 19.47%, respectively. The presence of loose and anchored crop
residues, variations in soil conditions in the field, and the experimental errors incurred
AgriEngineering 2025, 7, x FOR PEER REVIEW 15 of 18
while measuring the draft and torque values could be the reasons behind the variations
between observed and estimated values.
(a) Comparison of the measured and estimated specific draft of the APDH (SDAPDH).
(b) Comparison of the measured and estimated specific torque of the APDH (STAPDH).
Figure
Figure7.7.Validation
Validationofofthe
thedeveloped
developedregression models
regression with
models thethe
with field data.
field data.
4.4.Conclusions
Conclusions
Thespecific
The specificdraft
draftand
andspecific
specific torque
torque requirement
requirement of of
thethe APDH
APDH waswas found
found to increase
to increase
withan
with anincrease
increaseininα αandand soil
soil CI,CI,
andand it decreased
it decreased with
with an increase
an increase in ratio
in u/v u/v ratio
at anyatαany
and operating
α and depth.
operating UsingUsing
depth. multiple regression
multiple technique,
regression models were
technique, modelsdeveloped incor-
were developed
porating the soilthe
incorporating CI,soil
front
CI,gang
frontangle,
gang operating depth, forward
angle, operating speed, and
depth, forward u/v and
speed, ratiou/v
fromratio
soil bin data to estimate the specific draft and torque requirements of the
from soil bin data to estimate the specific draft and torque requirements of the APDH inAPDH in sandy
clay loam
sandy soil
clay withsoil
loam maximum absolute variations
with maximum of 18.50%,of
absolute variations 13.11%,
18.50%, and 12.04%,and
13.11%, respec-
12.04%,
tively. Soil CI and operating depth were found to have a linear relationship
respectively. Soil CI and operating depth were found to have a linear relationship with both with both
specific
specificdraft
draftand
andspecific
specifictorque
torque requirements.
requirements. However,
However, α had a quadratic
α had a quadraticrelationship,
relationship,
and the speed ratio had a negative exponential relationship with both specific draft and
specific torque requirements. Based on soil bin data and following the MOO technique
using genetic algorithm, the optimum values of front gang angle and u/v ratio for the
APDH were found to vary in the range of 35.91° to 36.98° and 3.27 to 3.87, respectively.
Further, it was found that with an increase in the forward speed (3 to 6 km h−1), the corre-
AgriEngineering 2025, 7, 121 15 of 17
and the speed ratio had a negative exponential relationship with both specific draft and
specific torque requirements. Based on soil bin data and following the MOO technique
using genetic algorithm, the optimum values of front gang angle and u/v ratio for the
APDH were found to vary in the range of 35.91◦ to 36.98◦ and 3.27 to 3.87, respectively.
Further, it was found that with an increase in the forward speed (3 to 6 km h−1 ), the
corresponding NFGA of APDH needed to be increased (92.9 to 220.1 rpm) to achieve
optimized values of objective functions, i.e., minimum Pe and maximum reduction in
CItilled values. The field trials demonstrated that by carefully setting the gang angle and
the speed ratio, significant improvements in tillage efficiency were achieved, reducing
overall fuel consumption and improving soil conditions. The combination of multiple
regression modeling, GA-based multi-objective optimization, and field validation provided
a comprehensive approach to optimizing tillage operations.
The developed models for estimating specific draft and specific torque will offer
valuable insights to farmers and manufacturers regarding the necessary tractor power,
facilitating the optimal selection of tractor-implement combinations for their farms. The
findings of this research will serve as a useful resource for engineers and scientists involved
in farm machinery development and management, as well as for manufacturers and farmers
across India. Furthermore, this study provides a strong foundation for adopting active-
passive combination tillage implements in the Indian farming system, enhancing tractor
power utilization efficiency. Future studies involving diverse soil types and humidity levels
will aid in confirming the model’s general applicability.
Author Contributions: Conceptualization, G.U.; methodology, G.U. and H.R.; software, R.D.; valida-
tion, G.U.; formal analysis, G.U. and R.D.; investigation, G.U. and H.R.; resources, H.R.; data curation,
R.D.; writing—original draft preparation, G.U.; writing—review and editing, G.U.; visualization,
H.R.; supervision, H.R.; project administration, G.U. and H.R.; funding acquisition, H.R. All authors
have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Acknowledgments: The funding and cooperation received from MHRD, Govt. of India, to carry out
this research work is sincerely acknowledged.
Abbreviations
The following abbreviations are used in this manuscript:
α Angle of the front powered disks
APDH Active–passive disk harrow
ASAE American Society of Agricultural Engineers
CI Cone index
Ci Regression coefficient
CItilled Cone index of the tilled soil
MAD Maximum absolute deviation
MIE Mean index error
MAE Mean absolute error
MOO Multi-objective optimization
Pe Total power requirement of the tractor
RMSE Root mean square error
SD Specific draft
ST Specific torque
u/v Speed ratio
VarAF Variance account for
AgriEngineering 2025, 7, 121 16 of 17
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