Decision Making Guide
Decision Making Guide
Decision-making guide
Copyright© Cesim Oy 2000-2025
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9.1. Summary
9.2. Market research
9.2.1. Market research reports
9.3. Market specific Awareness, Intentions and Sales
9.3.1. Awareness/Sales
9.3.2. Intentions/Sales
9.4. Market overviews
9.5. Sustainability
9.6. Financial statements
9.6.1. Income Statements
9.6.2. Balance Sheet
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1. Profile - Here you can change your email, password and add a personal
picture to be displayed on various parts of the user interface. You can also
change your account's language and time zone, and determine the
automated email notifications you wish to receive. Please enter a valid email
address to avoid missing out on important information from your instructor
or teammates. You will also need it should you require the "Forgot my
password" feature.
2. Help - Here you can reach the Cesim Support team if you run into problems
or issues relating to in-game functionality. For any content-related
questions, contact your instructor.
3. Logout - Use this button to log out.
1.2. Home
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1.4. Decisions
The Decisions are split into sub-categories (e.g. Demand, Production, etc.).
Some areas should be filled in first, as they affect other areas.
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1. Decision cells - The decision cells can appear as input cells, drop-down
menus, checkboxes or buttons.
2. Estimation cells - Estimation cells are where you can enter sales estimates,
personnel turnover, etc. These estimations act as a basis for the budgets
shown in the system.
The system automatically updates the budgets and calculations as you make
decisions and/or estimations.
1.5. Results
The round results are calculated as the deadline passes, using the decision
sets in each team’s decision area. The results from previous rounds, including
possible practice rounds, are accessible and you may also download the
results as presented in an Excel file or as a slideshow of main indicators.
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1.6. Schedule
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The Schedule page displays a timetable of the rounds’ deadlines. The results
are calculated as soon as the deadline of the round passes. Unless otherwise
restricted, decisions can be made on each round as soon as the previous
round’s deadline passes.
1.7. Teams
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Universe1
Teams
The Teams page contains the teams' compositions across all the universes of
the course. On this page, you may also edit your own team’s information, such
as the team name, slogan and/or team description.
At the start, when no deadlines have passed, you can join any team that has
an empty slot. Simply click the Join Team button. After the first deadline has
passed, only the instructor can move participants between teams.
1.8. Readings
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The case description gives information regarding the business case that is
being played on the course. It gives a general understanding of the company,
industry, trends and challenges.
1.9. Forums
The forums are a great place for players to contact their instructors or fellow
players, especially in situations where face-to-face time is limited.
There is a Team Forum, a Universe Forum and a Course Forum. The Team
Forum allows your team members to see posts and reply to them. The
Universe forum only exists if multiple universes feature on the course, and can
be seen by all players in the respective universes. The Course Forum is
available for every player registered on the course.
Instructors can view and reply to forum posts in the three sections. As such,
the Course Forum is a good place to ask questions that everyone on the
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course can benefit from, while the Team Forum is the ideal place to discuss
sensitive team-related issues.
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2. Introduction
The following chapters will walk you through the products’ journey from
creation to end-user. Your job is to assess which is the best setup for your
products and company.
2.1.1. Company
The simulation begins at the start of the newly established company’s first
year of operations. The product offering consists of sodas with a variety of
features. The products to be sold are ordered from a production company of
the group and actual production decisions are thus not part of this simulation.
2.1.2. Products
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2.1.3. Markets
There are four customer segments: Easy Living, Experiencers, Hedonistic and
Thinkers. The segments react to your actions with different sensitivities to
price, features and advertising. Moreover, they each favor different
distribution channels from which to purchase products. The customer
segments are similar for both markets, but they can be prioritized separately
for each product offering.
2.2. Demand
The decisions of one company affect all the companies’ outcomes in the
market. Products that are very similar decrease their respective market
shares. In other words, very similar products cannibalize each other since
there is significant overlap regarding their customer bases. Advertising and
channel investment expenditure have a long-term influence on demand, but
this diminishes over time.
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The distribution of sales between the segments and markets has a slight
effect on the share price. Strong positions in segments or market areas of
rapid growth are accounted positively. However, markets associated with
significant growth potential tend to be riskier due to several uncertainties. The
share price is also affected to some degree by marketing communications.
Advertising has a long-term effect on success as it increases market
awareness of your products. Similarly, a team’s channel investments can
improve channel coverage in the long run. Thus, investors tend to favor
companies that commit to proper long-term expenditure towards marketing
communications.
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These instructions will help you as you go through the decision-making tool
for the first time. When you are more familiar with the model, you can make
decisions as you prefer.
The analysis of the previous round’s results is an integral part of the decision-
making process. When making decisions towards the first round, please
consult the market research report available in the Results section. This will
give you some hints as to how you should proceed with your decisions. You
are able to find all the results for every round in the Results section.
Remember to review budgets periodically to see the effects of your estimates
and budgetary decisions.
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3. Market outlook
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1. Market outlooks
It is essential to read the “Market outlook” before you start to
make decisions. It contains important information on current
market trends and possible future developments.
3. Parameters
The simulation parameters are presented here. Some of them
are market specific while the lower part of the table represents
the global parameters. You can take advantage of this
information when appropriate, such as when launching a new
product or updating an existing one.
The information presented on the page includes forecasts for the year,
which tend to be accurate. However, the market sizes are impossible
to forecast entirely accurately since other factors, such as the
companies' product offerings and pricing, will affect demand.
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4. Products
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1. Competing products
This section provides an overview of how the products for each
market area stacked against each other in the previous round.
You can select an individual product to inspect it in more detail.
2. Packaging focus
Packaging focus plays an important role in product
differentiation as the tastes of customer segments differ from
one another. Therefore, review the results carefully after each
round and try to figure out the latest trends.
3. Product name
Each product can be named for easier identification. The name
has no effect on demand or cost.
4. Product markets
The markets covered by each product are decided by clicking on
the respective market. You can place the product in both
markets by selecting both market areas.
5. Product upgrade
You do not have to modify the product characteristics for every
round. When products are modified, the production line will
incur extra adjustment costs. If you are satisfied with certain
products that were offered during the previous round, it is
recommended to maintain the same product attributes. This will
avoid the incurring of further production line costs. You can
prevent making accidental changes by toggling the selection to
Old, which will enforce the product characteristics from the
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previous round.
6. Additional features
Use the feature icons to implement up to five features for each
product. Highlighted icons indicate selected features.
Remember that different segments have different sensitivities to
demand regarding features and adding new features will
inevitably increase costs. The feature selection also limits the
maximum levels of variety and quality for that product.
8. Capability usage
Trade-offs are present in the planning of a product. Each of the
features affect the taste and other characteristics of the
beverages. As a result, the implementable product quality
decreases in line with the company's competence index as you
add more features. Moreover, each feature entails various
regulatory requirements and affects the overall variety potential.
Therefore, the maximum attainable variety decreases every time
you decide to implement a new feature.
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You must choose at least one supplier, but you can also choose
two, in which case the cost level and the quality and
sustainability scores are a simple average of the two suppliers.
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5. Markets
After designing a product portfolio, it is recommended to continue with the
marketing communication strategy. By clicking the Markets tab, you are able
to access the marketing communication and pricing decisions.
1. Product selection
The Products page makes it possible to select a different set of
products for each market. If a particular product is set to be
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2. Product information
The most important product attributes are displayed in this
section. The interface automatically updates the information as
you make decisions regarding the products.
3. Charts
The simulation provides useful information about sales
distribution that will help you in your decision-making. The
information is displayed across three tabs.
4. Pricing
The company is able to set the prices for all its products in both
market areas. Therefore, the same product can be sold at
different price in different markets. Note: Price sensitivities can
vary between different markets and segments.
5. Sales forecast
A sales forecast is an estimate rather than an actual decision.
Sales forecasts play a crucial role regarding budgeting. The
more accurately you are able to estimate demand, the better
your standpoint for making other decisions.
6. Advertising
The company sets an advertising budget for every market,
product and segment. Advertising that is set to a segment will
always spill over into other segments. Advertising is a form of
pull marketing directly aimed at end customers. Advertising
expenditure has a long-term effect on demand.
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7. Channel investments
Channel investments are allocated for each product in the three
available distribution channels. Channel investments are
examples of push marketing that are directed at the distribution
channels to achieve broader store coverage and higher selling
motivation. Like advertising, channel investments have a long-
term impact on demand.
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6. Corporate
Under the corporate tab you will find decisions regarding labor policies and
data collection.
1. Labor policies
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8. Projections
You can easily access the projections from any decision making page by
selecting the Projections button in the top-right corner of the page. They
continuously update as you make decisions or estimations and form the
projected results for the round. The actual results calculated at the deadline
will differ due to estimations never being entirely accurate. Projections are
divided into four main sections: Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Ratios and
Segment-specific overviews.
Here you can follow the group's projected profitability, both as a whole and
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for each individual area. Any losses from previous rounds are carried forward
as per the "loss carryforward" principle. Thus, even heavy losses may level
out during later rounds, as future incomes incur lower taxation. Deferred taxes
do not expire – for example, potential losses made during the first round will
continue to be deducted from taxes until all losses are covered.
The Term of payment decision area allows the team to set the payment period
that will be applicable to all customer segments and market areas. A longer
collection period has a small positive effect on demand but it also increases
the amount of Accounts Receivable. Receivables and payables are
automatically calculated as a percentage of sales and production costs. Loans
are automatically taken if the company does not have enough liquidity to run
operations.
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8.3. Ratios
The Ratios page shows key financial figures that the team can use to assess
the effectiveness of company operations.
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9. Results
When each round’s deadline passes, the results will be calculated on the
basis of the teams’ decisions, and divided into different areas of interest. The
following chapters will give further insight to these sections.
9.1. Summary
A set of key financial figures has been selected to give the participants a
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Gross profit
Gross prof it, % =
Total sales
Operating profit
Operating profit, % =
Total sales
Net income
Return on sales, % =
Total sales
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1. Product characteristics
Detailed information about product characteristics enables
teams to analyze the key success factors with each segment
and target market area.
2. Price
While the product features help build customer interest, a poorly
set price can undo all the good work.
3. E-score
For each of your product, the following factors are compared to
the other products on the market to derive the E-score:
Plant-based packaging
Packaging focus
Quality of supplier
Sustainability of supplier
Product complexity
The scores range from 1 to 10, 1 being the worst and 10 being
the best. If your product is more sustainable than the other
products in the market on average (e.g., better quality and
sustainability of suppliers, lower complexity, more sustainable
packaging focus etc.), you’ll get a better score for the dimension
in question. The final E-score is a simple average from the
individual items.
4. Sales
In addition to total sales, the composition of sales by segment is
presented. Please remember that high sales numbers do not
necessarily mean high performance. Proper pricing is also
required.
5. Market share
The product market share is presented separately for each
segment.
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9.3.1. Awareness/Sales
The sales figure is the actual sales figure (or demand as they are equivalents).
Awareness is measured and portrayed on the same scale, meaning one point
of awareness indicates one person who is aware of the product.
9.3.2. Intentions/Sales
Intentions are measured and portrayed on the same scale as sales, meaning
one point of intention indicates that there is one person who intends to buy
the given product.
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else. Intentions are affected by the same decisions as sales, except for
channel investments. Intentions can be seen as a kind of demand and channel
investments cause the demand to actualize as sales. The lower the channel
investments are, the higher the intentions to sales ratio is. The higher the
intentions to sales ratio is, the more likely it is that the marginal benefit of
channel investment is positive. Sales can exceed intentions if the product’s
channel investments are high and other demand-generated products are not
readily available in the channels due to competitors’ low channel investments.
There is no optimal position in the chart.
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9.5. Sustainability
On this page you can view the company specific ESG scores. The team
specific Environmental scores are calculated as a weighted average of your
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product-specific scores. Each score is weighted with the share of sales of the
product. For example, consider a company with three products. The product-
specific E-scores are 5.60, 7.86 and 4.64, and their shares of the sales are
30%, 30% and 40% respectively. The company specific E-score would be
5.60*0.3 + 7.86*0.3 + 4.64*0.4 = 5.89.
The Social and Governance scores are calculated based on your decisions
regarding labor policies, employee diversity and employee satisfaction, as well
as data collection. Further information about the scoring can be found in the
Marketing research document.
On the Corporate page you can find information regarding supplier selection
and corporate policies of each team.
There are three different income statements: one for each market area and
one for the combined results. The pro forma reports, called "Income
statement, Market 1" and "Income statement, Market 2" provide information
about the financial performance in each separate geographical area. "Income
statement, Total", on the other hand, depicts the group-level performance
with both geographical areas combined. Pro forma reports for individual
markets provide participants with complementary details and actual group-
level performance is not necessarily directly observable from them. For
example, certain group-level expenses are not allocated to market areas at all
and, as a result, only appear on the official income statement. This section
presents the reported income statement items.
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1. Product sales
Product sales show the company’s total sales revenue from the
market. This item is a direct indicator of company size. Pricing
and positioning are the main factors influencing the product
sales. Generally speaking, greater advertising expenditure and
channel investments also result in larger sales.
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2. Variable costs
Variable production costs, i.e. unit costs for each product, form
the majority of total variable costs. Unit costs are subject to
economies of scale, so that the larger the production volumes
for a product, the smaller the unit cost. Therefore, companies
may benefit if a product can be sold in both markets. The initial
sales estimates are a basis for the order made to the production
company. The production company ultimately adjusts its
production to match the total demand. The greater the
difference between sales forecasts and actual demand, the
greater the increase in unit cost owing to necessary last-minute
volume adjustments by the production company. It should be
noted, however, that the effect of poor forecasts on unit cost is
not very dramatic; a few percentage points at most.
3. Administration
Presence in a market area creates a fixed amount of
administrational costs per market area. Further additional fixed
costs depend on the number of products offered in a market,
with a constant amount charged for each product. In short, the
more products you offer in a market area, the more
administrational costs you incur.
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5. Advertising
Advertising expenditure is entirely under the management's
control. The amount spent on advertising should be in line with
the sales volume and gross profit. A useful rule of thumb is:
If, for example, advertising elasticity ranges between 0.1 and 0.3
depending on segment and market area, a reasonable
expenditure on advertising should average 10-30 % of the
product’s contribution margin. Nevertheless, alternative
strategies may also result in favorable results depending on
market development. For example, successful companies may
adopt an aggressive strategy and invest relatively large sums in
advertising when launching new products. This can help create a
positive product image that has a long-term effect in the minds
of customers. Despite the long-term impact, all advertising
costs are expensed during the period when the investment is
made.
6. Channel investments
As with advertising, channel investments are completely under
the management’s control. The channel investments should be
in line with the management’s vision and chosen strategy.
Despite channel investments having a long-term impact on
demand, prudent accounting policies mean they are fully
expensed during the period when the investment is made.
8. Market research
This is a fixed cost that cannot be avoided. Companies are
committed to incurring this cost in order to receive market
research reports.
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9. Interest income
Companies earn interest income on cash and bank receivables.
One of the financial reports is a consolidated balance sheet that combines the
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information from both market areas. The Balance sheet enables participants
to observe companies’ solvency and the development of capital structure.
Simplified financial reporting applied in this marketing simulation means that
only the necessary and relevant items are presented.
1. Accounts receivable
Accounts receivable is the amount that customers owe the
company. Sometimes called trade receivables, they are
classified as current assets. To record a journal entry for a sale
on account, one must debit a receivable and credit a revenue
account. Companies are able to affect the item by adjusting the
term of payment.
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3. Share capital
The amount of share capital reported on each company’s
balance sheets only accounts for the initial amount for which the
original shareholders purchased the shares from the issuing
company. Obviously, any price differences arising from price
appreciation or depreciation in the secondary markets, i.e. share
price movements, are not included. The number of shares is
fixed in this simulation and the share capital will therefore remain
unchanged throughout the simulation.
4. Retained earnings
Profits from previous periods are visible here. High retained
earnings are a clear sign of long-term profitability.
5. Profit
Profit is simply the bottom line in the same period's income
statement. High profit, in turn, is a sign of short-term
profitability.
6. Loans
The system will automatically raise loans to sustain liquidity and
strengthen the financial position if cash inflows from operations
are weak. Naturally, these liabilities bear interest.
7. Accounts payable
Accounts payable is a file or account that shows the amount of
money that a company owes to suppliers. All companies make
their purchases according to the same terms.
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