Chapter 02
Productivity
Output
Partial measures =
single input
Output
Multifactor measures =
multiple inputs
Output
Total measures =
total inputs
Output
Productivity=
Inputs
Current period productivity− previous period productivity
Productivity growth =
previous period productivity
Good non defected product
Process yield=
Input
Chapter 03
Naïve forecasts
Stable time series data : f(t) = A(t-1)
Seasonal variation: f(t) = A(t-n)
Data with trends: f(t) = A(t-1) + {A(t-1) – A(t-2)}
Averaging
Moving average, ft = MAn = (At-n + … + At-2 + At-1 )/n
Weighted moving average, , ft = WMAn = (Wn At-n + … + Wn-1 At-2 + W1At-1 )/n
Exponential smoothing , ft = ft-1 + α ( At-1 - Ft-1)
Linear trend equation , ft = a + bt
t
∑¿
¿
b= ¿
2
n ∑ t −¿
n ∑ ( ty )−∑ t ∑ y
¿
a=
∑ y−b ∑ t
n
MAD =
∑ |Actual−forecast|
n
MSE = ∑ (actual−forecast)
n−1
| Actual−forecast|
MAPE =
∑( actual
∗100)
n
Tracking signal =
∑ ( Actual−forecast)
MAD
Exponential smoothing with trend adjustment:
Forecast including trend (FITt) = Exponentially smoothed forecast (f t) + Exponentially
smoothed trend (Tt)
Ft = α ( A t−1 ) + ( 1−α ) (F t−1 +T t−1 )
Tt = β (Ft – Ft-1) + (1-β) Tt-1
Least square line
^y = a + bx
b=
∑ ( xy )−n x́ ý
∑ x2 −n( x́)2
a= ý - b x́
Chapter 06
Operating time per day
Output rate =
cycletime
Operating time per day
cycle time =
Desired output rate
Nmin =
∑t
cycle time
Idle time per cycle
Percentage of idle time = N actual × cycle time x 100
N actual × cycle time−Idle time
Efficiency = x 100 = 100% - Percentage of idle time
N actual × cycle time
Chapter 10
Mean chart:
UCL = x́ + z σ x́
LCL = x́ - z σ x́
σ
σ x́ =
√n
UCL = x́ + A2 Ŕ
LCL = x́ - A2 Ŕ
P chart:
UCL = P+Z σ p
= ṕ+Z σ ^p
LCL = P−Z σ p
= ṕ−Z σ ^p
σp =
√ p ( 1− p )
n
C chart:
UCL = c + z √ c = ć +Z √ ć
LCL = c - z √ c = ć−Z √ ć
Run Test:
2 N −1
E(r )u /d =
3
N
E(r )median = +1
2
σ median =
√ N −1
4
σ u / d=
√ 16 N −29
90
Observed−Expected
Z=
σ
Chapter 13
EOQ: Q0 =
√ 2 DS
H
Q
Annual carrying cost = H
2
D
Annual ordering cost = S
Q
Q
Length of ordering cycle =
D
Q D
Total cost, TC= H+ S
2 Q
Q D
Total cost, TC= H+ S + PD
2 Q
Reorder point, ROP = d ( demand rate ) x LT (Lead time)
Chapter 19
Range of feasibility = constraint ± allowable increase & decrease
Change in objective function within range of feasibility = shadow price of a constraint x
change in RHS of the constraint.