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(XQ CAMP INVESTMENT CAMP Insight & Research
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CAMP Weekly Soundbites
1 Jul 2024 Edition
Uncertainty Pervades Bitcoin and
Wider Crypto Market
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Weekly News Wrap Up
‘The U.S. core PCE Index increased just 0.1% for May and was up 2.6% from a year
ago, slowing to its lowest annual rate in more than three years. Market
participants continue to closely monitor inflation data to predict the Fed’s next
course of action. According to the CME Group FedWatch Tool, traders currently
see a 59.5% chance of a rate cut by the central bank at September's FOMC
meeting. It was a muted week for U.S. equities as tech reversed a correction early
in the week to close flat. SPX -0.08%, DJIA 0.08%, NASDAQ +0.24%.
BTC -5.85% last week, defending the 60k level a few times over the week in light
of potential sell news regarding Mt. Gox, government transfers and further SEC
action. Defunct bitcoin exchange Mt. Gox is set to begin distributing bitcoin
and bitcoin cash repayments from July, according to a notice sent by
Rehabilitation Trustee Nobuaki Kobayashi last Monday. While the exact amount
of Mt. Gox funds to be distributed in July was not specified, it is part of a larger
reimbursement plan that includes 142,000 Bitcoin and 143,000 Bitcoin Cash, as
well as fiat currency totaling JPY 69bn (USD 432mm).
As a recap, Mt. Gox was founded in 2010 and became the largest bitcoin exchange
globally until the platform suffered a security breach in 2014, resulting in the loss
of 850,000 bitcoin. The weakness in crypto prices is largely due to investors
contemplating the potential impact of more than 140,000 bitcoin hitting the
market in less than one month, BTC took a bigger hit than smaller tokens, leading
to a marked slide of 1.7% in its market dominance from 56.3% earlier last month.
BTC faced further pressure as German government-labelled addresses
appeared to send another 650 BTC ($40mm) to centralised exchanges last
week, according to Arkham, indicating a potential intention to sell the assets.
This is in addition to $130mm and $65mm BTC sent to exchanges on 19 and 20
June respectively. The German government currently holds 46,359 BTC, worth
around $2.8bn at current prices, after seizing 50,000 BTC from the film-piracy site
Movieak in January. Germany is among the largest known nation state holders of
bitcoin behind the United States, China and the UK with 213,246 BTC, 190,000 BTC
and 61,000 BTC, respectively, according to Bitcoin Treasuries.
The US government wallets also deposited 3,940 BTC($241mm) into Coinbase
Prime last week as well. The last movement by the government— which in late
2022 seized roughly 50,000 bitcoin related to the Silk Road website—was $2bn
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worth of bitcoin on 2 Apr, which at the time also put pressure on digital market
The last confirmed sale by the government was in March 2023, when it unloaded
9,861 coins for $216mm.
ETH -4.09% for the week. According to Bernstein as reported by CoinDesk, ETH
spot ETFs, once approved for trading, will likely see the same sources of demand
as the BTC spot ETFs but on a lower scale. “ETH should not see as much spot ETH
conversion due to the lack of an ETH staking feature in the ETF,” analysts Gautam
Chhugani and Mahika Sapra wrote, adding that the basis trade will likely find
takers over time and this should contribute to healthy liquidity in the ETF
market.
SEC Chairman Gensler said in an interview at the Bloomberg Investment Summit
that the review of plans for a U.S. spot Ethereum ETF is progressing smoothly.
Late last week, the SEC had returned the S-1 forms to prospective Ethereum ETF
issuers with light comments, asking them to fix the issues and refile. This would
mean going through at least one more round of review before going effective.
Late in the week, the U.S. SEC sued Consensys, saying that the firm has failed to
register as a broker through its MetaMask swaps service and violated the law
through its MetaMask staking service. Consensys said it expected the SEC's move
on Friday. Just in May 2024, Consensys sued the SEC over its approach to
regulating Ethereum and said at the time that the SEC "trained its sights" on the
firm's MetaMask software.
Solana, ranked fifth in terms of market capitalization, outperformed its peers on a
couple of positive updates. Early in the week, the Solana Foundation announced
an update that will allow users to share on-chain actions as shareable links
around the internet. The bigger news was the Solana spot ETF applications by
VanEck and 21Shares. VanEck announced its application first for Solana spot
ETF in the U.S., saying that Solana is a commodity that provides a better user
experience than Ethereum.
In 2021, Grayscale launched the Solana Trust Fund, which is aimed at institutional
investors and high net worth investors. However, SOL faces some difficulties in
applying for a spot ETF. For example, it does not have a futures ETF like Bitcoin
and Ethereum. In addition, the SEC once ruled that SOL is a security, causing
Robinhood to delist SOL.
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Cryptocurrency News
© The Hong Kong parliament has recently set up a subcommittee on
Web3 and virtual asset development. The key focuses for the new
subcommittee include enhancing the protection of crypto investors,
ensuring financial stability without stifling stablecoin innovation, and
exploring regulatory measures for professional crypto custody services.
© Taurus, the digital asset infrastructure provider to financial
institutions such as Deutsche Bank, Credit Suisse and Santander, has
expanded to the Stellar network. The integration allows banks and
issuers to issue and manage any tokenized asset on the Stellar network,
fully customizing and automating payment flows using programmable
wallet behaviors and banking-grade access controls.
« Tether will discontinue support for EOS and Algorand. It has stopped
the minting of USDT on both blockchains last week. Tether specifically
preceded the news by explaining that it constantly assesses current
transport layers and aims "to strike a balance between maintainability,
usage, and community interest.”
* Bitcoin mining firm Hut 8 announced that it has entered into a
definitive agreement with a fund operated by Coatue Management to
invest $150mm into the company through a convertible note. Hut 8 aims
to leverage its ability to develop and operate complex energy infrastructure
to address unmet demand and emerge as a leader in the artificial
intelligence infrastructure market.
* Zodia Custody has partnered with 21Shares to provide custody services
for physically backed crypto ETPs in Switzerland and the wider
European market. The partnership aims to give 21Shares investors an
additional layer of security and regulatory compliance for its
physically-backed ETPs. Additionally, institutions using 21Shares for ETP
investments will gain access to cold-storage wallets with 24/7 instant
access.
* VanEck filed a Form 8-A on Tuesday morning for its Ethereum product
— a move that signifies registration that allows issuers to trade on an
exchange once the product has been approved. VanEck will initially waive
fees for its Ethereum ETF until an unspecified time in 2025, or until the
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fund reaches $1.5bn in assets. Once either condition is met, the fund will
charge a 0.2% fee.
Florida Republican Matt Gaetz introduced a bill on Tuesday that would
allow people to use bitcoin to pay their federal income taxes. The bill
would require the U.S. Secretary of the Treasury to put in place a
programme to allow for federal income taxes to be paid via bitcoin.
© The supply of USDT stablecoin on the TON network crossed 500mm
after two months of rollout. This comes around two months after Tether
launched the U.S. dollar-backed stablecoin on TON, along with the
company’s gold-backed stablecoin, XAUT. The Telegram-linked blockchain
network has recently soared in popularity alongside in-app mini-games.
Investment manager Investcorp and Securitize have launched a
partnership to tokenize funds. The two firms will initially develop
tokenized funds within Investcorp's Strategic Capital Group (ISCG), which
has $1.5bn in assets under management and was launched in 2019. This
partnership allows qualified investors to tap into GP staking strategies via
Securitize’s tokenization tech, boosting access to burgeoning private
markets with the efficiency of blockchain.
* State Street Global Advisors has partnered with Galaxy Asset
Management to launch ETFs that provide exposure to crypto
companies. The new fund is named the SSGA Active Trust and is still
pending approval from the regulator. The fund plans to invest in crypto
companies’ equity securities, crypto futures ETFs and contracts and spot
crypto ETPs, according to the registration filing. Its scope of crypto
companies include blockchain software developers, bitcoin miners,
exchanges and crypto payment processors.
© Crypto exchange Coinbase filed two lawsuits against the U.S. SEC and
the FDIC for not complying with Freedom of Information Act requests and
has asked a court to force those agencies to comply. The crypto exchange
accused federal financial regulators of trying to cut off the crypto industry
from the banking sector in the complaints.
© Coinbase has announced a partnership with Stripe. Stripe is adding
USDC to its crypto payment products and adding USDC on Base to its
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fiat-to-crypto onramp. Coinbase will add Stripe's fiat-to-crypto onramp to
Coinbase Wallet to allow users to instantly buy cryptocurrencies with
credit cards and Apple Pay.
* The Aptos Foundation, in collaboration with Alibaba Cloud, China's
largest cloud service provider, has launched Alcove. Alcove is Asia's first
co-branded Move developer community, to promote smart contract
programming languages in the Asia-Pacific region. Alcove’s mission is to
amplify the impact and proliferation of the Move smart contract
programming language among talented developers.
* Marathon Digital, the largest public Bitcoin miner by market cap,
announced late Wednesday that it had expanded into altcoin mining to
diversify its revenue streams following Bitcoin's latest halving event.
Marathon said it deployed its first Kaspa miner in Sep 2023 and has since
mined 93mm KAS worth around $15mm.
* Animoca is considering a potential public listing in the second half of
2025 after having delisted from the Australian Securities Exchange in 2020.
‘The firm is weighing options to list in crypto-friendly jurisdictions such as
Hong Kong and the Middle East.
* Tidal Investments and Quantify Chaos Advisors have filed a prospectus
for a proposed STKD Bitcoin & Gold ETF, which seeks to give traders and
investors exposure to both bitcoin and gold without having to buy either
asset. The strategy is based on the idea that a combination of investing in a
Bitcoin strategy and a gold strategy may provide complementary benefits.
«T-Rex Group, the ETFs issuer, has filed for an ETF that will take a 2x
long position in bitcoin-heavy Microstrategy. T-Rex also filed for an ETF
that would take a 2x inverted position in MSTR. Effectively, both of these
listed products would be leveraged long or short on bitcoin.
* The stablecoin rules from the European Union's Markets in Crypto
Assets legislation will take effect on 30 Jun. The rules ban stablecoins
from having over 1mm daily transactions that pay for goods or services
settled off- and on-chain. The regulations mean that some of the biggest
stablecoin issuers including Tether and Circle, responsible for USDT and
USDC respectively, may not be able to operate in the EU.
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* The U.S, Internal Revenue Service released late Friday the final version
of its controversial “broker rule” guidance, delaying a decision that
could later affect non-custodial platforms. Crypto lobbyists had feared
ambiguous language in earlier drafts would harmfully impact many parts
of the crypto industry from wallet providers to decentralised exchanges.
Rules pertaining to “unhosted wallets” and related non-custodial software
are still under review.
Investment Consideration
Our best strategy for the moment is to take at least 1-3 years in Moderate
Portfolio because it has a good defense with 50% Fixed Deposit , 30% In DCI and
20% in Staking. After all, we still have potential returns in DCI and Staking,
especially in BTC. Accumulator structured product can also be considered for
those that are more risk averse in an attempt to outperform DCA strategy.
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Sources:
1. https://x.com/Johnny nkc/status/180438854832769434:
2. htt /www.theblock.co/post/301491/deutsche-bank-taurus-stellar
3. https://tether.io/news/tether-announces-strategic-transition-to-prioritize-commu
nity-driven-blockchain-support/
https
tment-from-coatue-to-advance-ai-infrastructure-market
5. https://www.theblock.co/post/301752/zodia-custody-partners-with-2ishares-for-
crypto-etp-custody-services-in-europe
6. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1860788/000003041324001929/e109196 8
/pitcoin-miner-hut-8-gets-150-million-inves
8. https://gaetz.house.gov/media/press-releases/congressman-matt-gaetz-introduce
s-legislation-require-irs-accept-bitcoin-o
9. i s7/usdt-ton-! e 500
10. https://www.coindesk.com /markets/2024/06/26/investcorp-and-securitize-launch
11, https c.gov/Archi 1 /data/1516212/00011931252416901:
sSapos.htm
12. https://www.theblock.co/post/202145/coinbase-sues-sec-fdic-over-foia-requests-
says-federal-regulators-trying-to-cut-out-crypto
13. https://www.coinbase.com/zh-s
al-adoption-of-crypto? cf chi rt tk=GtREIYp bOZ85y 6Q0Trs83aFicUZvuVZeFu
BUSc#iv0-1719533256-0.0.1.1-4564
14, https://aptosfoundation.org /currents/aptos-foundation-and-alibaba-cloud-unite-
to-boost-web3-in-japan
15. https://ir.mara.com/news-events/press-releases/detail/1360/marathon--digital-hol
dings-announces-kaspa-mining-operations
16, https://www.theinformation.com/articles/animoca-brands-looks-to-crypto-friend
ly-markets-for-potential-2025-listing
17, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1924868/000199937124007814/stkd-485a
‘pos_062624,htm#stkdassbposa001
18, https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1771146/000199937124007880/mstr-485a
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by or on behalf of Camp Investment, that any person enter into or buy or sell any particular
security, investment product, or token, or participate in any other transactions. Camp
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‘anyone for any other purpose.
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