PMP Lesson 3
PMP Lesson 3
PLAN THE
PROJECT
• Planning Projects
• Scope
• Schedule
• Budget
• Resources
• Quality
• Risks
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Workshop. 1
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Planning Projects
TOPIC A
2
Topic Coverage
3
Copyright 2023 Project Management Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
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Planning Starts with a
Project Management Plan
Enables project managers to ....
• Execute
The document that describes how the • Monitor
project will be executed, monitored and • Control
controlled, and closed.
• Close
It includes:
• Subsidiary plans
• Baselines
• Establishes guardrails to maintain controls,
• Additional components so ....
• Teams can tailor their way of working and
act quickly and flexibly!
5
Project
Documents*
Documentation and content created by the team to plan and manage the
project effectively
6
Adaptability and
Resilience in Planning
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7
Milestones*
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8
Product Roadmap*
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9
ECO Coverage
10
Incremental
Development An incremental development approach can:
11
MVP or MBI?
Planning for
Work
Incrementally
12
Scope
TOPIC B
13
ECO Coverage
14
Scope Click me!
PROJECT
SCOPE
• Project scope or product
PRODUCT
scope?
SCOPE
• Is it fixed or flexible?
FIXED
FLEXIBLE
Let’s use the Shawpe Lifestyle Centre
project—the independent case study
part of this course—to understand these
terms better.
Copyright 2023© Project Management Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
This material is being provided as part of a PMI® course.
15
Requirements
Management
Plan
• Prioritization criteria/process
Plan, Track and
• Configuration management & requirements
Report on
Requirements • Product metrics and accompanying rationale
Activities • Traceability structure
16
Requirements
What Are They
and Why Do We
Need Them?
• A requirement is a condition or capability that is necessary to be present
in a product, service or result, to satisfy a business need.
18
Types of Requirements
Type Describes the...
Features and characteristics of the product, service or result that will meet the business and
stakeholder requirements
Product • Functional – Product features
• Nonfunctional - Supplemental environmental conditions/qualities that make the product
effective
Transition/
Temporary capabilities needed to transition successfully to the desired future state
Readiness
20
Scope Planning: How to Collect Requirements
Interviews Questionnaires/Surveys Observations Focus Groups Facilitated Workshops
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This material is being provided as part of a PMI® course.
23
Books Fiction
Manage LIBRARY
ment Furnitur
e
AGile
LIBRARY Waterfa Softa
ll
Reclining
Books Furniture
Reclining Sofa
Fiction Management
AGile
Waterfall
BACK
24
Context Business Context Diagram Example
Diagrams*
GOVERNMENT PRIVATE SECTOR
HARDWARE, SOFTWARE
AND SUPPORT EDUCATIONAL
SERVICES
USER COMMUNITY UNIVERSITY INDUSTRY
REQUEST FOR HARDWARE, REQUEST FOR
SOFTWARE AND SUPPORT EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
EDUCATION
COMMUNITY
25
Prototyping
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26
Storyboarding
Storyboarding* A prototyping method that can use visuals or images to
illustrate a process or represent a project outcome.
These definitions are taken from the Glossary of Project Management Institute, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, Project Management
27
Institute Inc., 2017.
Scope Planning – Requirements Prioritization
Understand and classify all potential customer • Development efforts can then be prioritized by the
requirements or features into four categories of need: things that most influence customer satisfaction
Kano Model • Delighters/exciters and loyalty.
(Product management technique) • Satisfiers
developed by Noriaki Kano • Dissatisfiers
• Indifferent
Paired Comparison Analysis Rate and rank alternatives by comparing one against • Good for small range of subjective requirements
developed by LL Thurston the other
100 Points Method Vote for importance of requirements in a list; • Good for any size group, even large ones
(aka fixed sum or fixed allocation stakeholders distribute 100 points in any way they • Gives priority to stakeholder decision- making
method) wish (Like “Monopoly money” method) because they must exercise depth of thought
developed by Dean Leffingwell and Don
Widrig
• This is a product development model used for requirements prioritization. The product features
are ranked in hierarchy of value to the customer.
Must Have
• Non-negotiable needs that are mandatory for the product. Minimum Business
Increment. Ex: A clean hotel room with a good restaurant, reliable WIFI
Should Have
• Important features that are not vital, but add significant value.
• Ex: Proximity to airport and shopping malls.
Could have
• Nice to have features, but if left out, will only have a small impact. Ex: Pick up
& Drop to and from airport.
Won’t have
• Not a priority for the specific time frame: Ex: Having a Sauna and gym.
30
PAIRED COMPARISON
OPTION A B C D E F G H I
A. Room size A A A A A A A A
B .WIFI C B B B G B B
C. Cuisine C C C G C C
D. airport drop D F G H I
E. Pool F G E I
F. Bar G F I
G.Sauna G I
H.Guest Lounge I
I. Health centre
COUNT 8 5 6 1 1 1 6 1 5
RANK 1 3 2 5 5 5 2 5 3
31
100 point method
Feature John James Lisa TOTAL Priorty most valuable features they would like to find in a
Customer sign up 35 30 60 125 1 product, they might say “All”. So this is a method
that compels them to give weights.
Social media sharing 15 40 30 85 2
• Used to prioritize user stories in product backlog
Customer profile 20 20 10 50 3
• Stakeholders are distributed 100 points or fictional
Track order 30 10 0 40 4 100 $.
Total 100 100 100 300 • They are asked to distribute among features.
32
Product backlog - An ordered list of user-centric requirements that a team maintains for a product.
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This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-SA-NC 33
Backlogs
35
Project Scope
Statement
Includes –
36
Product Analysis Methods
VALUE ENGINEERING
SYSTEMS ENGINEERING
Optimizes value in a structured way
Approaches design, integration, and
management, and the life cycle of complex
systems in a multi-disciplinary way VALUE ANALYSIS
Examines factors affecting product/service
cost in a systematic, interdisciplinary way
SYSTEMS ANALYSIS
towards success with the lowest cost and
Studies a product /service to identify its goals required quality and reliability standards
and purposes and create systems/ procedures
to achieve them efficiently
A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition,
Project Management Institute, Inc., 2017, Page 158.
These definitions are taken from the Glossary of Project Management Institute, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, Project Management
39
Institute Inc., 2017.
Control Account, Planning Packages and Work Packages
Top of WBS
• Planning package* A WBS 1.0
Project name or
Project Name
component below the control account primary deliverable
These definitions are taken from the Glossary of Project Management Institute, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, Project Management
40
Institute Inc., 2017.
Code of Accounts
Code of accounts* A numbering system used to uniquely identify each component of
the WBS.
These definitions are taken from the Glossary of Project Management Institute, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, Project Management
41
Institute Inc., 2017.
WBS
Dictionary
Decompose work and include:
• WBS code identifier
Provides detailed • Description of work
deliverable, activity • Assumptions and constraints
and scheduling
• Responsible organization
information about
each component in • Schedule milestones
the WBS • Associated schedule activities
• Resources required to complete the work
• Cost estimations
• Quality requirements
• Acceptance criteria
• Technical references
• Agreement information
Code of account
43
Scope
Baseline
• Approved version of a scope statement, WBS and its associated WBS
dictionary, that can be changed only using formal change control
procedures
• Used as a basis for comparison to actual results
Components include:
46
ECO Coverage
47
Schedule Project schedule
• Methodology/tool for schedule development
Management model
• Includes maintenance planning, including status updates and
progress during execution
Plan • Acceptable range used to determine realistic activity duration
Components Accuracy estimates
• May include risk contingency
Units of
Defined for each resource – e.g., staff hours, days and weeks
measure
Organizational
Use of WBS to ensure consistency with estimates and schedules
procedural links
Process
Describes how schedule management processes are documented
descriptions
Benchmarking
Develop benchmarks for assessing relative
sizes of user stories.
Historical data
Schedule databases from past analogous
projects.
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49
Predictive
Schedule
Planning
50
Define activities
ACTIVITY LIST
A documented tabulation of schedule activities that shows
PROJECT ACTIVITY
the activity description, activity identifier, and a sufficiently
A distinct, scheduled portion detailed scope-of-work description so project team
of work performed during a
members understand what work is to be performed.
project.
• Multiple attributes
attached with each
schedule activity that
can be included within
the activity list. Activity
attributes includes
activity codes,
predecessor activities,
successor activities,
logical relationships,
leads and lags, resource
requirements, imposed
dates, constraints and
assumptions.
•These definitions are taken from the Glossary of Project Management Institute, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) –
Sixth Edition, Project Management Institute Inc., 2017.
52
Precedence Sequence activities using Precedence Diagramming Method
Relationships
• Activity dependencies
determine
ES DURATION EF ES DURATION EF
precedence
relationships (aka
logical relationships)
and the order in which Activity id Activity id
activities are
performed
• Show these using the LS TOTAL FLOAT LF LS TOTAL FLOAT LF
precedence
diagramming
method (PDM)
Discretionary*
External*
Internal
54
Types of Precedence Relationships
FINISH TO START
START TO FINISH
55
Leads & Lags
LEAD LAG
Lead Lag delays
• F-S 3 DAYS LEAD Advances S-S 3 DAYS LAG next activity
next activity
5 DAYS
PREPARE GROUND
PREPARE GROUND
5 DAYS 5 DAYS
LANDSCAPE LANDSCAPE
5 DAYS
LAG : 3 DAYS
LEAD: 3 DAYS
56
Activity
Duration
Estimate
Terminology Activity Duration Estimate
• The quantitative assessment of the likely number of time periods
required to complete an activity
57
Estimating Techniques
FORMULA FORMULA
E = (O + M + P) / 3 E = (O + 4M + P) / 6
• Optimistic = 3 weeks
• Most Likely = 5 weeks • Optimistic estimate = 3 weeks
• Pessimistic = 10 weeks • Weighted most likely estimate = 5 weeks
• Pessimistic estimate = 10 weeks
EQUATION
EQUATION
(3 + 5 + 10) / 3 = 6 weeks
[3 + 4 (5) + 10] / 6 = 5.5 weeks
1 1 A,B,D = 7 DAYS
D A,C,D = 3 DAYS
A PROJECT DURATION = 7 DAYS
CRITICAL PATH =
1
LONGEST DURATION PATH =
C SHORTEST TIME TO COMPLETE
THE PROJECT = 7 DAYS
C
D
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Gantt chart
5
B
1 1 A,B,D = 7 DAYS
D A,C,D = 3 DAYS
A PROJECT DURATION = 7 DAYS
CRITICAL PATH =
1
LONGEST DURATION PATH =
C SHORTEST TIME TO COMPLETE
THE PROJECT = 7 DAYS
C
D
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Gantt chart
5
B
1 1 A,B,D = 7 DAYS
D A,C,D = 3 DAYS
A PROJECT DURATION = 7 DAYS
CRITICAL PATH =
1
LONGEST DURATION PATH =
C SHORTEST TIME TO COMPLETE
THE PROJECT = 7 DAYS
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Gantt chart
5
B
1 1 A,B,D = 7 DAYS
D A,C,D = 3 DAYS
A PROJECT DURATION = 7 DAYS
CRITICAL PATH =
1
LONGEST DURATION PATH =
C SHORTEST TIME TO COMPLETE
THE PROJECT = 7 DAYS
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Gantt chart
5
B
1 1 A,B,D = 7 DAYS
D A,C,D = 3 DAYS
A PROJECT DURATION = 7 DAYS
CRITICAL PATH =
1
LONGEST DURATION PATH =
C SHORTEST TIME TO COMPLETE
THE PROJECT = 7 DAYS
C
D
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Gantt chart
5
B
1 1 A,B,D = 7 DAYS
D A,C,D = 3 DAYS
A PROJECT DURATION = 7 DAYS
CRITICAL PATH =
1
LONGEST DURATION PATH =
C SHORTEST TIME TO COMPLETE
THE PROJECT = 7 DAYS
C
D
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Gantt chart
5
B
1 1 A,B,D = 7 DAYS
D A,C,D = 3 DAYS
A PROJECT DURATION = 7 DAYS
CRITICAL PATH =
1
LONGEST DURATION PATH =
C SHORTEST TIME TO COMPLETE
THE PROJECT = 7 DAYS
B
ES (2) EF(2)
C
FLOAT
D
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Gantt chart
5
B
1 1 A,B,D = 7 DAYS
D A,C,D = 3 DAYS
A PROJECT DURATION = 7 DAYS
CRITICAL PATH =
1
LONGEST DURATION PATH =
C SHORTEST TIME TO COMPLETE
THE PROJECT = 7 DAYS
LS (6) C LF(6)
FLOAT
D
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Gantt chart
5
B
1 1 A,B,D = 7 DAYS
D A,C,D = 3 DAYS
A PROJECT DURATION = 7 DAYS
CRITICAL PATH =
1
LONGEST DURATION PATH =
C SHORTEST TIME TO COMPLETE
THE PROJECT = 7 DAYS
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Gantt chart
5
B
1 1 A,B,D = 7 DAYS
D A,C,D = 3 DAYS
A PROJECT DURATION = 7 DAYS
CRITICAL PATH =
1
LONGEST DURATION PATH =
C SHORTEST TIME TO COMPLETE
THE PROJECT = 7 DAYS
C
FLOAT
D
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Gantt chart
CRITICAL PATH ANALYSIS
EF= ES+
(DUR-1)
Critical path
The sequence of
activities that
represents the
longest path
through a project,
which determines
the shortest
possible duration
LS=
LF-(DUR -1)
70
Total Float
Total float* The amount of time that a schedule activity can be delayed or extended from its early start date
without delaying the project finish date or violating a schedule constraint.
71
Free Float
Free float The amount of time that a schedule activity can be delayed without delaying the early start date of any
successor or violating a schedule constraint. Note that it does not mention anything about project final end date.
FF = 0 FF = 0 FF = 11
FF = 0 FF = 0 FF = 0
FF = 0 FF = 0`
72
Free Float
Free float The amount of time that a schedule activity can be delayed without delaying the early start date of any
successor or violating a schedule constraint. Note that it does not mention anything about project final end date.
FF = 0 FF = 0 FF = 11
FF = 0 FF = 0 FF = 0
FF = 0 FF = 0`
73
Free Float
Free float The amount of time that a schedule activity can be delayed without delaying the early start date of any
successor or violating a schedule constraint. Note that it does not mention anything about project final end date.
FF = 0 FF = 0 FF = 11
FF = 0 FF = 0 FF = 0
FF = 0 FF = 0`
74
Free Float
Free float The amount of time that a schedule activity can be delayed without delaying the early start date of any
successor or violating a schedule constraint. Note that it does not mention anything about project final end date.
FF = 0 FF = 0 FF = 11
FF = 0 FF = 0 FF = 0
FF = 0 FF = 0`
75
RESOURCE LEVELLING
Can cause
critical path
to change
W T F S S M W T F S S M
BOB
8 8 8 8
BOB
8 8
BOB
8 8
RESOURCE SMOOTHING
Happens within
available total float
Hence will not
change CP
M T W T M T W T
6 7 5 6 6 6 6 6
80
Schedule
Presentation
Formats
Select the type of schedule to suit your project!
• Roadmap
• Gantt Chart
• Milestone Chart
• Project Schedule Network Diagram
81
Gantt Chart
Visualize and Track the Project Over a Time Line
30 Begin Phase 1
31 Deliverable A
32 Deliverable B
33 Phase Gate Review
34 Begin Phase 2
35 Deliverable C
36 Deliverable D
37 Phase Gate Review
84
These definitions are taken from the Glossary of Project Management Institute, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, Project Management Institute Inc., 2017.
Project Schedule Network Diagram
Visualize Interrelationships of Activities
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86
Adaptive Scheduling Approaches
Comparative View
On-Demand (Kanban/Lean-based) Time-boxed/Iterative
WIP=4
1 2
3 4
THE CYCLE TIME WILL BE 4 DAYS
Cycle time increases as WIP increases.
CYCLE TIME = WIP / THROUGHPUT Example: If WIP increases to 8, cycle time will increase from 4 to 8 days
(This is called Little’s Law) To decrease cycle time, you must decrease WIP, increase team or
production capacity
IF WIP IS 4
WIP=4
IF ONE UNIT GETS “DONE” EVERY
DAY (THROUGHPUT)
Budget
TOPIC D
123
ECO Coverage
124
Cost Estimates
• Develop an approximation of the cost for
each activity in a project.
• Cost should include:
• Direct labor
• Materials
• Equipment
• Facilities
• Services
• Information technology
• Contingency reserves
• Indirect costs
• Realistic estimates provide basis for
making sound decisions and they establish
baselines.
125
Advantages and Disadvantages of Estimating Techniques
126
Cost Baseline
Cost baseline* The approved version of the time-phased project budget, excluding any management reserves,
which can be changed only through formal change control procedures and is used as a basis for comparison to
actual results.
• Time-phased budget
• Monitors and measures cost performance
• Includes a budget contingency
• Excludes management reserve
• Varies from project to project
A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition,
Project Management Institute, Inc., 2017, Page 255.
These definitions are taken from the Glossary of Project Management Institute, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, Project Management
127
Institute Inc., 2017.
Reserve Analysis
• MANAGEMENT RESERVE:
Project Budget
Management Reserve (meant for unforeseen
$500
work within existing scope)
• Planned expenditure
should be reconciled with
funding limits based on
commitment for funds.
• A variance between
funding limit and planned
expenditure will
necessitate rescheduling
of work to level out
planned expenditure.
These definitions are taken from the Glossary of Project Management Institute, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth
Edition, Project Management Institute Inc., 2017.
130
AGILE COST ESTIMATION – ITERATION COST USING SPECIFIC
LABOR RATES
134
Quality
TOPIC D
135
ECO Coverage
136
Quality
Standards and
Regulations
Words are used widely in
De facto standards or Widely accepted and adopted
groups, like slang or
regulations through use
jargon.
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course.
138
Quality
Metrics
Metrics measure desired quality attributes for product or project through
testing, use of tools, processes.
Examples:
• Defect density
• Schedule variance
139
Cost of Quality
(CoQ)
Cost of conformance Cost of non conformance
• Prevention costs (Build a quality product) • Internal failure costs
• Training • Rework
• Document processes • Scrap
• Equipment • External failure costs
• Time to do work “right” – resources, • Liabilities
infrastructure expenses
• Warranty work
• Appraisal (quality assessment)
• Lost business
• Testing
• Inspections
Data analysis
• Performance reviews
• Root cause analysis
Data representation
• Cause-and-effect diagram
• Scatter diagrams
• Control charts
• Histograms
• Pareto chart
141
Data Gathering
Questionnaires and Surveys
• Written set of questions, quickly accumulates information from a large number of
respondents.
• Useful for varied audiences, for quick turnaround, or geographical dispersion of respondents
Checklists
A structured tool, usually component-specific
• Verifies performance of required steps or completion of requirements
• Used to organize facts to facilitate data collection about a potential quality problem
• Useful for gathering attribute data and variable data while performing inspections for defects.
Statistical sampling
• Choosing part of a population of interest for inspection.
• Determine characteristics of an entire population based on representative
sample.
Check sheet
A template for gathering data about potential quality problems.
Copyright 2023© Project Management Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
This material is being provided as part of a PMI® course.
Data
Visualization
Quality Tool -
Cause and
Effect Diagram
QUALITY CHARACTERISTICS
Scatter Diagram
PROCESS INPUT
145
Data
Visualization 100%
customer survey
type of histogram
50%
• Uses 80/20 rule
40% 44
• Demonstrates No parking
frequency of problem space
30%
occurrence Poor
counter Limited
• Analyzes data sets 20%
23 service Slow
range of
related to a specific fabric colors moving Fabric
problem or issue, but 10% fabrcs quality
14
does not define the 9
0% 6 4
root cause of a
problem Local Resident Needs
Copyright 2023© Project Management Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
This material is being provided as part of a PMI® course.
146
Verified
• Project team verifies deliverables based on quality standards and
Deliverables requirements:
The verified deliverables are presented to and accepted (validated) by
the customer – resulting in accepted deliverables
147
Quality Audit*
Topics include:
• Quality management policy
• Collection and use of information
• Analytical methods
• Cost of quality
• Quality process design
148
Discussion
Quality Standards and
Regulations
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course.
149
Resources
TOPIC E
150
ECO Coverage
151
Resources
People and Equipment
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152
Resource
Management • Identify resources - People and equipment
Plan* • How to acquire them
• Define Peoples’ roles and responsibilities
• Role – A person’s function in a project
• Authority - Rights to use resources, make decisions, accept
deliverables.
• Responsibility - Assigned duty
• Competencies and skills required
• Project Organization Chart – (Visual with resource categories and
reporting relationships)
• Project team resource management – Guidance on how to define,
select, manage and release resources
• Training - Strategies and requirements
• Resource controls – Tracking resource usage, reallocate resources
based on changing priorities, optimize usage to avoid under utilization
or overutilization, taking corrective and preventive actions.
• Recognition plan
153
Use Resource
Calendars*
154
The RACI Chart
RACI chart* A common type of responsibility assignment matrix (RAM) that uses responsible,
accountable, consult, and inform statuses to define the involvement of stakeholders in project
activities.”
It shows all activities associated with on person and all persons associated with each activity. These
can be modified as “Lead” “Resource” and so on.
Project Engineering Quality Assurance Purchasing Manufacturing
Responsible: Performer or
Manager Manager Manager Manager Manager Doer
Create blueprints A R C C
Order components C C I A I
Consultative: Provides
Assemble
feedback and contributes to
I C A
activities – Adviser
A document that graphically depicts the project team members and their inter
relationships for a specific project.*
158
ORGANIZATIONAL BREAKDOWN STRUCTURE
159
RESOURCE BREAKDOWN STRUCTURE
• A resource
breakdown structure
provides a resource
inventory.
• It indicates current
availability.
• It’s a reference in
case a resource has
to be deployed,
replaced or
reacquired during the
course of the project..
160
PROCUREMENT
MANAGEMENT
Make or Buy? External sourcing considerations:
• What is the impact on cost, time or quality?
• Is there an ongoing need for the specific skill set?
• How steep is the learning curve?
• Are required resources available within the organization?
• Would outsourcing allow the team to focus?
Use a make-or-buy analysis to make the best decision for your team.
161
Procurement • Describes the process for obtaining and evaluating bids
Management
Plan* • Specifies the types of contracts that will be used
• Timetable of key procurement activities
• Deadline for submission of proposals
• Anticipated contract award dates
• Bidders conference
• Procurement budgets
• Stakeholder roles and responsibilities
• internal stakeholders like quality teams, evaluation committee members,
procurement team, external stakeholders
162
Source
Selection
Criteria* • Overall or life-cycle cost
• Understanding of need
• Technical capability
Work with external • Management approach
resources whose values, • Technical approach
skills and attributes are
aligned with your • Warranty
project’s. • Financial capacity
• Production capacity and interest
• Business size and type
• Past performance of sellers
• References
• Intellectual property rights
164
Procurement
Documents
RFI (REQUEST FOR RFP (REQUEST RFQ (Request for
Bid and INFORMATION) FOR PROPOSAL) quotation) IFB
(Invitation for bid)
Proposal
Goal To gather vendor To create best To get best price for
Activities information project project
specifications.
Note: RFP is used when the solution is not easy to decide, which requires
customization or further elaboration of specifications. This should be stated in a
detailed manner so that responses are consistent from all vendors. But if vendors
suggest specific changes to deliver in a better manner, the process should be flexible
to accommodate changes.
165
Formal
Procurement
Processes
166
Agreements
• Major components of agreements:
• Procurement statement of work
• Schedule information, milestones
• Performance reporting
requirements
• Pricing terms and terms of payment
• Inspection, quality and acceptance
criteria,
• Warranty
• Incentives and penalties
• Insurance and performance bond
requirements
• Sub contractor approvals
• Change request handling
• General terms and conditions
• Alternative dispute resolution
167
TYPES OF CONTRACTS
COST
FIXED PRICE REIMBURSABLE
contracts
AGILE
TIME & MATERIAL CONTRACTS
CONTRACTS
• COST REIMBURSABLE CONTRACTS
• All seller’s cost are reimbursed by the buyer, Seller’s profit stated as Fee is included.
• Buyer has the most cost risk, so generally bad for any buyer
• CPFF: Actual Cost = $ 100,000 Fee = $ 10,000 Total buyer pays to Seller = 110,000
• CPPC: Actual Cost = $ 100,000 Fee = 25% of the cost Total buyer pays to Seller = 100,000 + 25% of 100,000 =
125,000
172
CONTRACTS – FIXED PRICE
• FFP – Firm Fixed price
• The most common form of contract
of work
173
Agile considerations CONTRACT
Fixed price Fixed price negotiated for deliverables. Reward for early delivery and reduce for late delivery.
incentive fee
Early If partial scope delivery satisfies buyer, contract can be cancelled for a fee. Money for nothing
cancellation change for free. Seller benefits in case of cancellation and buyer loses. Risky for buyer.
option
Fixed-price Decompose scope into smaller, fixed-price micro-deliverables (features), giving customer more
increments control over how the money is spent.High risk for seller and low risk for buyer
These definitions are taken from the Glossary of Project Management Institute, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, Project Management
Institute Inc., 2017. 176
Risks
TOPIC F
177
Enablers
178
PROJECT RISK MANAGEMENT
The project management knowledge area that includes the processes of conducting risk management planning,
identification, analysis, response planning, response implementation, and monitoring risk on a project.
Perform Perform
Identify risks Qualitative Quantitative
analysis analysis
Review Act
179
Risk
Risk* An uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs, has a positive or negative
Conditions of effect on one or more project objectives.
Uncertainty
Primary components include:
A measure of probability that the risk event will occur.
The impact of the risk occurring on a project.
180
Create Risk
Strategy • Which are too
How would you
describe the high to
organization/ accept?
project’s risk • Which are low
First, understand risk appetite? enough to just
parameters for the be accepted?
• Risk-
organization and the • What criteria
seeking? determines
project! • Risk-neutral? inclusion in the
• Risk-averse? risk register?
This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-SA-NC
The risk
threshold is tied
to individual and
organizational
risk appetites.
Do you know:
182
Risk breakdown structure
• Risk identification checklists can be
developed based on historical
information and knowledge that has
been accumulated from previous similar
projects and from other sources of
information.
back
183
Identify risks
Identify risks:
Project Management Plan
• Schedule & cost management plan – variance thresholds, estimating
1 of 2 methods and confidence levels.
• Quality Management plan – quality metrics, testing requirements to be met.
• Resource Management plan – activity resource requirements, etc.
• Risk Management Plan – adequacy of reserves
• Schedule baseline – milestones, key deliverable dates
• Cost baseline – funding limits.
Risk Score
Risk Impact Impact Level Probability Planned
(probability and Trigger Condition Owner
Description Description Score Level Score Response
impact multiplied)
What will
(IMPACT X
happen if the Rate Rate
PROBABILITY) What indicates the Who’s
risk is not 1 (LOW) to 1 (LOW) to Action plan
Address highest risk will occur. responsible
mitigated or 5 (HIGH) 5 (HIGH)
first.
eliminated
Supply chain
Supplier
issues for 5 1 5 L. De Souza
notification
correct bricks
Building code
5 2 10 Pre-checks fail K. Ayoung
compliance
Working with
new vendors
3 3 9 Delays or conflict K. Ayoung
and building
processes
188
Probability and Impact Matrix
Probability and Impact Matrix* A grid for mapping the probability of occurrence of
each risk and its impact on project objectives if that risk occurs.
IMPACT
P SCORE 1 2 3
R
O 1 1 LOW 2 LOW 3 LOW
B back
2 2 LOW 4 MED 6 MED
Quantitative risk analysis: Technique used to assess the risk exposure events to
overall project objectives and determine the confidence levels of achieving the project
objectives.
190
Monte Carlo simulation
Activity level duration estimates from pessimistic and optimistic schedules are
randomly used to generate several schedules iteratively. Schedule outcomes are
represented in a range of uncertainty.
ACTIVITY P ML O
A 2 2 8
B 4 5 12
C 7 8 15
D 10 14 18
E 6 7 14
F 7 9 17
Monte Carlo simulation
• A more accurate
indication can be
derived by plotting the
cumulative curve
shown here.
• On what day is there
a 50 % of chance of
finishing the project ?
The answer is 40
days.
• Conversely what is
the chance of the
project finishing in 40
days. The answer is
50 %,
192
RANGE OF UNCERTAINTY
100
100
90
90
C C
U 80
U
80
M TARGET $ 2.2 M M
U 70 U
70
L 70% CHANCE OF COSTING $ 2.40 M L
A OR LESS 60 A
60
T T
I 50 % CHANCE OF MEETING TARGET 50 I
50
V V
E 40 E
40
P 30 P
30
R R
O 20
20 O
B B
10
10
% %
0
0
5 -30 45
4 -20 10
3 -10 20
2 -5 20
1 -10 10
194
Decision Tree Analysis
Decision tree analysis* A diagramming and calculation technique for evaluating the
implications of a chain of multiple options in the presence of uncertainty.
These definitions are taken from the Glossary of Project Management Institute, A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, Project Management
195
Institute Inc., 2017.
INFLUENCE DIAGRAMS Weather Weather
forecast Condition
Ambulance
197
Negative Risk Strategies
198
198
Strategies for negative risks
ESCALATE AVOID TRANSFER ACCEPT MITIGATE
• Enterprise factor • Could increase • Risk doesn’t go • Passive • Reduce
( example: risk levels beyond away, Its managed • Low prob/ impact probability
compensation tolerance levels by another entity. • (any well known (ex: testing)
exceeds • Ex: Loose soil at • Insurance risk) • Reduce
delegated construction site • AMC • Ex: Risk of delay in impact (ex:
authority ) • Replan & avoid • Contract interface Building
• Or accept with • Acknowledge redundancy)
mitigants or • Find work around if • Do both
combine other it happens.
strategies • Active
• Contingency plan to
develop stub.
• Provide
Contingency
reserve of people,
days and cost.
199
Positive Risk Strategies
200
200
Strategies for Positive risks
ESCALATE EXPLOIT ENHANCE ACCEPT SHARE
201
Contingency Plans
• Allows a project manager to react quickly and appropriately to the risk event,
mitigating its negative impact or increasing its potential benefits.
• May include a fallback plan for risks with high impact.
202
Guidelines to Determine and Implement Risk Responses
203
End of Lesson 3
204
RISK BURN DOWN CHART
Total 20
20
RISK EXPOSUE (DAYS) REMAINING
15
ACTUAL BURN DOWN
10
Back
1 2 3 4 5 6
DAYS
SCHEDULING – TRENDS &
EMERGING PRACTICES
VISION
back
b) Time lost due to schedule slippages can be recovered from newer opportunities
to compress schedule during ensuing periods. You know this worked in the past.