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2008 North Bridge Future of Open Source Study | PDF
Putting Open Source to Work
The Future of Open Source:
Exploring the Investments,
Innovations, Applications,
Opportunities and Threats
North Bridge Venture Partners
March 2008
Putting Open Source to Work
Putting Open Source to Work
Our Panel
• Roger Burkhardt, President & CEO, Ingres
• Marten Mickos, SVP, Sun Microsystems
• John Roberts, Chairman, CEO, SugarCRM
• Mark Shuttleworth, Founder, Ubuntu
• Jeff Whatcott, VP Marketing, Acquia, Inc.
• Michael Skok, GP, North Bridge Venture Partners
Putting Open Source to Work
Annual Survey Results
2008
Respondents include OSBC attendees and
customers from all of the panelist’s companies
Putting Open Source to Work
Is the economy’s turbulence good
or bad for open source software?
81%
19%
Good Bad
Putting Open Source to Work
What are the top 3 factors that make
open source software attractive?
12
16
28
68
76
92
97
108
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Other
Superior Security
Community-provided support
Freedom of DIY
Rapid pace of releases
Freedom from vendor-lockin
Flex/access to libraries of comn code
Lower acquisition/maint costs
# of votes
Putting Open Source to Work
Is open source a …
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Business
Model
Marketing
Model
Dev Model None of
these
All of these
Putting Open Source to Work
In 5 years, what % of purchased
software will be open source ?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
75 - 100%
50 - 75%
25 - 50%
0 - 25%
Putting Open Source to Work
When will there be another open
source company with the stature of
Red Hat?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Never
10 years
5 years
2 years
Putting Open Source to Work
Who will command the majority of
commercial OS software revenue (non-
consulting) in 2012?
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Platform vendors (Oracle, Sun, IBM,
SAP, etc)
Pure play vendors like Red Hat
Consortia working together on
interoperability
Independent vendors who do their
own thing
Conglomerates like Google, MS,
Yahoo
Putting Open Source to Work
Which of the following will have GREATEST
impact on software delivery and/or business
models for OS apps and middleware vendors?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
SaaS
Software Appliances
Virtualized Infrastructure
Cloud Computing
Other
Putting Open Source to Work
Can a startup software vendor realistically
enter the (enterprise) market with a product/
service that is NOT open source?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Yes
No
Putting Open Source to Work
Which sector of the software industry is
MOST vulnerable to disruption by open
source in the next 5 years?
• Top 3 answers:
– Web Publishing/Content Mgmt
– Social Software
– Business Intelligence
• Bottom 3 answers:
– Configuration Mgmt
– Enterprise Portals
– Security Tools
Putting Open Source to Work
Which sectors of the software industry will
NEVER be vulnerable to disruption?
• Top 3 answers:
– Security Tools (consistent)
– Business Intelligence (not so consistent?)
– Enterprise Service Bus
– Many write-ins for “NONE!”
Putting Open Source to Work
In 5 years, what will be typical
% software, % services
revenue at an open source company?
Putting Open Source to Work
In 5 years, what % of open source software
licenses sold will be subscription vs.
perpetual?
Putting Open Source to Work
Putting Open Source to Work

2008 North Bridge Future of Open Source Study

  • 1.
    Putting Open Sourceto Work The Future of Open Source: Exploring the Investments, Innovations, Applications, Opportunities and Threats North Bridge Venture Partners March 2008 Putting Open Source to Work
  • 2.
    Putting Open Sourceto Work Our Panel • Roger Burkhardt, President & CEO, Ingres • Marten Mickos, SVP, Sun Microsystems • John Roberts, Chairman, CEO, SugarCRM • Mark Shuttleworth, Founder, Ubuntu • Jeff Whatcott, VP Marketing, Acquia, Inc. • Michael Skok, GP, North Bridge Venture Partners
  • 3.
    Putting Open Sourceto Work Annual Survey Results 2008 Respondents include OSBC attendees and customers from all of the panelist’s companies
  • 4.
    Putting Open Sourceto Work Is the economy’s turbulence good or bad for open source software? 81% 19% Good Bad
  • 5.
    Putting Open Sourceto Work What are the top 3 factors that make open source software attractive? 12 16 28 68 76 92 97 108 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Other Superior Security Community-provided support Freedom of DIY Rapid pace of releases Freedom from vendor-lockin Flex/access to libraries of comn code Lower acquisition/maint costs # of votes
  • 6.
    Putting Open Sourceto Work Is open source a … 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Business Model Marketing Model Dev Model None of these All of these
  • 7.
    Putting Open Sourceto Work In 5 years, what % of purchased software will be open source ? 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 75 - 100% 50 - 75% 25 - 50% 0 - 25%
  • 8.
    Putting Open Sourceto Work When will there be another open source company with the stature of Red Hat? 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Never 10 years 5 years 2 years
  • 9.
    Putting Open Sourceto Work Who will command the majority of commercial OS software revenue (non- consulting) in 2012? 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Platform vendors (Oracle, Sun, IBM, SAP, etc) Pure play vendors like Red Hat Consortia working together on interoperability Independent vendors who do their own thing Conglomerates like Google, MS, Yahoo
  • 10.
    Putting Open Sourceto Work Which of the following will have GREATEST impact on software delivery and/or business models for OS apps and middleware vendors? 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% SaaS Software Appliances Virtualized Infrastructure Cloud Computing Other
  • 11.
    Putting Open Sourceto Work Can a startup software vendor realistically enter the (enterprise) market with a product/ service that is NOT open source? 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Yes No
  • 12.
    Putting Open Sourceto Work Which sector of the software industry is MOST vulnerable to disruption by open source in the next 5 years? • Top 3 answers: – Web Publishing/Content Mgmt – Social Software – Business Intelligence • Bottom 3 answers: – Configuration Mgmt – Enterprise Portals – Security Tools
  • 13.
    Putting Open Sourceto Work Which sectors of the software industry will NEVER be vulnerable to disruption? • Top 3 answers: – Security Tools (consistent) – Business Intelligence (not so consistent?) – Enterprise Service Bus – Many write-ins for “NONE!”
  • 14.
    Putting Open Sourceto Work In 5 years, what will be typical % software, % services revenue at an open source company?
  • 15.
    Putting Open Sourceto Work In 5 years, what % of open source software licenses sold will be subscription vs. perpetual?
  • 16.
    Putting Open Sourceto Work Putting Open Source to Work